Roma vs AC Milan Prediction and Betting Tips: Romelu Lukaku backed in the shots on target market

Roma and AC Milan renew their rivalry in Italy's capital on Thursday night in the second-leg of their Europa League quarter-final, which can be viewed live on TNT Sports 4 at 8pm.

It's advantage Roma after the capital club secured a crucial 1-0 first-leg win at the San Siro thanks to a header from captain Gianluca Mancini. Daniele De Rossi's side deserved the win and will now look to stamp their place in the semi-finals as they bid to take a step closer to their third European final in a row.

The hosts are an attractive price at 41/20 with Midnite to claim another win on home soil, the draw can be backed at 133/5, while it's the visitors AC Milan who can be backed as the 5/4 favourites.

The first-leg defeat ended Milan's seven game winning streak, then over the weekend they drew 3-3 away to Sassuolo after clawing their way back from 3-1 down. They can draw confidence from beating Roma twice in the league this season, which includes a 2-1 win at the  Stadio Olimpico back in September.

Since stepping up to replace Jose Mourinho, boss Daniele De Rossi has stamped his mark on the club, delivering 11 wins in 16 games, losing just twice. This transformation has resulted in Roma offering De Rossi a contract past the end of the season.

There's a notable feel factor around the club at the moment and, at 4/6, I like the look of Roma at double chance, given their impressive home form over the last seven months.

Not only did they carve out a fantastic win at the San Siro last week, but since losing to the same opponents back in September, they've won 16 of their 19 home matches in all competitions, losing just once during this fantastic run.

On top of that, they are undefeated in their last 10 Europa League games in front of their own fans, featuring nine wins, including a 4-0 thrashing of Brighton last time out.

The Europa League is a competition that Romelu Lukaku has flourished in over the years with 27 goals on the board, with only two players scoring more in its history.

The Belgian striker has scored seven goals in 10 matches this season, which puts him second in the charts behind Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (10), meaning he still has a chance to win the Europa League Golden Boot which will give him extra-motivation heading into Thursday night's second-leg.

So far this term, he's scored in four of Roma's five Europa League home matches, and will fancy his chances of enhancing this tally against AC Milan. He's priced at 9/5 to find the back to the net, but at 3/1, he looks a solid bet to have 2+ shots on target, a box he's ticked in three of his last four appearances in Europe.