Brighton vs Newcastle Odds: Trossard to find the net on the south coast

Saturday evening takes us to the southern coast where Brighton host Newcastle live on BT Sport.

It was a fantastic start to the season for Graham Potter and his men where they managed to pick up four wins from their first five matches. Since then they remain winless with four draws and a loss at the hands of Manchester City. On this stretch of results they have also played Arsenal and Liverpool which saw a remarkable comeback from 2-0 down at Anfield to secure a well-deserved point. Bissouma returned to the team at Anfield and is likely to keep his place in central midfield where he makes a huge impact in this Brighton side.

It looks likely that ex-Bournemouth coach Eddie Howe is set to take over at Newcastle under the new owners but will unlikely be in charge to face the seagulls here Saturday evening. Newcastle remain winless this season and will be looking to turn things around where they are priced at around 5/1 to leave Brighton with all three points. 

One for the card punters out there where I am going for the trusted 2 or more cards each team. David Coote takes the whistle Saturday evening and averages 3.64 yellows per game over his last 39 games but has been brandishing plenty of cards this season. In the Premier League 20/21 campaign he has taken charge of five matches and given twenty-five yellows and one red! 

The teams individually rank 1st and 2nd for most yellow cards, both managing to pick up two or more in eight of their ten EPL matches thus far. With these numbers and a ref bang in form, I would expect this to have been odds on, to be getting 7/5 looks incredible value.

The decision to start Trossard as a lone striker against Liverpool was one that paid dividends as he managed to bag a second half equaliser and secure a point at Anfield. 

Trossard has been firing the shots of late, registering fourteen in his last four starts. This includes three shots against Man City and two shots against Liverpool, which includes finding the back of the net. 10/3 if playing as a striker against Newcastle who have conceded twenty-three goals already and have the highest xGa in the league is way overpriced.  

My longshot follows on from my selection above of Trossard scoring anytime. Being way overpriced to score anytime has also skewed the rest of his goal prices. 

He has been generously priced with Betfair and Paddy Power at 25/1 to score two or more, and 300/1 to score three or more. Maupay who normally plays as the lone striker is priced at 7/1 and 45/1 for the same outcomes and whilst Trossard is due to start as the striker this weekend, I think it's definitely worth taking these prices for some small change.