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UFC 283 Betting Tips: Hill, Figueiredo and Craig feature in our treble

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The UFC is back! Well technically it was back last week with Strickland vs Imavov but this time we have a numbered card to look forward to and what a card it is. Headlining the card is Glover Teixeira vs Jamahal Hill but that is not the only big fight on the card. We have Figueiredo vs Moreno 4, Burns vs Magny, Craig vs Walker, the list goes on.

We’ll take a look through the whole card and pick out our three best bets for the action and combine them into a treble, so without further ado, let’s start with the main event.

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Jamahal Hill to win via KO/TKO, Deiveson Figueiredo to win, Paul Craig to win via submission
15.65/1
Odds correct as of 2023-01-20 16:11 Odds subject to change.

Teixeira vs Hill

Glover Teixeira has seemingly aged like a fine wine and the latter stages of his UFC career have been his best where he has claimed the Light Heavyweight title taking out, Nikita Kyrlov Anthony Smith, Thiago Santos, and then beating Jan Blachowicz in a title fight. He unfortunately came up just short against Jiri Prochazka but he did himself proud and fully tested the out-of-action champion.

The Brazilian is not shy of fighting the best and this could be another seriously hard fight for the 43-year-old but he has proved time and time again that he is capable of beating anyone and age is just a number. His opponent Jamalah Hill has been impressive since coming into the UFC only facing defeat once in a brutal loss to Paul Craig where his arm was snapped. Jamalah Hill has recently taken out Jimmy Crute, Johnny Walker and Thiago Santos which has been enough to get him a title shot following Prochazka vacating the title due to injury.

Hill comes in as the favourite for this one but only marginally with Teixeira being an 11/10 underdog and Hill being the 8/11 favourite. Going off purely CVs alone, you’d fancy Glover but age really does catch up to UFC fighters and as they get older, their chins do deteriorate and Glover has been stopped three times in his career. 

Hill has seven knockouts on his record and four of those have come in his last four victories. It’s clear that he is more than confident in his striking ability and if this turns into a striking matchup, Hill will come out on top in a big way. Glover is by no means bad on the feet but he has never been a striker and has always relied on his submissions especially as of late.

I think with Hill having age massively on his side and being the bigger fighter, this could be a fairly comfortable night for him. Glover is great at bringing people into deep waters but I don’t see how this fight gets to the ground. Jamahal Hill via KO/TKO is 11/10 and that will be kicking things off for our bets!

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Deiveson Figueiredo vs Brandon Moreno

It’s now the fourth time that these two will be fighting and in all fairness, the last three fights have been great viewing but it’s a bit tedious seeing the same fighters going at it for the title. It’s one win a piece for both fighters with the other one finishing as a draw due to a point deduction for Figueiredo.

The Champ is currently 35 years old and he will be hoping this is his last fight against Moreno and settle this saga once and for all. Strangely enough he comes in as the betting underdog for this one despite arguably winning two fights and having the better record. Daico is 11/1/1 in the UFC which is a phenomenal record and he has proved his class every step of the way. 

Moreno has stepped up his career massively as he has got into his prime, from nearly being cut from the UFC to becoming the UFC Flyweight Champion. He proved his performances aren’t just a one off against the Champ by beating Kai Kara France for the interim title which has resulted in these two facing off once again.

Seeing Moreno as the favourite is quite surprising considering their previous fighters and that is ultimately leading me to side with Figueriredo to get another win here, purely from a value perspective I feel you have to side with him. I was surprised when I saw the odds, I thought he would be a marginal favourite but he’s 11/10 with William Hill and that has to be the play. Over their three fights, he has been the better fighter and after all he is the champion for a reason. 

UFC Odds
Jamahal Hill to win via KO/TKO, Deiveson Figueiredo to win, Paul Craig to win via submission
15.65/1
Odds correct as of 2023-01-20 16:11 Odds subject to change.

Paul Craig vs Johnny Walker

Once upon a time, Johnny Walker was a man to be feared and was tipped up by many to claim Light Heavyweight gold. Unfortunately, that’s not been the case and he has now racked up seven losses, four of those coming in the UFC. He is still a dangerous man but has disappointed so far.

This fight will be another tough test and if Paul Craig can get this fight to the ground, you can consider it done. Paul Craig is jiu jitsu wizard and is easily one of the best to ever be in the sport. It’s surprising to see a Scottish jiu jitsu mastermind but he really is special in that area and poses a massive threat to anyone in the division.

Craig actually gave Jamahal Hill his only loss after a brutal submission (went down as a TKO due to an arm break) and he is headlining the card for the title, that should tell you how dangerous he is. Craig comes in as a betting underdog for this, i think that is due to his last performance which was less than ideal, but I do not believe Johnny Walker to be all that skilled compared to Craig.

Walker is a strange fighter, love him or hate him, he’s action, but sometimes that plays against him and this time I think he is underestimating how dangerous Craig is and I think the Scot is great value to win via submission. 13 of Bearjew’s wins have come via submission and he has taken out some of the best, Mauricio Rua, Nikita Kyrlov, Magomed Akalaev, just to name a few. He’s 11/4 to win via submission and I see that as the only way he wins this fight. 11/4 is great value and that finishes off our treble1

Pricing these all up with William Hill gives us a bet that is priced at 15.54/1 and can be boosted to 17.39/1 using William Hill’s acca freedom offer. As always best of luck to everyone that is following and remember to gamble responsibly.

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