Ecuador vs Chile Prediction and Betting Tips: Alexis Sanchez a huge price in the shots market

Ecuador take on Chile in Quito on Tuesday in the latest round of World Cup qualifiers. We’ve previewed the action and have picked out our two best bets that you can read about below.

Ecuador started the 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign on minus three points due to a false document being used to get a Colombia-born player for the 2022 renewal. Ecuador currently sit fifth in the standings after five matches, however both of their most recent two outings have finished goalless against Colombia and Venezuela. 

After failing to see off 10-man Paraguay on home soil last Thursday Chile manager Eduardo Berizzo resigned. Nicolas Cordova has been placed as caretaker for the time being with Chile looking to avoid missing out on their third consecutive World Cup. With more teams featuring at the finals in North America in 2026 the top-six sides from South America will automatically qualify, while seventh will go into an inter-continental play-off. 

Alexis Sanchez apologised to Eduardo Berizzo on behalf of his teammates for their performances against Paraguay last week, with the Inter Milan forward set to make his 160th appearance for his national side on Tuesday. 

The selection that has caught our attention concerning Sanchez is for him to register Over 0.5 Shots on Target in the match at 11/10 with bet365. Taking a look back at the now 34-year-old’s shooting stats from his last eight World Cup qualifiers and he has cleared this line in seven of those! Chile may have struggled for goals of late, but at odds-against we think this is a price that is worth getting onside. 

Despite being handicapped due to a three point-deduction, Felix Sanchez’s side sit fifth in the CONMEBOL standings after five matches. Their only defeat so far came against table-toppers Argentina in Matchday 1 and we think they can get the better of Tuesday’s opponents in Quito. 

We’re therefore plumping for the Correct Score in the game to finish 2-0 to Ecuador. Much of the hosts success this campaign has been based on their defensive stability, with clean sheets in both of their most recent outings against Colombia and Venezuela. We can’t see this one being a thriller and with 18 of Ecuador’s last 25 matches featuring two or fewer goals, we think this one should go close.