Odds shown as:

Wales Open Tips & Predictions: Keep the faith with Green

Three Wales Open tips and predictions from Celtic Manor.
Three Wales Open tips and predictions from Celtic Manor.

Our golf tipster Russell Palmer picks out three players to follow in this week's Wales Open on the European Tour...

It's the penultimate event in the UK Swing this week as Celtic Manor readies itself for another hammering from Thursday with the Wales Open. Much like Muirfield Village in the States hosting back-to-back tournaments earlier in the summer (Workday Charity Open & The Memorial), Celtic Manor's Twenty Ten course hosts this week's event, with the majority of players having played here last week in the Celtic Classic which was won by Sam Horsfield.

The Englishman has one two of his four starts during this UK Swing, plus another top ten finish and the 16/1 about his chances to win again this week had been snapped up by the time I came to write this week's column early on Tuesday morning.

At 16's Horsfield looked a really attractive price but the 12/1 is about right and he shares favouritism with Belgium's Thomas Pieters who finished third here last week.

Looking at the Muirfield events for clues as to how to approach this, the Memorial which was played second was almost like playing on a different course, as the organisers let the rough grow up and sped up the greens. Jon Rahm's winning total at the Memorial was ten shots more than Collin Morikawa carded for the Workday Charity Open a week earlier and although course set up maybe the same in Wales, conditions look set to make this week a much tougher challenge for the golfers.

With rain predicted all week and winds into the 20mph throughout the tournament we can expect this to be much more of a grind and higher scores than Horsfield's winning 18 under par.

Rahm had played the course the week before, finishing in a tie for 27th in the Workday before winning well the following week.

I've picked out three players who all lined up last week and showed signs that they were getting to grip with the course.

Golf odds
Wales Open at a glance
Wales Open at a glance
Wales Open Tip #1
Thu
Gavin Green each-way
  • Final round here of 63 (-8) last week
  • 19 birdies and two eagles at the course
Odds correct as of 2020-08-18 09:30 Odds subject to change.

Last week I joked that I could have copied and pasted the write up I gave Gavin Green for the English Championship and once again I make him my main pick, for a third week running.

He missed the cut at the English Championship but on four under par so it was no horror show, last week he never really played his way into contention but the final round eight under par 63 showed what he has in his armoury and I'm happy to give him another chance this week at 33/1 with 888Sport.

The Malaysian had 19 birdies and two eagles last week at this course and if he can cut out the silly mistakes that saw him shoot a double and a treble during the tournament he can be right up there on Sunday.

Tied for 11th in the end, his stats are consistently good this season, ranking top 25 for driving distance, driving accuracy, GIR, putts per GIR, average putts per GIR and third for stroke average this season.

US Open Odds
Wales Open Tip #2
Thu
Connor Syme each-way
  • Two top 10's since lockdown
  • Ranking 3rd for driving accuracy and 8th for GIR
Odds correct as of 2020-08-18 09:30 Odds subject to change.

Second up this week is the consistent Connor Syme, who was third here last week.

The Scotsman carded his second top-5 finish on the European Tour since lockdown was eased, finishing in a tie for 4th in the Austrian Open six weeks ago and making the cut on his other two starts.

That third place finish last week was in the main thanks to a third round 63 and drawing a blank on Sunday shooting a level par 71 things could have been different for the 25-year-old.

Syme's stats read really well, ranking 3rd for driving accuracy on the European Tour this season, 8th for greens in regulation and 8th for scoring average.

You can get 50/1 about Syme each-way with Bet365 paying five places which looks a good price.

Wales Open Tip #3
Thu
John Catlin
  • Two top 10's since lockdown including 6th here last week
  • 4 wins on the Asian Tour
Odds correct as of 2020-08-18 09:30 Odds subject to change.

Last up this week I have another golfer playing well who is a big price this week.

American John Catlin may not be a household name but he's trending in the right direction having picked up two top tens since the European Tour resumed.

Finishing in a tie for 6th place here on Sunday thanks to a final round 65, Caitlin ranked 1st for driving accuracy in his fourth round and ranks 6th for the season as a whole on the European Tour.

Carding all four rounds in the 60's, Caitlin also recorded a top ten in the Austrian Open and finished in the top 50 on his other two starts.

If you're worrying about whether he'd have the spuds coming down the stretch, don't. The 29 year old is a four time winner on the Asian Tour and knows what it takes to get over the line. At 90/1 with Paddy Power this week who are paying each-way down to seven places.

Best of the rest

As I mentioned at the top, don't be surprised to see Sam Horsfield go well again, he's clearly in excellent form but the 12/1 is about right.

Englishman Ross Fisher has been in and out with two missed cuts and two top 30 finishes. He shot a four under par 67 on Sunday and has some good vibes at the Twenty Ten course where he made his Ryder Cup debut ten years ago.

A player I'm keeping a close eye on the European Tour is Wilco Nienaber. The South African finished in a tie for 22nd last week which included 17 birdies and two eagles over the four days, plus he finished fourth in his only other start in the English Championship. The 21-year-old is an absolute bomber averaging nearly 340 yards off the tee and ranked number one on tour. 

Winning 21 titles as an amateur including the South African Amateur Championship last year, his swing speed is 135mph, which is Bryson DeChambeau levels. At 50/1 the bookmakers already have him well on side given his lack of experience, but one to watch for sure.

As ever, if you're following good luck with your bets and always gamble responsibly.

Follow me on twitter @rustyboy75.

Masters Odds
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Welcome Offer
#AD Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus
#AD New UK customers (Excluding NI) mobile only. £30 in FREE Bets (FB) as £20 in sports bets & a £10 casino bonus (CB). Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. FB applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. FB 7 day expiry. 1 FB offer per customer, household & IP address only. Payment restrictions. 14 days to accept £10 CB, then active for 3 days. CB 5x wagering & max redeemable £100. Game restrictions apply. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. 30 days to qualify. 18+. T&C's Apply. **18+. Prices subject to fluctuation and availability.  T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code R30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 3 x £10/€10, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Bet £10 get £30 in Free Bets
#AD New customers on mobile only. 7 days to claim and stake £10 minimum bet at odds of 1.5 or greater to qualify. Free, void, cashed out or partially cashed out bets do not qualify. Max 3x £10 free bets credited on bet settlement. Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 or greater. Free bets are non-withdrawable, and stake not returned with winnings. 7 day expiry. 18+BeGambleAware.org. T&Cs apply.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As Cash If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any market at odds of min 2.0 (EVS) and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply, 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 & Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+ New Customer offer. Place a min £10 bet on the Sportsbook on odds of min 1/2 (1.5), get £30 in Free Bets. Rewards valid for 30 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly.
Money back As A Bonus Up To £40 If Your First Bet Loses + £10 Casino
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org. New customers only. Min deposit £10. Money back as bonus if first sports bet loses. Wagering requirements: sportsbook 3x at min. odds of 1.40 (2/5), casino 50x. Unless forfeited the sportsbook bonus must be wagered before using the casino bonus. Bonus expires 7 days after opt-in. Visit Unibet.co.uk for full T&C's.
Double the odds, any sport, any bet, any odds!
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org Only valid for new registrations to Grosvenor Existing members do not qualify, Bet must be placed using real money in combination with the Odds Boost Token, Offer applies to Sport bets only. Max stake is £10. Each way bets are a maximum of £5 each way (£10 total). Customers have 60 days after registration to use the Odds Boost token. T&Cs apply.
100% Profit Boost up to £100 (Mobile Only)
#AD New UK customers only. Claim by placing a min deposit £10 via "My Offers" page within 30 days. Skrill/Neteller deposits excluded. 7 days to stake max £10 in-play. Max. extra winnings £100.T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins on Big Bass Bonanza, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £10 Get £10 In Free Bets (APP Only)
#AD New UK, IE & Malta customers only. Min £10/€10 first deposit using Debit Card. Place a bet of £10 at min odds of 1.5. Free bets expire in 90 days. Full T&Cs apply.  18+. BeGambleAware.org, T&Cs apply.
Bet £25 get £50 In Bonuses
#AD Place a qualifying £25 fixed odds bet at odds of 1/2 or greater and get £50 in bonuses 5 x £5 free fixed odds bets, 4 x free £5 spread bets + 50 free spins on Starburst. Qualifying bet cannot be placed in-play or cashed out early. T&Cs Apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 Get £40 in Bonuses
#AD New 18+ UK customers only. Register using the promo code WELCOME40, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets and £10 in Free Spins (50x20p) credited within 10 hours of bet settlement. Free Bet stakes are not included in any returns. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 get £15
#AD New customers only. 18+ begambleaware.org 1st Deposit, Min Deposit: £10, max £15 bonus, valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at a min. odds of 1/1 (2.00) or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement.T&C's apply.
Bet £10 get £10
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org, Welcome Bonus: This offer is for new customers only and is available once per household. Max. FreeBet amount: £10 Minimum Deposit and wagering on sport to activate the Free Bet is: £10 void/cancelled or cashed out bets do not count towards wagering to activate the free bet. Offer valid only to customers making a first deposit of £10 or more. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 get £20
#AD New customers only, welcome bonus: 1st deposit, min deposit: £10, max £20 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. system bets are not eligible. Neteller, Skrill, and PayPal are not eligible. , 18+ begambleaware.org
50% Up To £50 Welcome Bonus
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org; New bettors get 50% of deposit up to £50; Once per household; Min deposit £15 (no Skrill/Neteller); Wager a total of 8 times deposit + bonus, with max qualifying bet stake equal to your initial bonus amount; Bonus expires after 60 days; Min odds of 4/5 on singles, or 2/5 per leg for acca; Some bet types excluded; See full terms.
Bet £10 & Get £30 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD Promo code: 30FB • Min deposit £10 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 • Min odds 1/2 (1.50) • Free Bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days • Free Bet stakes not included in returns • Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days and expires after 14 days • To withdraw any winnings from the Casino Bonus, wager the Bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & Full T&Cs apply. 18+ & Begambleaware
£35 Free Bet + 10 Free Spins
If your account has Sportsbook losses at the end of your first day's betting, QuinnBet will refund 50% of your losses as a Free Bet up to £35 (min 3 bets) Plus 10 Free Spins. Even if your account is up, you're guaranteed a £5 Free Bet Plus 10 Free Spins provided you place at least 1 bet of £10 or greater at the minimum odds. T&Cs apply | 18+ New UK Customers Only | BeGambleAware.org