Ukraine vs Italy Prediction and Betting Tips: Raspadori to find the net in Germany
Ukraine and Italy will fight it out for the second automatic qualification place in Group C's final EURO 2024 qualifier on Monday night.
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No matter which of these teams joins England in the draw for EURO 2024, there are plenty of twists and turns expected to come first. The pair both sit on 13 points after seven fixtures, with Italy boasting a goal difference four goals greater than that of Ukraine's. Avoiding defeat at the BayArena in Germany will be enough for Italy to secure passage to next year's tournament, while nothing but a win will do for Serhiy Rebrov's side.
The hosts are as large as 4/1 to win the match and snatch qualification from the Italian's jaws, while the visitors are the expected odds-on favourites to do the business in Germany. A draw, which Italy would be more than happy to take home with them on Monday, can be backed at 14/5 with a host of different bookmakers.
Ukraine vs Italy Tips
With qualification on the line and the different dynamics at play, this is sure to be a fascinating encounter. It's also one that we anticipate containing goals. Italy have netted 16 in seven matches, while Ukraine have five short of that tally with 11. The pair are much closer to one another through goals conceded, with Italy having shipped nine compared to Ukraine's eight.
More concerningly for those of a yellow and blue persuasion is that their side have kept just two clean sheets from their last eight outings, conceding zero goals to only North Macedonia and Malta - the two teams rooted to the bottom of the table. It's not much better for Italy either, who've picked up and find themselves in this favourable position due to Ukraine's drop off over the last few matches. Luciano Spalletti's men have conceded in five of their last six fixtures, including September's 2-1 win against this opponent.
Like for Friday's clash, young centre forward Giacomo Raspadori is expected to be given the nod to lead the line for Italy. He returned Spalletti's trust by netting his side's fourth goal that evening, his sixth in 23 appearances for the national side since his debut in 2021.
The 23-year-old has seized his opportunity at Napoli in the absence of Victor Osimhen, grabbing three goals in his last five matches, providing the winner in the away trip to Union Berlin in the Champions League, in addition to back-to-back strikes against Milan and Salernitana in Serie A. That now leaves Raspadori with an attacking return in five of his last seven starts for the national side, with three of those being goals. For a man in good form, the 47/20 on show for him to find the net against Ukraine is a fair price, especially with the same bet being priced at 8/5 elsewhere in the market.
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