France vs Italy Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips: 6/1 Bet Builder for Nations League clash
Posted: 15:55 Thursday 5th September 2024
There is a real cracker on the Nations League fixture list on Friday 6th September as 2021 victors France take on Euro 2020 winners Italy at the Stade de France.
Below we take a closer look at what shape the two countries are in along with our top two tips for the match, which kicks-off at 7.45pm (BST).
France vs Italy Predictions
France vs Italy Preview
After a disappointing Euro 2024 for both countries, they can now look for redemption in this tasty Nations League opener.
France may have reached the semi-finals of Euro 2024 but, on the whole, they underperformed throughout the tournament, which they failed to set alight despite the class that oozes from their ranks; with players like Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele you would think that the strength lies in the attack, yet this didn't prove to be the case in Germany where they scored one goal from open play.
Defending champions Italy were even more disappointing. They only sneaked through to the knockout stages at the last minute - thanks to a goal in injury time - then they were outclassed by Switzerland in the last-16. The Italians will now be looking to recover from this set-back and put their name in the news again in a positive way.
France have been installed as the 13/20 favourites with Midnite, Italy are the 9/2 outsiders, while a draw can be backed at 11/4.
Draw at Half-Time
Our first tip comes from the half-time market where we're highlighting a draw at 5/4 with Midnite.
A notable trend has emerged regarding half-time draws in matches involving France, as four out of their last five games have been tied at the interval. This trend is indicative of the conservative strategy employed by manager Didier Deschamps, which is evident in five of France's seven matches featuring one goal or fewer; a surprise given the wealth of attacking talent in the squad.
In a similar vein, five of Italy's last nine matches have also ended in a draw at half-time, including two of their last three games.
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France To Win, Under 2.5 Goals, Kylian Mbappe To Score
For our second tip we've pieced together a 6/1 Bet Builder which requires under 2.5 goals, a France win, and Kylian Mbappe to score.
When you analyse the recent results of both countries, this match points towards under 2.5 goals.
Despite their evident talent, France seldom overwhelms their opponents, often prioritising a pragmatic approach over panache. In fact, six of their last seven matches have contained fewer than 2.5 goals, with the only exception being their 2-1 defeat to Spain in the Euro 2024 semi-finals.
Similarly, Italy's matches have not been high-scoring, as six of their last seven encounters have also ended with under 2.5 goals.
France are, however, the favourites and I favour the hosts coming out on top for the fourth straight match against Italy, who themselves are without a win in three games.
As always, Kylian Mbappe stands out as the prime candidate in the anytime goalscorer market. The 25-year-old has made an impressive start at Real Madrid, netting three goals in his first five appearances, including a brace in last weekend's 2-0 triumph over Real Betis. His overall record for France stands at 48 goals in 84 games.
France vs Italy Bet Boosts
Browse through the Midnite Bet Boosts below:
- 11/2 to 6/1 - Antoine Griezmann First Goalscorer
- 7/1 to 8/1 - France 2-0 Correct Score
- 5/2 to 14/5 - France to Win, Over 2.5 Goals & Kylian Mbappe to Score
- 5/1 to 11/2 - Draw or Italy & Mateo Retegui to Score
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France vs Italy Head-To-Head
France have won the last three meetings between the countries, with both teams finding the back of the net, however Italy emerged victorious in the most recent competitive clash which was a 2-0 win in the group stages of Euro 2008.
| Date | Result | Tournament |
|---|---|---|
| 1st June 2018 | France 3-1 Italy | Friendly |
| 1st September 2016 | Italy 1-3 France | Friendly |
| 14th November 2012 | Italy 1-2 France | Friendly |
| 17th June 2008 | France 0-2 Italy | Euro 2008 |
| 8th September 2007 | Italy 0-0 France | Euro 2008 Qualifying |
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