Swansea vs Luton Predictions: Back the Hatters to cull the Swans

Tuesday night sees two more games taking place in the Championship and we've asked @OddsTerrier to look at the match taking place at The Liberty Stadium between 18th placed Swansea City and 10th placed Luton Town. He has analysed the stats and form book and selected two bets for you to peruse. 

Swansea are 13/10 favourites for this one despite some dubious recent form, winning just one of their previous seven matches. The draw is 9/4 and Luton are a 5/2 shot which seems fairly large given they've won 3 of their last six, including an impressive win over 3rd placed Bournemouth.

The Swans should have a full squad to pick from here but new Manchester City loanee Fin Burns won't feature. The Hatters are still without star striker Elijah Adebayo and are sweating on the fitness of Jordan Clark and Sonny Bradley. 

First up and as alluded to in our intro, we like the odds on Luton Town to pull off the upset in this one. Swansea are a lovely passing side, lead the Championship for pass accuracy and possession but they lack a cutting edge, scoring just 28 goals in 26 games. Luton rank towards the bottom of the league for both of these metrics but that doesn't stop them from winning games and under boss Nathan jones are putting together an impressive run of form. The Hatters have lost just once in their last seven and have four wins in that period, two of those on the road. 

I fancy Luton to win this one but am edging my bet slightly with the Draw No Bet option. If the match ends in a draw, our bet will be void. The DNB is 32/21 at SBK and will be my main bet here.

Secondly we've gone for a player prop bet-builder involving Swans centre back Ryan Manning and The Hatters right wing-back James Bree. Manning has already picked up six cautions in the league and another in the League Cup which means he has already served a suspension. He averages 1.3 fouls per game which is comfortably the highest at the club. This isn't isolated behaviour for Manning either; back in 16/17 he picked up 8 yellows in just 17 starts and had another 7 in 19/20.

Our second selection is the 24-year-old Bree. Bree has five yellows in the Championship and averages a foul per game which is 3rd behind only Adebayo and Lansbury - neither of which should start here. He is up against Swans left sided Joel Latibeaudiere who is fond of a yellow himself so this could increase our chances.

If you like the sound of either of these selections then please remember to bet responsibly.