Wimbledon 2025 Men's Betting Tips: 40/1 Prediction for Men's Singles Title
Wimbledon gets underway today in what is set to be a scorching day's play at SW19, with defending men’s champion Carlos Alcaraz returning to begin his quest for a third consecutive title.
We’ve picked out three Wimbledon betting tips on the men’s side, including a 40/1 value selection and a 120/1 long shot worth keeping an eye on.
Wimbledon Men's Prediction & Betting Tips
Carlos Alcaraz To Win Wimbledon
The betting market frames this as a tight two-player race between Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner – a modern rivalry that’s quickly become one of tennis’s most compelling. The pair have split the last six Grand Slams evenly, with three wins apiece, but it’s Alcaraz who leads the overall count with five major titles.
Alcaraz is the marginal favourite at 6/4 with most firms, though SpreadEX stand out with a best price of 13/10 on the Spaniard to lift the trophy.
Alcaraz does look worth siding with here. He’s coming off a title win at Queen’s, has beaten 7-time winner Novak Djokovic in the last two Wimbledon finals, and staged a stunning comeback to beat Sinner from two sets down in the French Open final earlier this month - saving three Championship points in the process.
Furthermore, Alcaraz has now won five straight matches against Sinner, including the last three finals they’ve contested. There will of course be other major threats, most notably Novak Djokovic (6/1), but Alcaraz - who has not lost since April - is the deserved frontrunner to win his third straight Wimbledon.
Taylor Fritz To Win Wimbledon
Home favourite Jack Draper is a tad short for my liking at 14/1, but the player who has just replaced him in the top-4 of the rankings, Taylor Fritz, catches the eye at big odds of 40/1 with BetMGM, which is twice the price available at some other bookmakers.
Fritz had a standout 2024, reaching the US Open final and making quarter-final runs at both the Australian Open and Wimbledon. While 2025 has been a mixed bag, his strong grass-court pedigree and recent return to form make him a name to watch at Wimbledon.
Fritz’s big serve, aggressive baseline play, and fearless shot-making are tailor-made for grass. He’s no stranger to success on the lawns, where he's won titles in Stuttgart and Eastbourne already in June, and has reached the Wimbledon quarter-finals in two of his last three appearances.
At 40/1, he's an attractive pick away from the main favourites.
Lorenzo Musetti To Win Wimbledon
While Italy's spotlight shines brightly on Jannik Sinner, compatriot Lorenzo Musetti presents an intriguing long-shot option at a lofty 120/1 with BetMGM - who is 80/1 with most other bookmakers.
Musetti impressed on grass last season, notably defeating Taylor Fritz en route to the 2024 Wimbledon semi-finals, where his run ended at the hands of Novak Djokovic. His 2024 grass-court form was further underlined by a runner-up finish at Queen’s and a semi-final appearance in Stuttgart.
The 23-year-old has also just wrapped up a standout clay-court campaign, reaching the final in Monte Carlo, semi-finals in both Madrid and Rome, and a strong French Open run that saw him take the first set off Carlos Alcaraz in the semi-finals before injury halted his progress.
Recovered and seeded 7th, Musetti looks well placed to mount another deep run at SW19.
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Wimbledon Men's 2025 Odds
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