Brighton vs Man City Prediction and Betting Tips: Julian Alvarez a huge price in the assist market

Manchester City will look to close the gap to the top of the Premier League to just one point on Thursday evening as they travel to the Amex Stadium to take on Brighton. Read below about our best bets which come from the player shots and player assist market.

Since taking three points against Sheffield United in a 5-0 back in February, The Seagulls have netted just four goals in their last seven Premier League games. Brighton remain 10th in the top-flight but their hopes have dwindled away in previous weeks with just one win in their last seven league outings which came at home to Nottingham Forest.

Pep Guardiola’s side have not tasted defeat in their last 17 Premier League games (W13 D4). The last time they enjoyed a longer run within the same season was between November and March in 2020-21 when they went 19 unbeaten.

Bernardo Silva is just the sort of player who can use his skill and experience to guide Manchester City to a domestic league and cup double and for our main play of the evening we are backing Bernardo in the shots market. 

With no Erling Haaland due to injury on Thursday, Bernardo Silva may play a more advanced role for the visitors. The 29-year-old has recorded shot totals of 3,3 and 2 across his last three appearances, popping up with goals against Real Madrid and most recently Chelsea in the FA Cup semi final last weekend. Sky Bet have Bernardo priced at just 4/9 to record 2+ shots at The Amex so take the considerably bigger offering of 13/10 that is available with BetMGM.

As mentioned above, Erling Haaland will miss the clash with Brighton which should pave the way for Julian Alvarez to spearhead the attack for City. It’s the anytime assist market where we like the look of the World Cup winner and we believe the 4/1 on show for him to provide one represents some value. 

No player has recorded more assists for Manchester City in the Premier League this season than Alvarez who has racked up nine in total. With this in mind, we are surprised to see several of his teammates priced considerably shorter in the market.