Kenya Open Tips & Predictions: Three against the field at Karen Country Club

Russell Palmer returns to European Tour action this week with another three golf betting tips from the Kenya Open which tees off on Thursday...
It's a pretty low key event in Africa this week for the Kenya Open, the first of a double header of tournaments at the Karen Country Club in Nairobi.
A short track, this looks like a classic plotters course and I've picked out three players who have a bit of decent recent form and course form, with the course having hosted Challenge Tour and Sunshine Tour events in the past as well as on the Euro Tour in 2019.
The betting is headed by America's Kurt Kitayama at 18/1 who finished in the top ten last week in Qatar, whilst the likes of Matthias Schwab and Kalle Samooja are also prominent in the betting at 25/1 and 22/1 respectively.
George Coetzee is somebody I've backed before at triple digit prices in better fields than this but I'm put off by the 28/1 about him missing the cut last week.
Instead I've gone for three picks I think have a genuine good chance of getting into the frame.
First up I'm going for Jamie Donaldson at 30/1 with Bet365 paying five places.
The Welshman may have been pretty quiet in the past couple of years but at his best would be at the head of the pack here. His fifth place finish last week was an eye opener and his game should be suited to this track, ranking 4th on the European Tour for driving accuracy this season.
With just one missed cut in his last five events and a second place finish in the South African Open at the end of 2020, I like Donaldson's chances of continuing his form from last week and going close again here.
At 50/1 I like the chances of Joachim B Hansen with Bet365.
The Dane has some good form in the bank and featured at the sharp end of some good tournaments in 2020.
T7 in the BMW PGA Championship before going on to win the Joburg Open, Hansen has the experience to win a tournament of this nature and like Donaldson has a top 10 finish from last week to build upon.
At his best I'd make him a 30/1 shout this week so I consider the 50/1 good value.
Last up this week I'm taking a bit of a flier in the shape of Daniel van Tonder who is best price 50/1 with Unibet paying six places.
The South African comes here fresh from finishing second in the Sunshine Tour Players Championship last week and he has some good course form in the book.
van Tonder's form at Karen Country Club reads 5-12-5-12 in his four starts here and I like his price about putting in a good performance here.
As ever, good luck with your bets if you're following and please gamble responsibly. I'm going to keep showing my record post lockdown for a few weeks until we have some 2021 results to show.
Follow me at Twitter @rustyboy75.
Post-lockdown form:
Winners
- Daniel Berger - Pebble Beach Pro-am - advised at 14/1
- Tyrrell Hatton - BMW PGA Championship - advised at 16/1
- John Catlin - Irish Open - advised at 40/1
- Jon Rahm - BMW Championship - advised at 14/1
- Dustin Johnson - Northern Trust - advised at 20/1
- Justin Thomas - WGC FedEx St Jude - advised at 12/1
- Webb Simpson - RBC Heritage - advised at 30/1
Placed
- Colin Morikawa - T7 Sony Open In Hawaii - advised at 14/1
- Xander Schauffele - T5 Sentry Tournament of Champions - advised at 10/1
- Laurie Canter - 2nd Italian Open - advised at 45/1
- Kristoffer Ventura - T6 Sanderson Farms Championship - advised at 80/1
- Xander Schauffele - 5th US Open - advised at 16/1
- Kristoffer Ventura - T7 Safeway Open - advised at 80/1
- Laurie Canter - 2nd Portugal Masters - advised at 66/1
- Si Woo Kim - T3 Wyndham Championship - advised at 40/1
- Jason Day - T4 USPGA Championship - advised at 40/1
- Phil Mickelson - 2nd WGC FedEx St Jude - advised at 110/1
- Viktor Hovland - 3rd Workday Charity Open - advised at 25/1
- Kevin Streelman - T7 Workday Charity Open - advised at 60/1
- Tyrrell Hatton - T4 Rocket Mortgage Classic - advised at 16/1