Odds shown as:

BMW Championship Tips & Predictions: Three against the field at Olympia

Jon Rahm features amongst our BMW Championship tips and predictions.
Jon Rahm features amongst our BMW Championship tips and predictions.

After a win on Sunday our golf tipster Russell Palmer is back with three more for this week's BMW Championship on the PGA Tour...

I was absolutely delighted to see my third winner come in on Sunday since the PGA Tour restart, especially with such ease as Dustin Johnson breezed to an eleven shot win, tipped up here at 20/1 last week.

A second round 60 helped him on his way but the American made a staggering 23 birdies, five eagles and just three bogeys on his way to 254 shot total of -30 under par.

Part of my reasoning of backing DJ last week was his price. 20/1 looked a big number given his course and tournament form, he'd already won on the PGA Tour since the restart and was second place on his last start at the USPGA Championship.

He led going into the final round in the USPGA but couldn't get the job done and perhaps that's where the bookies made their mistake relaxing him in the market. I can't think of a more emphatic winner in recent times.

If the bookies took their eye off DJ last week, they're certainly not for this week's BMW Championship, where he is a best price 8/1 favourite.

If he plays as well again this week then he'll be hard to beat, but at that price he's not for me.

Olympia Fields Country Club in Illinois hosts this week's second leg of the FedEx Cup playoffs where just 70 players line up.

The course hosted the 2003 US Open which was won by Jim Furyk and more recently the 2015 US Amateur Championship, which was won by Bryson DeChambeau, so there's very little in the way of course form to go by.

A classic parkland layout, the fairways are narrow and the rough will give the players enough to think about to represent a harder challenge that last week.

A par 70 measuring over 7,300 yards means it's a test lengthwise, but I'll be looking for a mix of accuracy and distance off the tee and general excellent ball striking when it comes to the stats.

Market Leaders

Johnson is favourite, but there are some familiar names at the top of the betting. Jon Rahm who finished in a tie for 6th last week is a 10/1 chance whilst DeChambeau and Justin Thomas can be backed at 14/1.

DeChambeau missed the cut last week at Boston and I'm not so sure he can overpower the course here in Illinois, whilst Thomas has had two pretty modest finishes since we put him up to win the WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational last month.

In last week's column I made a point of saying that I was waiting for Rory McIlroy's price to get big enough to back him and he's an 18/1 chance this week. The Northern Irishman hasn't missed a cut since the restart but with rounds of 32-41-11-32-47-33-65 he's barely been a threat and I just can't bring myself to pull the trigger. He's an amazing talent and I'm sure his top form will return but his stats around and on the green are so poor it's just hard to side with him yet. Hope I don't rue those words!

Golf odds
BMW Championship at a glance
BMW Championship at a glance
BMW Championship Tip #1
Jon Rahm to win
  • A win and a top ten in his last four starts
  • Ranks top five for driving and has rapier like irons
Odds correct as of 2020-08-25 21:10 Odds subject to change.


For my first selection I'm going for an ultra-consistent guy whose stats shape nicely for this week's test.

Webb Simpson already has a win to his name since the PGA Tour restart when landing the RBC Heritage on his second start back (tipped up by the column at 30/1).

The 35-year-old has since carded another three top ten finished including his last two starts, tying sixth in the Northern Trust last week.

What Simpson lacks for in length he makes up for in accuracy, ranking 22nd for driving accuracy and 13th for shots gained tee to green. He has the lowest scoring average on the PGA Tour this season and is also a top 12 putter, which he'll need to be on this week's speedy greens.

He's a best price 20/1 with William Hill who go six places each week, which is worth a bet as he bids to win for the third time this season. Simpson is 28/1 shot in the US Open betting.


With Webb Simpson a late withdrawal on Wednesday to rest himself up for the Tour Championship, I've just enough time to put up an alternate as my main selection, with Jon Rahm now a 14/1 chance I like his chances of repeating his efforts at The Memorial last month.

The Spaniard ran away with that win at Muirfield Village and I see this week being a similar set up which will suit the recently dethroned world number one golfer and bounce straight back to the top of the charts with a win here.

Rahm finished 13th in the USPGA before a sixth place last week, thanks in the main to a nice final round of 65 in the Northern Trust.l He ranks top 5 off the tee and in shots gained in total and has the distance and iron play to help him feature at the sharp end here on a long course with a lot of par 4s.

As a late sub, I'm hoping Rahm can make it another winning week.

BMW Championship Tip #2
Kevin Kisner each-way
  • 40 under par for his last 10 rounds on Tour
  • Two top-5 finishes on his last two starts
Odds correct as of 2020-08-24 19:45 Odds subject to change.

In a similar mould to Webb Simpson is my second selection, Kevin Kisner who is a 45/1 chance this week with 888Sport, also paying six places.

A top 15 putter, he ranks 23rd in shots gained in total on the PGA Tour and has been in really strong form in recent weeks with two top five finishes in his last two starts.

In fact, the American is 40 under par for his last 10 PGA Tour rounds, with a scoring average of 66.4 and an incredible +12.13 strokes gained putting. There could possibly be some regression on the putting side of things but I'm happy to have a go at him keeping that level of form with the flat stick this week at the prices.

US Masters Odds
BMW Championship Tip #3
Bubba Watson each-way
  • Top ten stats for driving
  • Needs a good week to progress to Tour Championship
Odds correct as of 2020-08-24 19:45 Odds subject to change.

For my final selection this week I'm going for Bubba Watson at 100/1 with William Hill playing those six places.

The left-hander sits 58th in the FedEx rankings so needs a big week to make the Tour Championship and although it's been a quiet season with just three top ten finishes, Watson shaped up last week that some form is coming back and could be the beneficiary of this long track.

Ranking 10th for driving distance and 9th in shots gained off the tee, it's Watson's short game which has been his achilles heel this season, but there were signs last week, with the putter at least that he could make a mark this week.

As ever, good luck with your bets if you're following and please gamble responsibly.

Follow me at Twitter @rustyboy75.

Post-lockdown form:


  • Dustin Johnson - Northern Trust - advised at 20/1
  • Justin Thomas - WGC FedEx St Jude - advised at 12/1
  • Webb Simpson - RBC Heritage - advised at 30/1


  • Si Woo Kim - T3 Wyndham Championship - advised at 40/1
  • Jason Day - T4 USPGA Championship - advised at 40/1
  • Phil Mickelson - 2nd WGC FedEx St Jude - advised at 110/1
  • Viktor Hovland - 3rd Workday Charity Open - advised at 25/1
  • Kevin Streelman - T7 Workday Charity Open - advised at 60/1
  • Tyrrell Hatton - T4 Rocket Mortgage Classic - advised at 16/1
Open Championship betting
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Welcome Offer
#AD Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus
#AD New UK customers (Excluding NI) mobile only. £30 in FREE Bets (FB) as £20 in sports bets & a £10 casino bonus (CB). Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. FB applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. FB 7 day expiry. 1 FB offer per customer, household & IP address only. Payment restrictions. 14 days to accept £10 CB, then active for 3 days. CB 5x wagering & max redeemable £100. Game restrictions apply. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. 30 days to qualify. 18+. T&C's Apply. **18+. Prices subject to fluctuation and availability.  T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code R30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 3 x £10/€10, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Bet £10 get £30 in Free Bets
#AD New customers on mobile only. 7 days to claim and stake £10 minimum bet at odds of 1.5 or greater to qualify. Free, void, cashed out or partially cashed out bets do not qualify. Max 3x £10 free bets credited on bet settlement. Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 or greater. Free bets are non-withdrawable, and stake not returned with winnings. 7 day expiry. 18+BeGambleAware.org. T&Cs apply.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As Cash If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any market at odds of min 2.0 (EVS) and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply, 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 & Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+ New Customer offer. Place a min £10 bet on the Sportsbook on odds of min 1/2 (1.5), get £30 in Free Bets. Rewards valid for 30 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly.
Money back As A Bonus Up To £40 If Your First Bet Loses + £10 Casino
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org. New customers only. Min deposit £10. Money back as bonus if first sports bet loses. Wagering requirements: sportsbook 3x at min. odds of 1.40 (2/5), casino 50x. Unless forfeited the sportsbook bonus must be wagered before using the casino bonus. Bonus expires 7 days after opt-in. Visit Unibet.co.uk for full T&C's.
Double the odds, any sport, any bet, any odds!
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org Only valid for new registrations to Grosvenor Existing members do not qualify, Bet must be placed using real money in combination with the Odds Boost Token, Offer applies to Sport bets only. Max stake is £10. Each way bets are a maximum of £5 each way (£10 total). Customers have 60 days after registration to use the Odds Boost token. T&Cs apply.
100% Profit Boost up to £100 (Mobile Only)
#AD New UK customers only. Claim by placing a min deposit £10 via "My Offers" page within 30 days. Skrill/Neteller deposits excluded. 7 days to stake max £10 in-play. Max. extra winnings £100.T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins on Big Bass Bonanza, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £10 Get £10 In Free Bets (APP Only)
#AD New UK, IE & Malta customers only. Min £10/€10 first deposit using Debit Card. Place a bet of £10 at min odds of 1.5. Free bets expire in 90 days. Full T&Cs apply.  18+. BeGambleAware.org, T&Cs apply.
Bet £25 get £50 In Bonuses
#AD Place a qualifying £25 fixed odds bet at odds of 1/2 or greater and get £50 in bonuses 5 x £5 free fixed odds bets, 4 x free £5 spread bets + 50 free spins on Starburst. Qualifying bet cannot be placed in-play or cashed out early. T&Cs Apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 Get £40 in Bonuses
#AD New 18+ UK customers only. Register using the promo code WELCOME40, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets and £10 in Free Spins (50x20p) credited within 10 hours of bet settlement. Free Bet stakes are not included in any returns. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 get £15
#AD New customers only. 18+ begambleaware.org 1st Deposit, Min Deposit: £10, max £15 bonus, valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at a min. odds of 1/1 (2.00) or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement.T&C's apply.
Bet £10 get £10
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org, Welcome Bonus: This offer is for new customers only and is available once per household. Max. FreeBet amount: £10 Minimum Deposit and wagering on sport to activate the Free Bet is: £10 void/cancelled or cashed out bets do not count towards wagering to activate the free bet. Offer valid only to customers making a first deposit of £10 or more. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 get £20
#AD New customers only, welcome bonus: 1st deposit, min deposit: £10, max £20 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. system bets are not eligible. Neteller, Skrill, and PayPal are not eligible. , 18+ begambleaware.org
50% Up To £50 Welcome Bonus
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org; New bettors get 50% of deposit up to £50; Once per household; Min deposit £15 (no Skrill/Neteller); Wager a total of 8 times deposit + bonus, with max qualifying bet stake equal to your initial bonus amount; Bonus expires after 60 days; Min odds of 4/5 on singles, or 2/5 per leg for acca; Some bet types excluded; See full terms.
Bet £10 & Get £30 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD Promo code: 30FB • Min deposit £10 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 • Min odds 1/2 (1.50) • Free Bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days • Free Bet stakes not included in returns • Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days and expires after 14 days • To withdraw any winnings from the Casino Bonus, wager the Bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & Full T&Cs apply. 18+ & Begambleaware
£35 Free Bet + 10 Free Spins
If your account has Sportsbook losses at the end of your first day's betting, QuinnBet will refund 50% of your losses as a Free Bet up to £35 (min 3 bets) Plus 10 Free Spins. Even if your account is up, you're guaranteed a £5 Free Bet Plus 10 Free Spins provided you place at least 1 bet of £10 or greater at the minimum odds. T&Cs apply | 18+ New UK Customers Only | BeGambleAware.org