Next Prime Minister Odds: Sunak back into hot favourite after the debates
Updated: 11:14 Monday 8th May 2023
Next Prime Minister Odds: Rishi Sunak has steamed back into the favourite after the poor performance of some of his rivals in the debate
After another crazy few weeks in politics that finally saw the end of the reign of Boris Johnson, we've asked our man Adam Roberts to look into exactly who could replace him, the process involved in electing a new leader and all the latest odds.
*this is a constantly fluctuating market so all odds are subject to change and the article will be updated when contenders are eliminated from the race
Next Conservative Party Leader
Kemi Badenoch
WIN PROB: 22%
James Cleverly
WIN PROB: 18%
Penny Mordaunt
WIN PROB: 15%
Suella Braverman
WIN PROB: 14%
David Cameron
WIN PROB: 5%
Nigel Farage
WIN PROB: 2%
Stephen Barclay
WIN PROB: 4%
Boris Johnson
WIN PROB: 2%
Victoria Atkins
WIN PROB: 3%
Alex Chalk
WIN PROB: 3%
Tom Tugendhat
WIN PROB: 1%
Michael Gove
WIN PROB: 1%
Jeremy Hunt
WIN PROB: 2%
Priti Patel
WIN PROB: 2%
Grant Shapps
WIN PROB: 1%
Steve Baker
WIN PROB: 1%
Brandon Lewis
WIN PROB: 1%
Tobias Ellwood
WIN PROB: 1%
Simon Clarke
WIN PROB: 1%
Sajid Javid
WIN PROB: 1%
Ranil Jayawardena
WIN PROB: 1%
Mark Harper
WIN PROB: 1%
Johnny Mercer
WIN PROB: 1%
Kit Malthouse
WIN PROB: 1%
Miriam Cates
WIN PROB: 1%
Dominic Raab
WIN PROB: 0%
Adam Afraiyie
WIN PROB: 1%
Dehenna Davison
WIN PROB: 1%
Andrea Jenkins
WIN PROB: 1%
Jeremy Quin
WIN PROB: 1%
Gavin Williamson
WIN PROB: 1%
Ben Wallace
WIN PROB: 0%
Nadhim Zahawi
WIN PROB: 1%
Bim Afolami
WIN PROB: 1%
Liz Truss
WIN PROB: 1%
Graham Brady
WIN PROB: 1%
Jacob Rees-Mogg
WIN PROB: 1%
Alok Sharma
WIN PROB: 0%
Matt Hancock
WIN PROB: 0%
Andrea Leadsom
WIN PROB: 0%
Kwasi Kwarteng
WIN PROB: 0%
Robert Jenrick
WIN PROB: 1%
Esther McVey
WIN PROB: 1%
Theresa May
WIN PROB: 1%
Damian Hinds
WIN PROB: 1%
William Wragg
WIN PROB: 1%
Helen Whately
WIN PROB: 1%
Mark Spencer
WIN PROB: 1%
Liam Fox
WIN PROB: 1%
Theresa Villiers
WIN PROB: 1%
Andy Street
WIN PROB: 1%
Iain Duncan Smith
WIN PROB: 1%
Mel Stride
WIN PROB: 1%
Greg Hands
WIN PROB: 1%
David Davis
WIN PROB: 1%
Robert Buckland
WIN PROB: 1%
Philip Davies
WIN PROB: 1%
Andrea Jenkyns
WIN PROB: 1%
Chris Philp
WIN PROB: 1%
Ruth Davidson
WIN PROB: 1%
Stephen Crabb
WIN PROB: 0%
Jake Berry
WIN PROB: 1%
Lee Anderson
WIN PROB: 0%
Danny Kruger
WIN PROB: 1%
Andy Bridgen
WIN PROB: 1%
Daniel Kawczynski
WIN PROB: 0%
Andrew Bridgen
WIN PROB: 0%
James Cracknell
WIN PROB: 0%
Jonathan Gullis
WIN PROB: 0%
Aaron Bell
WIN PROB: 0%