Odds shown as:
FT
POR
1-2
SRB
Odds & Stats
FT
SMR
0-10
ENG
Odds & Stats
FT
POL
1-2
HUN
Odds & Stats
FT
ALB
1-0
AND
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FT
SCO
2-0
DEN
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FT
ISR
3-2
FRO
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FT
AUT
4-1
MDA
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FT
SUI
4-0
BUL
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FT
NIR
0-0
ITA
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FT
NED
2-0
NOR
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FT
MNE
1-2
TUR
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FT
GIB
1-3
LVA
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FT
FIN
0-2
FRA
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0-2
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1-1
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CZE
2-0
EST
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Thu 24 Mar17:00
RUS
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Thu 24 Mar19:45
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Thu 24 Mar19:45
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Thu 24 Mar19:45
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World Cup 2022: Everything you need to know about the Play-Offs

Steve Clarke's Scotland have been drawn in the same path as Wales, meaning one home nation will miss out.
Steve Clarke's Scotland have been drawn in the same path as Wales, meaning one home nation will miss out.

There's just over a year to wait until the World Cup 2022 kicks-off and with qualifying finished we've taken a look ahead to the play-offs and provided you with everything you need to know, from the format, to the ties that lie ahead and of course, the odds!

What's the format?

A new format for this tournament sees the number of playoff teams increase from 8 to 12 teams who will fight it out for three remaining places at the 2022 Qatar World Cup. They consist of the 10 European group runners up and the two highest ranked UEFA Nations League group winners who finished out of the top 2 in World Cup qualifying. These countries have then separated into three 4-team sections, each featuring a Semi Final(seeded vs unseeded) and Final. The three winners will then join the 10 European group winners in the tournament proper on November 21st 2022.

Who’s qualified for Qatar ?

The ten European group winners who have qualified for WC2022 are as followed(current FIFA World rankings):

Serbia(25), Spain(7), Switzerland(14), France(3), Belgium(1), Denmark(10), Netherlands(11), Croatia(18), England(5) and Germany(12).

 

World Cup Odds

Who does that leave in the playoff spots?

The ten group runners up are joined by the top two ranked teams from the Nations League tournament who haven't already qualified. They have been seeded by a complex ranking system:

To determine the six best runners-up allocated to Pot 1, firstly the results of the group runners-up against the teams in sixth place (for groups with six teams) were discarded and then the following criteria applied in the order given:
a. higher number of points
b. superior goal difference
c. higher number of goals scored
d. higher number of away goals scored
e. higher number of wins
f. higher number of away wins
g. lower disciplinary points total based only on yellow and red cards received by players and team officials (red card = three points, yellow card = one point, sending-off for two yellow cards in one match = three points)
h. access list for the UEFA Nations League 2020/21

This leaves us with the following groups. 

Seeded

Portugal(8)

Scotland(42)

Italy(4)

Russia(33)

Sweden(17)

Wales(19)

Unseeded

Turkey(39)

Poland(23)

North Macedonia(74)

Ukraine(26)

Austria(32)(via NL)

Czech Republic(31)(via NL)

The seeded teams will play their play off semi final at home.

World Cup Qualifying Odds

Who will we see play each other in the playoffs?

Path A: 

Scotland v Ukraine

Wales v Austria (Home tie in final)

Path B:

Russia v Poland (Home tie in final)

Sweden v Czech Republic

Path C: 

Italy v North Macedonia

Portugal v Turkey (Home tie in final)

The winners of the semi-finals will go into a final. The winners of Paths A, B and C will reach Qatar 2022.

Looking at the tie and there are two stand out observations to make. Firstly, one of the home nations will miss out as they are drawn in the same path. Even if Scotland and Wales win their tricky ties against Ukraine and Austria they will still have to face each other in a winner takes all battle in Cardiff.

Secondly, the same exact scenario in Path C means that one of Europe's super-powers will not be at Qatar 2022. Italy and Portugal face ties vs North Macedonia and Turkey respectively and could face off in Portugal for the right to be at the World Cup tournament proper after Os Navegadores secured the huge home tie advantage in the final, should they win.  

When will the ties take place?

Play-off semi-finals: Thursday 24 March 2022
Play-off finals: Tuesday 29 March 2022

How do the odds look?

Path A looks tight. Very tight. All four teams are priced between 5/2  and 10/3 to qualify. It's pretty much a pick-em situation in both fixtures and it's going to be extremely difficult for either home nation to navigate from this group. 

Path B is a similar situation with Russia slight favourites (9/4) ahead of Sweden (5/2) and then Poland (3/1). Czech Republic are the outsiders in the group but still at a pretty tight 11/2.

Path C looks like a two-horse race. Both Italy and Portugal are massive favourites in their home semi-finals and are priced joint favourites at 13/10 to qualify for Qatar.  Turkey are out at 10/1 and North Macedonia look bereft of hope bringing up the rear in the betting at 33/1. 

We will have more markets on site as the matches become nearer...

Path A games

Scotland
WIN PROB: 40%
1
£30 FREE BET
6/4
£30 FREE BET
6/4
REVEAL OFFER
Draw
WIN PROB: 29%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
2/1
Ukraine
WIN PROB: 36%
1
£30 FREE BET
9/5
REVEAL OFFER
9/5
£30 FREE BET
9/5
Odds correct as of 2021-12-07 06:16 Odds subject to change.

  • PROB
    %
WALES
WIN PROB: 36%
Draw
WIN PROB: 30%
AUSTRIA
WIN PROB: 40%
Odds correct as of 2021-11-26 17:47 Odds subject to change.

Path B games

Russia
WIN PROB: 42%
1
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
Draw
WIN PROB: 30%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Poland
WIN PROB: 33%
1
£30 FREE BET
2/1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
Odds correct as of 2021-12-07 06:15 Odds subject to change.

Sweden
WIN PROB: 48%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
Draw
WIN PROB: 30%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
9/4
Czech Republic
WIN PROB: 29%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
9/4
Odds correct as of 2021-12-07 06:17 Odds subject to change.

Path C games

Italy
WIN PROB: 82%
1
REVEAL OFFER
2/9
£30 FREE BET
1/5
£30 FREE BET
Draw
WIN PROB: 14%
1
REVEAL OFFER
6/1
£30 FREE BET
5/1
£30 FREE BET
5/1
North Macedonia
WIN PROB: 7%
1
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
9/1
Odds correct as of 2021-12-07 06:16 Odds subject to change.

Portugal
WIN PROB: 74%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
Draw
WIN PROB: 20%
1
REVEAL OFFER
4/1
£30 FREE BET
7/2
£30 FREE BET
7/2
Turkey
WIN PROB: 13%
1
£30 FREE BET
7/1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
Odds correct as of 2021-12-07 06:17 Odds subject to change.

World Cup Playoff Odds

Austria
WIN PROB: 29%
1
£30 FREE BET
5/2
£30 FREE BET
9/4
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
Wales
WIN PROB: 29%
1
£30 FREE BET
5/2
£30 FREE BET
9/4
£30 FREE BET
9/4
£20 FREE BET
£100 FREE BET
Scotland
WIN PROB: 23%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
3/1
£100 FREE BET
3/1
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Ukraine
WIN PROB: 22%
1
£20 FREE BET
7/2
£100 FREE BET
7/2
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
3/1
Odds correct as of 2021-12-07 11:58 Odds subject to change.

Memorable Play-off moments

Le Hand of God - France 2-1 Republic of Ireland , Nov 18th 2009

Perhaps the most famous playoff game of all time. France took a 1-0 lead into the second leg following a narrow victory at Croke Park, Dublin but Ireland headed into the game feeling positive and were rewarded by Robbie Keane's goal which levelled the tie after regulation time. 

However, after 103 minutes everything changed. France won a free kick inside Ireland's half and aimed a floated delivery which looked to be heading harmlessly out of play. All of a sudden Thierry Henry stopped the ball, not once but twice, first with his arm, then with his hand and crossed the ball across goal for William Gallas to head home.

The outcry that followed didn't finish on the night. Henry, who previously was seen as a very sporting player,  was hounded as a cheat and compared to drugs cheat Athlete Ben Johnson and disgraced Ice Skater Tonya Harding. Ireland, having threatened to sue FIFA in an attempt to get the game replayed were the recipient of a $5m payoff. A dark night for playoff football.

Ronaldo's Hat Trick - Sweden 2-3 Portugal, Nov 19th 2013

This contest was billed as a contest between Sweden's mercurial Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Portuguese goalscoring freak Cristiano Ronaldo. Portugal arrived in Stockholm with a goal lead from the first leg, scored by Ronaldo of course. 

After dominating the first half Portugal doubled their lead in the tie through, who else? Ronaldo. Sweden , however, weren't about to back down and a header and then a fantastic free kick from Zlatan put them level. 

Ronaldo, though, was about to have his final say and dispatched the swedes with two quickfire goals to send Portugal through with an aggregate 4-2 scoreline. A fantastic tie settled by 5 goals in only 29 minutes!

World Cup 2022 Odds

Brazil
WIN PROB: 14%
1
£20 FREE BET
6/1
REVEAL OFFER
6/1
£30 FREE BET
6/1
£30 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
France
WIN PROB: 13%
1
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
6/1
REVEAL OFFER
6/1
£30 FREE BET
6/1
£40 FREE BET
6/1
£30 FREE BET
England
WIN PROB: 12%
1
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
7/1
REVEAL OFFER
7/1
£30 FREE BET
7/1
£40 FREE BET
7/1
£30 FREE BET
7/1
Spain
WIN PROB: 11%
1
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
8/1
REVEAL OFFER
8/1
£30 FREE BET
8/1
£40 FREE BET
8/1
£30 FREE BET
8/1
Germany
WIN PROB: 9%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
9/1
£30 FREE BET
9/1
£40 FREE BET
9/1
£20 FREE BET
Argentina
WIN PROB: 8%
1
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
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£30 FREE BET
Belgium
WIN PROB: 6%
1
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
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Italy
WIN PROB: 6%
1
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
Netherlands
WIN PROB: 5%
1
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£40 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Portugal
WIN PROB: 4%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
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£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Denmark
WIN PROB: 2%
1
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£40 FREE BET
Croatia
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
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Colombia
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
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Uruguay
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
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Switzerland
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£40 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
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USA
WIN PROB: 1%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
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Serbia
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£30 FREE BET
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Mexico
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
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Chile
WIN PROB: 1%
1
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
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£30 FREE BET
Sweden
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Russia
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£40 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Qatar
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£40 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Poland
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
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£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Algeria
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
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REVEAL OFFER
Austria
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
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£30 FREE BET
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Wales
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
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£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
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£20 FREE BET
Ukraine
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£40 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Senegal
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
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Ivory Coast
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Morocco
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£40 FREE BET
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£30 FREE BET
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£30 FREE BET
Nigeria
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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REVEAL OFFER
Romania
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
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Cameroon
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£40 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£20 FREE BET
Turkey
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
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Czech Republic
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
£20 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
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£30 FREE BET
Ecuador
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
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Egypt
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Ghana
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Japan
WIN PROB: 0%
1
REVEAL OFFER
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Paraguay
WIN PROB: 0%
1
REVEAL OFFER
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Peru
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
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£30 FREE BET
REVEAL OFFER
£30 FREE BET
Scotland
WIN PROB: 0%
1
REVEAL OFFER
£40 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
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Australia
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
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Korea Republic
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Iran
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Tunisia
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
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China PR
WIN PROB: 0%
1
REVEAL OFFER
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North Macedonia
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
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Canada
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
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REVEAL OFFER
Mali
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£30 FREE BET
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South Africa
WIN PROB: 0%
1
£40 FREE BET
£30 FREE BET
Saudi Arabia
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Costa Rica
WIN PROB: 0%