Euro 2024 Permutations: What does each nation need to reach Championships?

Every child growing up dreams of representing their national team in a tournament, and plenty of players have already secured their team's spot at Euro 2024. However, with just a few games left to be played, a host of nations/hopes still hang in the balance. Here at BettingOdds we are here to guide you through which teams need what in the final few games of Euro 2024 qualification. With Nations League rankings playing a part it is more confusing than in the past, but here is what we know so far...

Group A

A mercifully easy start for our number crunching boffins here as Spain and Scotland have already been confirmed as the qualifiers through Group A. The Spaniards were heavy favourites to win the group and have duly obliged, but the Scots have surprised many and have played some brilliant stuff to secure their spot at a major tournament. Spain are a best price 8/1 to win their first Euros since 2012, while those patriotic Scotsmen can back the Tartan Army at 80/1. Scott McTominay has managed the same goals (6) as Erling Haaland in qualifying and could be a massive outsider for golden boot glory when the tournament begins. Elsewhere in Group A, current fourth placed side Georgia are confirmed of a play-off spot due to their Nations League performances.

Group B

This group is not quite as clear cut as the pool above, but we do have two sides that cannot qualify which are Rep. Ireland and Gibraltar. France have already qualified as Group B winners, while Netherlands know if they beat Republic of Ireland they will be confirmed as the second team to qualify through the group. If this does occur, Greece will be forced into the play-offs if they are to have any hope of making it to Germany next summer. The 2004 champions' only hope of automatic qualification is if the Irish upset Netherlands, which seems unlikely. France are second favourites to win the Euros and make amends for their World Cup heartbreak at 9/2, while Netherlands can be backed to win a first major international honour at 16/1.

Group C

Despite not winning a major international trophy since 1966 and having the millstone of Gareth Southgate's negative tactics around their neck, a Jude Bellingham inspired England are 4/1 favourites for Euro 2024 and are safely through qualifying. The best midfielder in the world, the best striker in the world and a host of wonderful players acting as support for Bellingham and Kane's brilliance means perhaps England's place atop the market is justified, although they will have to defy the weight of history and expectation. 

In this group, both Malta and North Macedonia are eliminated at the bottom of the group, but it is still all to play for between Italy and Ukraine. If Italy beat North Macedonia, they will pip Ukraine to qualification should they avoid defeat in their final game. However, If Italy do not beat North Macedonia, Ukraine will qualify at North Macedonia's expense so long as they are not defeated in their final match. Bookmakers have made Italy long odds on to qualify and have the Azzurri as a 16/1 chance to defend their Euros title, four years on from breaking English hearts at Wembley.

Group D

Turkey have qualified already through this group, but outside of them things are wide open. Wales will qualify if they beat Armenia and Croatia lose to Latvia, so are in the driving seat. It has been a real golden period recently for the Welsh national side and they are expected to make it to another major tournament, but if they lose Croatia will be ready to pounce. The 2018 World Cup finalists could leapfrog Wales if results go their way but are unable to finish in the top two, and will be confirmed in the play-offs if they lose and Wales win. Armenia cannot qualify if they lose to Wales, obviously, but know they must win if they are to be assured of qualification. A draw would not be good enough were Croatia to win their game.

Latvia are the only team mathematically out of it in Group D. Turkey may be confirmed at Euro 2024 but are a big price to lift the trophy at 80/1, while Croatia are 33s. Wales can be backed at a general 150/1.

Group E

Now this is a real head-scratcher of a group. No nation is mathematically assured of a place at Euro 2024. The Faroe Islands are out of contention, Albania are in the best position of the remaining quartet and will qualify if they avoid defeat by Moldova, or if Poland beat Czechia. Czechia in second right now will qualify if they beat Poland and Moldova do not win. Poland have it all to do and are unable to finish in the top two if they do not win their game, or if Moldova beat Albania. Finally, Moldova are the least likely of all to make it according to the odds. This is a biggie so get the thinking cap on: Moldova are unable to finish in the top two if they lose to Albania and Poland vs Czechia does not end in a draw, or if Moldova draw and Czechia win. Simple, eh?

This group looks pretty unlikely to give us the overall Euro 2024 winner, but the shortest odds contestant is Czechia who are a best priced 100/1 with bet365 at the time of writing. 

Group F

After the madness of Group E, a welcome relief. Group F is already settled. No permutations to write about here, just the glorious efficiency shown by Belgium and Austria to get the job done with minimal fuss. Both will be in the hunt for glory come summer in 2024, with the Belgians a 16/1 poke and Austria out at 66/1. With their propensity to choke on the big stage, perhaps that Belgium price looks skinny, but many are sure to latch onto their record goalscorer Romelu Lukaku as a golden boot bet when odds are released.

Group G

Two must fit into three in Group G, with Hungary and Serbia looking the safe bet to make it through at the summit with 14 and 13 points respectively. Montenegro are still mathematically in it, but must win their last two group games to stand any chance of qualification for the Championships. The likely qualifiers from this pool are both available to back at 100/1 to win the tournament outright, while those hopeful Montenegro backers can get 1000/1 on them doing the impossible. Good luck if backing that one...

Group H

San Marino, Northern Ireland and Finland cannot qualify though the group here, however, the Fins are confirmed for a spot in the play-offs, so at least get a second bite at the cherry. Slovenia and Denmark are both nearly home and hosed on 19 points, while the only potential challenger Kazakhstan are four points adrift and know they must be perfect or will join Finland in the play-offs. They need to win their last two and hope other results go their way. Denmark are 28/1 to win Euro 2024 and will be fired by Man United hot shot Rasmus Hojlund, who could be a sneaky Golden Boot contender come next summer, while Slovenia are a best priced 66/1.

Group I

Andorra and Belarus cannot qualify in this penultimate group, while Kosovo are hanging by a thread and need Israel to do them a favour by beating Switzerland. Israel need to win both of their remaining games if they are to qualify through the groups, which looks unlikely considering the odds being offered by bookmakers right now. They look destined to be sent to the play-offs. Switzerland and Romania have a simpler objective; if either beats Israel, both will qualify. This is another group that doesn't look heavy hitting, with Switzerland the best priced team to win Euro 2024 at 66/1 while Romania are even bigger at 200/1. Israel are bigger again at 250/1.

Group J

Finally we come to Group J, and the only perfect team in qualifying Portugal are of course mathematically home and hosed. 24 points from 8 games only tells half the story as they have been scintillating at times, and as such are just 9/1 to lift the trophy. Liechtenstein are out already, and with 0 points they are probably relieved it's nearly over. Slovakia will qualify in second should they avoid defeat against Iceland, while the Icelandics need to win to be in with a sniff. Luxembourg sit third now but need Slovakia to lose and to beat Bosnia and Herzegovina (who are confirmed as in the play-offs) if they are to keep any small chance of qualification. Outside of Portugal this bunch don't stand much chance of winning the Euros, with Slovakia at 100/1 the best chance.