Italy vs. Scotland Predictions: Scotland to pile the misery on the Italians in Rome
Italy vs Scotland Odds
On a weekend where we’ve got two cracking fixtures in Wales vs France and England vs Ireland, it’s fair to say that Italy vs Scotland will probably end up going a little under the radar.
Italy vs Scotland Tips
Nevertheless, that doesn’t mean that it can’t be a cracker! Recent fixtures haven’t gone their way, but Italy have actually beaten Scotland twice in the last 10 years in the Six Nations, which is a pretty good record for themselves. The home side are as big as 14/1 with BoyleSports to come out victorious in Rome, with the Scots priced as short as 1/50. There’s never been a draw between these two nations, but if you think there could be, you can get as big as 66/1 with the previously mentioned BoyleSports.
Gregor Townsend has made five changes to the Scotland starting XV, with Sam Johnston starting, and Kyle Steyn replacing Duhan van der Merwe on the wing. Italy will of course be looking to avoid another wooden spoon, and their best chance of a victory may well come in this game. Bristol-born Callum Braley starts at scrum-half for the Italians, with Giacomo Nicotera making his debut at hooker. As ever, we’ve looked ahead to the game, and put together two tips.
First up, we’re going with Scotland to win by 31-40 points. Italy have only lost by this margin once so far at the Six Nations, losing 33-0 to England. But interestingly, if you take their average points conceded per game, you end up with 39, and their average scored per game is just over five, which lands us nicely around the 34 mark. I don’t think the Italians will have enough to hold out and overcome the Scots, who have been impressive over the last year or so, and 9/2 for this bet to land is just a bit higher than the 4/1 offered elsewhere.
Next up, as we mentioned, Kyle Steyn is coming into the starting lineup to replace the banned Duhan van der Merwe. The South African born winger will be missed for Scotland, having impressed for his nation and the Lions over the last 18 months or so, but Steyn should prove an able deputy. On his first and what I believe was his last start for Scotland, Steyn ended up scoring four tries against Tonga in October 2021. I expect him to get plenty of chances on Saturday, and the 20/1 just looked too enticing to turn down.
Good luck if you’re following any of these bets, and please remember to gamble responsibly.
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