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Odds & Stats

Argentina vs Brazil Odds: Tipster J's three selections as the top two clash in South America

Argentina vs Brazil Betting Preview:  Will Fabinho pick up another card?
Argentina vs Brazil Betting Preview: Will Fabinho pick up another card?

Argentina welcome Brazil to the Estadio del Bicentenario on Tuesday evening, a clash which sees first place meet second in the South American World Cup qualifiers.  

A win here for the reigning Copa America champions could see them secure a spot at next year's World Cup if results are in their favour elsewhere. A huge boost for the hosts is that main man Lionel Messi is set to start after coming off the bench for 15 minutes last time out vs Uruguay. A 7th minute strike from PSG team mate Angel Di Maria was enough to scrape a 1-0 win in that fixture. That result means Argentina are now 26 games unbeaten – Brazil will do well to get past this stubborn defence who haven’t conceded a goal in their last 5 qualifiers. 

Argentina vs Brazil Tips

Despite coming into this fixture as 14/5 outsiders, Brazil were in fact the last side to inflict defeat on this Argentina side as Tite's men won 2-0 back in 2019. With all the attacking talent this Brazil team holds, they also have the defensive capability to keep any side at bay. The visitors have managed nine clean sheets this qualifying campaign, shipping just the four goals in the process, further reinforcing the possibility of a low scoring affair. Just one of the last nine head to heads between these two sides have seen both teams score, with under 2.5 goals landing in all of the last five. 

Argentina vs Brazil Odds

Today's Football Tips

Cards are always a good option for this fixture as the rivalry goes without saying, but finding the value in the card markets can be tough. With 3+ cards each team priced at even money, I’ve opted for a player card which catches my eye. 

Casemiro picked up one too many yellows meaning he is suspended for this game, meaning Liverpool man Fabinho is expected to anchor the Brazilian midfield. Booked on his last start for his country, Fabinho looks the pick of the bunch for a card as I’m sure he will be eager to impress. Tasked with stopping the Argentine attacks I struggle to see how Fabinho escapes a card here. Argentina draw fouls like no other and Fabinho isn’t shy of a putting a strong foot in. The 6/4 price with William hill appeals, with him as short as 8/11 with Betfair.

This game is always a tight cagey affair and aside from cards, playing against the goals looks a firm way in. For this bet to settle a winner, the game needs to have 0 or 1 goals, with a refund if 2 are scored. This bet would have only lost once in the last eight head to heads, with it winning for a full return in four of the last five. 

I am continuing the theme of a low scoring affair for this one, and I think it’s worth playing loose change on this correct score at 5/1.  

Argentina have won the last two head to heads by this score-line, and I fancy it to land again. The visitors will be without star man Neymar and having already qualified I can see another narrow home victory Tuesday evening. 

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World Cup Odds

World Cup Odds

Brazil
WIN PROB: 16%
1
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5/1
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5/1
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9/2
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9/2
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9/2
England
WIN PROB: 12%
1
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7/1
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7/1
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6/1
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6/1
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Spain
WIN PROB: 10%
1
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8/1
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8/1
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8/1
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8/1
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8/1
Germany
WIN PROB: 8%
1
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9/1
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9/1
Portugal
WIN PROB: 6%
1
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Netherlands
WIN PROB: 6%
1
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Belgium
WIN PROB: 5%
1
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Wales
WIN PROB: 1%
1
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6/1
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6/1
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6/1
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Denmark
WIN PROB: 3%
1
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Croatia
WIN PROB: 1%
1
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Uruguay
WIN PROB: 2%
1
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Senegal
WIN PROB: 1%
1
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Switzerland
WIN PROB: 1%
1
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Serbia
WIN PROB: 1%
1
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Usa
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Mexico
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Poland
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Ecuador
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Canada
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Morocco
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Japan
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Cameroon
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Ghana
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Qatar
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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South Korea
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Australia
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Tunisia
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Iran
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Saudi Arabia
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Costa Rica
WIN PROB: 0%
1
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Odds correct as of 2022-06-27 12:45 Odds subject to change.
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