Premier League Cheat Sheet: Four picks for Wednesdays game including large 12/1 shot

There are six Premier League games being played on Wednesday night in the Amazon Prime Video exclusive midweek slot. We have scoured the markets and have created Wednesday 'Cheat Sheets' to help identify key stats and angles to help with your EPL selections. 

As always, please remember to gamble responsibly and bet within your limits.

Southampton Fouls/Cards

The Saints defender Mohamed Salisu ranks 8th in the Premier League for fouls and is joint tenth for yellow cards with four. Yet, despite this he is priced quite generously in the betting at 7/2. Southampton have had a man sent off in their last three home games vs Leicester and I can foresee more issues this time out with Vardy, Barnes and Maddison in rampant form. 

Chelsea Shots/Goals

Top of the table Chelsea will be looking to come out firing after two disappointing score draws in their last two home fixtures, against a lowly Watford team that conceded four goals at the weekend.  Having rested Mason Mount against Manchester United he's very likely to start here and will be refreshed against a shaky Watford defence. 

He ranks 6th in total shots for the blues but is first in shots on target and should have some joy here. Mount to have more than one shot on target is priced at 7/4 with William Hill.

Brighton Cards

Brighton are short of goals having scored only once in their last 270 minuted of Premier League action and will be looking to recall more attacking options to help them provide more of a spark upfront. This could open the door for Adam Lallana who is likely to be recalled here for the visit to the London Stadium.

We're hoping to use that fact to our advantage as Lallana is not only creative but combative and has received 4 yellow cards in his 12 appearances so far this season. He's best priced 13/2 at bet365 to be shown a card in the 90 minutes and we think this is fantastic value given he is as short as 7/2 elsewhere. 

Man City Shots/Goals

A new managerial tussle is born on Wednesday night that's sure to give us some intriguing battles in the future. Pep Guardiola takes his City side to take on Steven Gerrard's Villa side who are perfect so far in his reign and this will be his hardest test to date. 

City left back João Cancelo has been superb this season and yet again is our featured pick here. He has 29 shots from 13 appearances so far, the most of any City player, and has registered 10 of those on target. Remarkably ,he's yet to score in the Premier League, although he has scored in Europe, and I fancy him to break his duck this midweek. What makes this a really interesting proposition is the price on offer. Value kings bet365 have him way out at 12/1 for anytime goal scorer which looks way too long, especially considering he's as short as 9/2 elsewhere!