Odds shown as:

Safeway Open Tips & Predictions: Banking on vintage Steele in wine country

Brendan Steele features amongst our Safeway Open tips and predictions.
Brendan Steele features amongst our Safeway Open tips and predictions.

The PGA Tour season gets underway this week in the Safeway Open from Napa, California, with our golf tipster Russell Palmer back with another three tips...

As I write, Dustin Johnson is on his way to finishing the PGA Tour season atop of the FedEx Cup standings by winning the Tour Championship and the riches that it brings.

I can't quite recall such a sustained level of form we've seen from DJ over the past month and he's a deserved winner. It remains a mystery as to why he's only got the one major victory to his name but he'll get a stab and an extra two with the new season starting this week, with the US Open next week and then the Masters in November.

As you'd expect, Johnson is dominating the US Open betting, but he can still be backed at around the 16/1 according to the Masters odds.

With the top 30 players battling it out at East Lake with a late finish on Monday, it's understandable that the 2020/21 PGA Tour season, which tees off on Thursday doesn't feature any of the players who made it to the Tour Championship.

It means that we're treated to a wide open tournament where it's 20/1 the field Si Woo Kim, with Matt Kuchar second favourite at 22/1 with Phil Mickelson who absolutely hacked up on the Senior tour a few weeks ago. But it's a 25/1 shot that takes my eye. (note at the time of writing not all bookmakers have priced up the event).

Golf odds
Safeway Open at a glance
Safeway Open at a glance
Safeway Open Tip #1
Thu
Brendan Steele each-way
  • 3 top ten finishes this season
  • Twice a course winner
Odds correct as of 2020-09-07 20:20 Odds subject to change.

I really like the look of Brendan Steele this week. The 37 year old had three top ten finishes last season and was super consistent following the Tour restart, missing the cut just once.

A 6th place finish in the Travellers was his best finish, but he returns to Silverado Resort where he won in 2016 and 2017. Born and raised in California, Steele will feel at home at Silverado where there's an emphasis for putting yourself into a good position on the greens.

Ranking 20th for shots gained approaching the green, I'm hoping we'll see some vintage Steele from wine country this week.

Safeway Open Tip #2
Thu
Kristoffer Ventura each-way
  • Ranks 7th for strokes gained putting
  • 1st for going for green & hit green percentage
Odds correct as of 2020-09-07 20:20 Odds subject to change.

Second up is Norway's Kristoffer Ventura at 90/1 with Paddy Power who pay eight places this week.

The 25 year old is still finding his way on the PGA Tour, yet to have a top ten finish but is trending in the right direction, his best finish since the restart was a tie for 19th in the Barracuda Championship which will have seen a similar standard of line up to this week's.

His stats are particularly good in some key areas this week.

He ranks 7th in shots gained putting on the PGA Tour, and that metric should be a difference maker this week in what could well turn into a putting competition. Ranking 12th for birdie average, Ventura ranks 1st for going for the green and hitting green percentage, which, with four Par 5's this week can help.

Safeway Open Tip #3
Thu
Troy Merritt each-way
  • Two top tens since the restart
  • 10th for shots gained putting in this field
Odds correct as of 2020-09-07 20:25 Odds subject to change.

Last up this week is Troy Merritt who is 100/1 with Bet365 who are paying five places. For an extra two places you can back him at 90/1 with Betfred, whilst he's as short as 66/1 elsewhere so I advise you take the value early.

Merritt had some joy at Silverado when finishing fourth here in 2018, before missing the cut here twelve months ago. 

With two top tens since golf restarted, his game is in good shape, he was top 30 on his last start in the Northern Trust.

He's a good putter, ranking 26th in shots gained with the flat stick, he's also ranks 44th for driving accuracy, which equates to within the top 30 of this week's field.

There's enough in his locker in terms of course and recent form to throw a dart here at the prices and as a two time winner on the PGA Tour he can close out if in contention.

As ever, good luck with your bets if you're following and please gamble responsibly.

Follow me at Twitter @rustyboy75.

Post-lockdown form:

Winners

  • Jon Rahm - BMW Championship - advised at 14/1
  • Dustin Johnson - Northern Trust - advised at 20/1
  • Justin Thomas - WGC FedEx St Jude - advised at 12/1
  • Webb Simpson - RBC Heritage - advised at 30/1

Placed

  • Si Woo Kim - T3 Wyndham Championship - advised at 40/1
  • Jason Day - T4 USPGA Championship - advised at 40/1
  • Phil Mickelson - 2nd WGC FedEx St Jude - advised at 110/1
  • Viktor Hovland - 3rd Workday Charity Open - advised at 25/1
  • Kevin Streelman - T7 Workday Charity Open - advised at 60/1
  • Tyrrell Hatton - T4 Rocket Mortgage Classic - advised at 16/1
Free bets
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Money Back As CASH Up To £20 (APP Only)
#AD New customers only. Deposit £20 using card or Trustly. Up to your first £20 of losses will be refunded as CASH within 24 hours of qualifying bet having been settled. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after  settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after  the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Welcome Offer
#AD Open Account Offer. Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code ‘100BET365’ can be used during registration, but does not change the offer amount in any way. 18+ begambleaware.org.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £10 On Football & Get £40 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD £/€10 deposit using promo code "10FREE" - Minimum stake £/€10 at odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager the bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Casino Bonus expires after 60 days - Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & full T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 + 30 Free Spins
#AD New UK & NI customers only. Promo code SPORTS60. Deposit and place first sports bet of £10+ in one transaction, at odds of Evens (2.0)+, settled within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS validation may be required. Max 30 Free Spins on Blue Wizard at £0.10 per spin. 7-day expiry. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Get Up To £100 In Free Bets
#AD New customer offer. Place 5 x £10 or more bets to receive £20 in free bets. Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum £100 bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange bets excluded. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD. New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from acceptance (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. 18+
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply

Bet £10 On Football & Get £50 In Free Bets

#Ad. 18+ Playsafe. Place a pre-match £10 bet on any Football market between 2nd December and 24th December, at min. odds 1/2 (1.5) — get a total of £50 in free bets, £30 on bet settlement and an additional £20 the following day. Your qualifying bet must settle by Friday 23:59, 24th December. Only deposits via Cards will qualify (Apple Pay deposit excluded). T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org

Bet £10 Get £30 + 30 Free Spins

BLACK FRIDAY OFFER #AD New UK & NI customers only. Promo code SPORTS60. Deposit and place first sports bet of £10+ in one transaction, at odds of Evens (2.0)+, settled within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS validation may be required. Max 30 Free Spins on Blue Wizard at £0.10 per spin. 7-day expiry. Full T&Cs apply.

£40 Money Back Acca

#Ad. 18+ Playsafe. New customers only. Opt in, place your first bet on a football 4-fold or higher within 7 days of registration. League restrictions apply. We’ll refund in cash if your 1st bet loses. Valid from 09:00BST 17.09.21. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, 18+ begambleaware.org