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Premier League Top Scorer Cheat Sheet

Son Heung-min scored 17 goals last season and amassed an xG total of 10.7
Son Heung-min scored 17 goals last season and amassed an xG total of 10.7

The Premier League season kicks off in just over three weeks’ and after the success of our Cheat Sheets for the summer’s European Championships, we’ll be producing them for various Premier League outright markets and matches in the coming weeks. 

We’re starting things off by looking at the Top Goalscorer market. We’ve listed the main players, and have looked at some of their data from last season which includes, goals scored; xG and shots per game. 

It’s worth remembering that four places each-way are available with most bookmakers at 1/4 odds. There’s been some big prices land over the last few seasons with Danny Ings placing in 2020 at 200/1 and Sadio Mane being the joint winner at 50/1 in 2019. Read below who a few of the names we are drawn to with our stand out stats.

The Premier League season kicks off in just over three weeks’ and after the success of our Cheat Sheets for the summer’s European Championships, we’ll be producing them for various Premier League outright markets and matches in the coming weeks. 

We’re starting things off by looking at the Top Goalscorer market. We’ve listed the main players, and have looked at some of their data from last season which includes, goals scored; xG and shots per game. 

It’s worth remembering that four places each-way are available with most bookmakers at 1/4 odds. There’s been some big prices land over the last few seasons with Danny Ings placing in 2020 at 200/1 and Sadio Mane being the joint winner at 50/1 in 2019. Read below who a few of the names we are drawn to with our stand out stats.

Screen Shot 2021 07 22 At 14.08.55
Ts Cs 2
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Stand Out Stats

Diogo Jota only started 12 Premier League games last season and missed a large proportion of the campaign due to injury. The Portuguese forward scored nine goals and averaged 2.4 shots per game last term but was incredibly accurate with 1.4 on target per game. Only Harry Kane managed a better shots per game average than Jota last season and when we look at shots on target per 90 mins last season, Jota ranked top for players with 10+ appearances with an average of 2.1 on target per 90 mins.

The big question will be whether or not the 24-year-old will be a permanent starter for Jurgen Klopp’s side this season. However, after scoring a Champions League hat-trick and providing some impressive data last term he has the ability to step up and should he start scoring at the rate he was before his injury last season, it’s hard to see him being left out. At 33/1 with Bet365, Jota looks a reasonable each-way prospect with other firms such as Sky Bet taking a much more conservative approach at 11/1. 

It’s time to talk about Harry Kane. The ongoing transfer saga involving the Spurs talisman doesn’t seem to be going away any time soon. The 27-year-old is currently 4/7 to remain at his current club with Manchester City 6/5 to capture his signature before September 3rd. 

Kane is currently 7/2 with most bookmakers but 4/1 is out there with Boylesports. For those thinking about backing last season’s top goal scorer to win the award again, you may want to think that Kane will further shorten should he move to Manchester City. However, you should also consider that Pep is notorious for rotating his teams and the striker would most likely not feature in every league game like he would at Spurs. Another factor worth considering is that Kane is currently both the main free-kick and penalty taker for Tottenham and although he may get to be penalty taker at City if he did make a move, it’s hard to see him also on free-kick duty ahead of Kevin De Bruyne.

Premier League Top Scorer Odds

Despite questions over the relatively short price of 7/2 and speculation over which club he will be at come the end of the transfer window, there is no escaping Kane’s figures. He’s a three time winner of this award and over the last seven seasons he’s hit goal totals of: 21, 25, 29, 30, 17, 18 and most recently 23. Kane also increased the amount he was shooting last season, upping his shots per game from 2.7 in 2019/2020 to 3.9 per game in 2020/2021 and all in a season where he was supposed to have a deeper, more creative role. 7/2 is short and our advice would be to try and get him at 5/1 or bigger during the campaign. 

Two names we have already mentioned here at BettingOdds.com are both Edinson Cavani and Kai Havertz in our longshots to consider article. Kai Havertz has since been cut from the 100/1 we suggested into a current top price of 66/1. With the transfer of Erling Haaland still up in the air and the departure of Oliver Giroud, we feel Havertz could well find himself easily hitting double digits this term if his data from the end of last season is anything to go by. 

During March, April and May Tuchel often opted to play Havertz in the forward role at the head of a false-nine with Timo Werner out wide. To demonstrate just how much more prominent Havertz was having chances at the back end of last season, 4.5 of his total of 6.3xG all season in the Premier League came in April and May!

Edinson Cavani scored 10 Premier League goals in 26 appearances with 13 of those being from the substitutes bench. With a further six goals in just five Europa League appearances Cavani should his class and with an Old Trafford crowd raring to get behind him and show him some love, the fire can continue to burn. Another boost is Jadon Sancho’s arrival and his service should be music to the ears after the 41 league assists he’s provided in the three seasons in Germany. At 40/1 Cavani looks another suitable each-way prospect. 

Should Harry Kane remain at Spurs this season one player we’d be looking to avoid in this market is Son Heung-min. The South Korean scored 17 goals last season with 11 coming before christmas. Son only amassed 10.7xG in the campaign due to some impressive long range efforts and we’d be very surprised to see him reaching double figures again this December. 

You can view the full market below and compare prices from various bookmakers. Please always gamble responsibly. 

Premier League Top Scorer Odds

Harry Kane
WIN PROB: 22%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£40 FREE BET
3/1
£40 FREE BET
3/1
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Mohamed Salah
WIN PROB: 18%
1
£40 FREE BET
4/1
£40 FREE BET
4/1
£30 FREE BET
7/2
REVEAL OFFER
7/2
£20 FREE BET
7/2
£20 FREE BET
7/2
Timo Werner
WIN PROB: 6%
1
£40 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Raheem Sterling
WIN PROB: 5%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Gabriel Jesus
WIN PROB: 5%
1
£30 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Diogo Jota
WIN PROB: 3%
1
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Sadio Mane
WIN PROB: 4%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
WIN PROB: 4%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Bruno Fernandes
WIN PROB: 4%
1
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
WIN PROB: 3%
1
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Patrick Bamford
WIN PROB: 4%
1
£40 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Jamie Vardy
WIN PROB: 3%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Son Heung-min
WIN PROB: 2%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Ollie Watkins
WIN PROB: 3%
1
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
Edinson Cavani
WIN PROB: 2%
1
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Danny Ings
WIN PROB: 2%
1
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Heung-min Son
WIN PROB: 2%
1
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Raul Jiminez
WIN PROB: 2%
Kevin De Bruyne
WIN PROB: 2%
1
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Kelechi Iheanacho
WIN PROB: 2%
1
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Ivan Toney
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
Marcus Rashford
WIN PROB: 2%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Alexandre Lacazette
WIN PROB: 2%
1
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Callum Wilson
WIN PROB: 2%
1
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
Raul Jimenez
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
Kai Havertz
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Ferran Torres
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Jadon Sancho
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Tammy Abraham
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Teemu Pukki
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Michail Antonio
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Roberto Firmino
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Roberto Firminio
WIN PROB: 1%
Anthony Martial
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Alexandra Lacazette
WIN PROB: 1%
Jesse Lingard
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Patson Daka
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Mason Greenwood
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Gündogan, Ilkay
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Richarlison
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Neal Maupay
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Che Adams
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
Riyad Mahrez
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Fabio Silva
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
Chris Wood
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Phil Foden
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Christian Pulisic
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Ilkay Gundagan
WIN PROB: 1%
Joshua King
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£40 FREE BET
Carlos Vinicius
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
Dane Scarlett
WIN PROB: 1%
Rodri
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£40 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Tomas Soucek
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Francisco Trincao
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£40 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Emi Buendia
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Nicolas Pepe
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Raphinha
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Mason Mount
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Hakim Ziyech
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Jack Grealish
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£40 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Moise Kean
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£40 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
Josh King
WIN PROB: 1%
Milot Rashica
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£40 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£40 FREE BET
Christian Benteke
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£40 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
Wilfried Zaha
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£40 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£40 FREE BET
Marcus Forss
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£40 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
Ismaila Sarr
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£40 FREE BET
Ashley Barnes
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£40 FREE BET
Danny Welbeck
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£20 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
Harvey Barnes
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£40 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Wesley Moraes
WIN PROB: 0%