Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction and Betting Tips: 6/1 fancy at the Emirates
Arsenal are looking to avenge their defeat against Aston Villa when these sides lock horns at the Emirates on Sunday.
Mikel Arteta’s side enjoy a slender lead at the top of the Premier League coming into the weekend.
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The Gunners wilted at this stage of last season but they look well-equipped to deal with the rigours of a title race this time around.
Mikel Arteta will be keen to ensure his team remain focused as the club looks to secure its first league title since the invincible season.
Aston Villa have gone from strength to strength under Unai Emery. The former Arsenal boss has them fighting for a place in next season’s Champions League. They are also in with a chance of winning the Europa Conference League.
Arsenal vs Aston Villa Tips
The first of our betting angles for this match is for Arsenal to have over 14.5 shots in the match.
Arsenal have the best attack in the Premier League this season and it is their goal difference is that separates them from Liverpool at this stage.
Arteta’s men have really kicked into gear since the turn of the year. They are averaging 3.82 goals in their 11 league matches over that period thanks to the wealth of shooting opportunities that they are creating.
Over that 11-game stretch, Arsenal are averaging 17.45 shots. Since the start of December, they have played eight league matches at the Emirates and had 15 shots in seven of them.
Aston Villa are conceding 12.68 shots per away game in the league but they did allow Manchester City to have 25 shots in their last match on the road. Arsenal are averaging just 1.35 fewer shots per game than Manchester City so they could hit a high number of shots on Sunday.
Next up, we are backing Arsenal to have over 2.5 offsides in the match.
Unai Emery has opted to play with an extremely high line at Aston Villa. Opposition offside numbers have gone through the roof since his appointment so three for Arsenal looks a solid bet here.
Aston Villa’s matches have seen the most offsides in the league this season with an average of 5.62. Their opponents account for 4.44 of those.
Arsenal were caught offside four times when they lost 1-0 at Villa Park earlier in the season.
For our longer odds bet, we will be backing the same angles as the main bet with increased lines. For this bet to land we need Arsenal to have 19 shots and five offsides, We are also betting them to win the match.
Arsenal’s last 10 home games in the league have seen them average 18.8 shots so they are capable of reaching this higher mark. The Gunners chasing a winning goal into the latter stages of the game would increase the amount of shots they have even further.
Aston Villa have played 15 away matches in the Premier League this season and their opponents have been caught offside five times on average over that period.
Arsenal have won 10 of their 1 league games since their post-Christmas wobble. The Emirates has been a fortress this season and they should have enough to beat an injury-hit Aston Villa
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