Millwall vs. Huddersfield Town Predictions: We're backing a stalemate at the Den
Millwall vs. Huddersfield Town Odds
There is a full raft of Championship fixtures midweek and we've asked JimmyThePunt to take a look at this one.
Millwall vs. Huddersfield Town Tips
The hosts come into this one having drawn their last two games 0-0. They have only scored twice in their last four games, generating an xG of 1.21 during that period. Gary Rowett has been plagued with injuries recently though, there are six confirmed absences for this clash. He could name an unchanged side from the one that drew to Middlesbrough at the weekend.
As for the visitors, their run of 18 games undefeated ended with a bump last week. Despite going 0-1 up, they lost 2-1 in the FA Cup to Forest and then led 0-2 at West Brom before drawing 2-2. It remains to be seen if the nature of the draw galvanised or knocked the spirit of the squad. Carlos Corberán's side have exceeded expectations this campaign, however, only three points will do if they want to stay in the race for automatic promotion. As I write, they sit two points behind Bournemouth, though the Cherries host Reading on Tuesday.
Originally, the plan was to dutch two points between the 0-0 and 1-1 correct score, however, at the prices available that bet would have only yielded 3.32 points profit where-as this bet wins five points profit.
These sides are two of the best in business when it comes to sharing the spoils, only Preston (15) have drawn more games then Millwall (12) and Huddersfield (12) this campaign. It was a similar story last season as Millwall finished with the most draws in the division (17).
The hosts' goal difference (+3) highlights how fine the margins are in their fixtures. This season, 30 of their 36 games have been separated by a goal or less. There has not been a single goal in their last three hours of football and Rowett’s side did not register a single shot during their trip to Ewood Park.
The majority of the Terriers draws have come on the road, the latest of which came at the Hawthorns as West Brom came from two goals down, the first courtesy of a dubious penalty decision. That 2-2 draw was the only time either of these sides have drawn in a game to feature three goals or more which is why I think taking the draw and under 2.5 goals is worth doing.
Between them, these sides have drawn nine games 0-0 this campaign. Directly translated into a percentage, that equals 12.5% which is the exact same as the implied probability derived from Betvictor's price of 7/1. So, Betvictor's price is perfectly apt.
Looking at this game in isolation though, I expect these two sides to cancel one another out. From open play, they have generated the six and seventh worst xG totals in the division. Millwall average 0.76 goals a game and Huddersfield average 0.75, therefore, I expect chances to be of a premium at the Den on Wednesday.
Best of luck if you are backing any of these selections and please remember to gamble responsibly.
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