Odds shown as:

Australian Open Betting Tips: Two picks for this year's Grand Slam

Australian Open Betting Tips: Thiem is a good price for this year's Grand Slam
Australian Open Betting Tips: Thiem is a good price for this year's Grand Slam

2020 was a year most of us are hoping to forget and move on from and what better way to start the year than a tennis Grand Slam! The Australian Open will be underway in the coming weeks and I’ve taken a look at two value picks for who I think can go all the way. 

Every Grand Slam is always a star-studded event, even with Roger Federer withdrawing from the tournament we still have the likes of Djokovic, Nadal, Thiem and Medvedev competing for the title. Astonishingly, Novak Djokovic has won seven of the last 10 Australian Open titles which means it should come as no surprise to see him as the even-money favourite for this year's event.

However, the ‘next-gen’ are truly maturing in their game and I can see an upset happening this time. Last tennis season we saw Dominic Thiem finally break the trend of the big three, winning Grand Slams as he claimed the US Open, and I’m hoping this trend continues with another winner.

Before we make some predictions, here’s a set of stats and trends for the Australian Open over the last 10 years that might give you some pointers.

  • Eight out of the last 10 winners were ranked inside the top 3 in the world, the lowest-ranked was Roger Federer (17) in 2017 but he was fairly underrated at that tournament due to inactivity
  • Nine of the last ten winners had already won a grand slam tournament, Stan Wawrinka in 2014 is the only anomaly here
  • Eight out of ten winners had reached at least the Quarter Final of the US Open the previous season
Daniil Medvedev to win the tournament
Odds correct as of 2021-02-02 10:00 Odds subject to change.

Daniil Medvedev is the man in form at the moment, and to be honest, I’m quite shocked to see him as the third favourite in the betting order. He’s currently representing odds of 11/2 with some bookies and I think it’s a terrific price. Daniil is coming into the tennis season fresh off back-to-back tournament wins at the end of 2020, one of them being the ATP Tour Finals - arguably one of the best tournaments of the year.

As well as having form on his side, Medvedev has a great record against some of ‘the big three’. Against Djokovic, Daniil has played him seven times winning three of them, however, it is important to note that two of Novak’s wins came in 2017, which was ultimately a less experienced version of Medvedev. What makes Medvedev’s last tournament win so impressive is the people he faced and how he beat them.

He managed to beat Zverev, Djokovic, and Schwartzman all in straight sets, and he also beat Nadal in the semi-final after dropping the first set and Thiem in the final after dropping the first set. It’s clear Daniil has sorted out his mental block and his recent acquisition of a sports psychologist has dramatically improved his game.

I think it’s clear that Medvedev’s favourite/best performing surface is definitely the hard court, thankfully that’s what the Aus Open is! He’s got quite the decent record on the surface…

  • Hard court win-rate: 116 wins 48 losses (71% win rate)
  • Australian Open best finish: 4th round
  • US Open best finish: Runner-up
Australian Open Betting
Dominic Thiem to win the tournament
Odds correct as of 2021-02-02 10:00 Odds subject to change.

Now Medvedev might not match all the previous trends of but there’s one man who ticks off a fair few boxes and it’s Dominic Thiem.

Thiem finally broke his Grand Slam duck after losing three finals in the space of two years, he managed to get an impressive win over young Alexander Zverev in the US Open where he went two sets down and came back to win 6-2, 6-4, 4-6, 3-6, 6-7. Going back to the aforementioned stats and trends, the Austrian matches all three of the ones mentioned.

The 27-year-old is currently ranked third in the ATP rankings and he’s fresh from winning his first major which was the 2020 US Open. Of course, the likes of Novak Djokovic and Rafa Nadal match them as well but I’d be leaning more towards Thiem with his recent form and being the latest hard court Grand Slam winner.

He was also the finalist in last year's Australian Open where he, unfortunately, fell to Novak Djokovic in the final despite at one point leading the Serbian 2-1 in sets. This was a great account for Thiem as I feel this was his turning point in majors, he is now going toe to toe with the best on hard surfaces and not just clay. 

No matter who wins this one, we could be in for one of the most competitive Australian Open’s in recent times.

Australian Open Winner Odds

Tennis Betting
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Money Back As CASH Up To £20 (APP Only)
#AD New customers only. Deposit £20 using card or Trustly. Up to your first £20 of losses will be refunded as CASH within 24 hours of qualifying bet having been settled. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after  settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after  the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Welcome Offer
#AD Open Account Offer. Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code ‘100BET365’ can be used during registration, but does not change the offer amount in any way. 18+ begambleaware.org.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £10 On Football & Get £40 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD £/€10 deposit using promo code "10FREE" - Minimum stake £/€10 at odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager the bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Casino Bonus expires after 60 days - Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & full T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 + 30 Free Spins
#AD New UK & NI customers only. Promo code SPORTS60. Deposit and place first sports bet of £10+ in one transaction, at odds of Evens (2.0)+, settled within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS validation may be required. Max 30 Free Spins on Blue Wizard at £0.10 per spin. 7-day expiry. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Get Up To £100 In Free Bets
#AD New customer offer. Place 5 x £10 or more bets to receive £20 in free bets. Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum £100 bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange bets excluded. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD. New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from acceptance (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. 18+
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply

Bet £10 On Football & Get £50 In Free Bets

#Ad. 18+ Playsafe. Place a pre-match £10 bet on any Football market between 2nd December and 24th December, at min. odds 1/2 (1.5) — get a total of £50 in free bets, £30 on bet settlement and an additional £20 the following day. Your qualifying bet must settle by Friday 23:59, 24th December. Only deposits via Cards will qualify (Apple Pay deposit excluded). T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. 18+ begambleaware.org

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins

#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.

AC Milan v Liverpool Bet £10 & Get £20 + a £5 Free bet in Play when you bet £5 on Bet Builder

#Ad. 18+. UK/IRE mobile customers only. Min Odds of (2/1). Place a bet of £/€5 on any Bet Builder in the AC Milan v Liverpool match on 07/12/2021. Free Bet can be used on any in-play single for the same match. One qualifying bet per match (first bet placed). Free/void/cashed out bets won’t qualify. Free Bet will be credited after kick off and expires 7 days later. T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org