Italian Open Tips & Predictions: Three against the field at bombers paradise
Golf tipster Russell Palmer is back with another three golf tips for the European Tour this week...
- Wilco Nienaber - 1pt each-way @ odds of 28/1 with 888Sport (6 places)
- Laurie Canter - 1pt each-way @ odds of 45/1 with Paddy Power (7 places)
- Scott Vincent - 0.5pts each-way @ odds of 110/1 with 888Sport (6 places)
After a pretty disastrous Scottish Championship I'm dusting myself with three picks in this week's Italian Open which comes from the pretty bland looking Chervo Golf Club from San Vigilo, Brescia.
Gavin Green didn't line up withdrawing shortly before the start whilst my other two selections didn't make the cut.
This week I'm very much looking at players high up in the driving stats. The course this week doesn't look like it'll pose too many problems and distance off the tee and good with the putter I'm hoping will put my three selections in the with a chance.
- Prodigious distance off the tee ranking 1st for driving distance
- Course should suit his distance
First up this week is an exciting South African talent Wilco Nienaber at 28/1 with 888Sport paying six places.
I highlighted the 20-year-old earlier in the summer as one to keep an eye on having played a handful of times on the European Tour at the time on sponsors invites, he hits the ball a prestigious distance and rivals the likes of Bryson DeChambeau and Tony Finau in club head speed.
I've yet to pull the trigger on Wilco but he looks primed this week on a set up which will play into his hands.
Nienaber ranks 3rd for shots gained off the tee on the European Tour this season and as I've already alluded to ranks 1st for driving distance. His putting is by no means his strength but I'm hoping he'll be going in with a lot of wedges and short irons to put himself in with a big shout this week.
Two top tens and just the one missed cut in his last seven tournaments his form suggests he can get one over this field.
- Ranks 2nd on the Euro Tour for shots gained off the tee
- Three top tens in his last seven tournaments
Second up is a column favourite in the shape of Laurie Canter who is just primed for a debut win on the European Tour.
I've tipped the Englishman a handful of times since the restart and he's obliged with placed finishes at big prices.
The 30-year-old missed the cut last time out but prior to that he recorded three top tens in six starts and he's had three weeks off to regroup and recharge for these last few tournaments of the season.
Like Nienaber, Canter has good driving stats, ranking 2nd for shots gained off the tee and he's no slouch either with the big dog ranking 15th for driving distance.
45/1 with Paddy Power paying seven places.
- Ranks top 30 for shots gained off the tee and driving distance
- Top five in shots gained putting
My last pick this week is a big price as I fancy Scott Vincent to go well at 110/1.
The Zimbabwean might not be a household name but he's been playing well with two top 10 finishes in his last seven tournaments.
Like my other two selections, it's the driving stats I'm looking at and specifically driving distance. Vincent ranks in the top 30 for both shots gained off the tee and driving distance and I'm hoping his putting sets him apart from a lot of his competition this week, ranking 5th for shots gained with the flat stick.
As ever, good luck with your bets if you're following and please gamble responsibly.
Follow me at Twitter @rustyboy75.
Post-lockdown form:
Winners
- Tyrrell Hatton - BMW PGA Championship - advised at 16/1
- John Catlin - Irish Open - advised at 40/1
- Jon Rahm - BMW Championship - advised at 14/1
- Dustin Johnson - Northern Trust - advised at 20/1
- Justin Thomas - WGC FedEx St Jude - advised at 12/1
- Webb Simpson - RBC Heritage - advised at 30/1
Placed
- Kristoffer Ventura - T6 Sanderson Farms Championship - advised at 80/1
- Xander Schauffele - 5th US Open - advised at 16/1
- Kristoffer Ventura - T7 Safeway Open - advised at 80/1
- Laurie Canter - 2nd Portugal Masters - advised at 66/1
- Si Woo Kim - T3 Wyndham Championship - advised at 40/1
- Jason Day - T4 USPGA Championship - advised at 40/1
- Phil Mickelson - 2nd WGC FedEx St Jude - advised at 110/1
- Viktor Hovland - 3rd Workday Charity Open - advised at 25/1
- Kevin Streelman - T7 Workday Charity Open - advised at 60/1
- Tyrrell Hatton - T4 Rocket Mortgage Classic - advised at 16/1
