Oscars 2023 Odds

Who are the Nominees?

The nominees for this year’s six major categories are as follows:

Best Picture

• All Quiet on the Western Front
• Avatar: The Way of Water
• The Banshees of Inisherin
• Elvis
• Everything Everywhere All at Once
• The Fabelmans
• Tár
• Top Gun: Maverick
• Triangle of Sadness
• Women Talking

Best Director

• Martin McDonagh (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) 
• Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) 
• Steven Spielberg (“The Fabelmans”) 
• Todd Field (“Tár”) 
• Ruben Östlund (“Triangle of Sadness”)

Best Actor

• Austin Butler (“Elvis”) 
• Colin Farrell (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) 
• Brendan Fraser (“The Whale”) 
• Paul Mescal (“Aftersun”) 
• Bill Nighy (“Living”)

Best Actress

• Cate Blanchett (“Tár”) 
• Ana de Armas (“Blonde”) 
• Andrea Riseborough (“To Leslie”)
• Michelle Williams (“The Fabelmans”) 
• Michelle Yeoh (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Best Supporting Actor

• Brendan Gleeson (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) 
• Brian Tyree Henry (“Causeway”) 
• Judd Hirsch (“The Fabelmans”)
• Barry Keoghan (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) 
• Ke Huy Quan (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Best Supporting Actress

• Angela Bassett (“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”) 
• Hong Chau (“The Whale”) 
• Kerry Condon (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) 
• Jamie Lee Curtis (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”) 
• Stephanie Hsu (“Everything Everywhere All at Once”)

Who Are the Favourites?

Best Picture

Twisty sci-fi adventure Everything Everywhere All At Once leads the 2023 contenders with 11 nods, and is also the early frontrunner for the top prize; sitting odds-on with all operators in the market.

The Banshees of Inisherin - Martin McDonagh’s black comedy about a friendship’s end against an Irish Civil War backdrop - is the joint-second highest nominee alongside World War I epic All Quiet On the Western Front with nine and is believed to be the closest to snatching Best Picture from EEAAO’s jaws as a roughly 2/1 shot.

Best Director

The Everything Everywhere All At Once train continues chugging along as Kwan and Scheinert expectedly top the Best Director field. Best Picture and Best Director usually go hand-in-hand, but there have been 28 instances in which helmers took home directing honours without their films winning the top prize, most recently as last year with CODA and Jane Campion.

Academy darling Steven Spielberg is considered the only real chance of an upset in this category for his semi-autobiographical flick at a touch over EVS.

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The most prominent absentee appears to be Edward Berger - the main creative force behind Germany’s official submission All Quiet On the Western Front. Despite the Academy’s recent flirting with international directors, we knew there would likely only be capacity for one on this list.

Best Actor

No surprises from prediction lists when it comes to the five names shortlisted for Best Actor. Each of them is working a familiar angle in their performances, and that would traditionally make for a tough call, but maybe not this year.

Brendan Fraser is viewed as the latest to add his name to the list of Hollywood’s celebrated comeback stories. The former leading man has impressed with his return in Darren Aronofsky’s The Whale and the bookies are confident in him claiming the award having installed him as the odds-on favourite.

First-time nominee Colin Farrell closely follows at around the 9/4 mark, headlining The Banshees of Inisherin’s four acting nominees across Best Actor, Best Supporting Actor and Best Supporting Actress.

Best Actress

Cate Blanchett and Michelle Yeoh were the two locks for Best Actress, so expect to find them neck-and-neck in this year’s race. Blanchett is slightly favoured for her performance as fictional musician Lydia Tár. But as we know, preceding ceremonies can often sway the outcome of these major categories.

Ana de Armas’ controversial turn as Marilyn Monroe in the maligned Blonde completes the quartet with Globes, SAG, BAFTA and Oscar nods. But neither Armas, Michelle Williams nor Andrea Riseborough are anticipated to cause much of a stir on awards night.

Most Frequently Asked Questions About The 2023 Academy Awards