Wales vs Poland Prediction and Betting Tips: 50/1 bet builder for colossal Cardiff play-off
Wales and Poland cruised past Finland (4-1) and Estonia (5-1) respectively in the semi-finals to set-up a very tasty Path A Final in Cardiff on Tuesday night.
Simply put, it's a winner-takes-all all duel for a prized spot at Euro 2024.
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In front of a passionate home support, it's Wales who have been installed as the 3/4 favourites to qualify and 6/4 favourites to win in 90 minutes, as they bid to make their third straight European Championship: Wales memorably made the semi-finals in 2016 and the last-16 in 2020.
Poland have been present in every Euros since 2008, and reached the quarter-finals in 2016, but while they'll be disappointed at failing to win or even finish in the top two of a qualifying group consisting of Albania, Czech Republic, Moldova and the Faroe Islands, they subsequently swatted away the challenge of Estonia in the semi-finals. They also beat Wales twice in the 2022 Nations League.
Yet their recent away record is cause for concern, having lost four of their last five trips - with the only win against the Faroe Islands - meaning they head into this one match shoot-out at 11/10 to progress to the finals and 11/5 to emerge victorious in the normal time, while a draw at 90 minutes can be backed at 2/1.
Team News
Wales have suffered no further injury set-backs after Joe Low, Ben Cabango and Wes Burns pulled out of the squad prior to the semi-final victory over Finland on Saturday.
Aaron Ramsey may be in line for a start, despite not being risked for that win at the Cardiff City Stadium after just returning from injury for the Bluebirds.
Poland on the other hand lost Matty Cash during their semi-final victory over Estonia. The Villa right-back pulled up with a hamstring issue after coming on as a substitute for the also injured Przemyslaw Frankowski.
Wales vs Poland Tips
Both teams to score at odds against catches the eye as my first bet, with BetMGM offering odds of 21/20 for this outcome.
The teams scored nine games between them during Thursday's semi-finals and I expect goals to be on the menu in Cardiff.
Wales have been on the scoresheet in each of their last six games, notching four goals on two occasions, while they've scored and conceded in their last four.
Poland have scored in 11 of their last 12 matches, including their last five in a row, while they hammered five past Estonia last week.
For my second bet, I've pieced together a 50/1 bet builder featuring Brennan Johnson, Robert Lewandowski, and Harry Wilson.
As I've touched on, I think there will be goals in this one, which leans me to backing both Johnson and Lewandowksi in the anytime goalscorer market.
Brennan Johnson, 10/3, has hit form at just the right time. He's scored four goals in his last eight matches for club and country, including Wales' third in the 4-1 victory over Finland.
Robert Lewandowski (7/4) was, surprisingly, not on the scoresheet in that comprehensive win but the 35-year-old has been in cracking goalscoring form in 2024, netting 11 times in 18 matches for Barcelona. He's accumulated 82 goals at national level and will be gunning to play a pivotal role on Tuesday night.
I'll be combining these two bets with a card for Harry Wilson. Over the last couple of months, the Fulham player has been a magnet for the little black book, accumulating an eye-popping seven yellow cards in his last 11 matches, including last time out against Finland.
This gives us a nice rounded price of 50/1 for this Bet Builder, with bet365.
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