Everton vs. Chelsea Betting Tips: Back Tuchel's men in the Half-Time/Full-Time market
Saturday night football is back as we see Everton host Chelsea at Goodison Park for their opening Premier League fixtures. Live on Sky Sports with a 17:30 kick off, both teams will be looking to start their season on the right foot.
Everton haven’t recruited as well as some of their Premier League rivals, with the notable signings being Dwight Mcneil and James Tarkowski both from Burnley. Both have Premier League experience and should slot straight into Frank Lampard's side.
Some big changes to the forward line in the past few days with danger man Dominic Calvert-Lewin being ruled out with injury for around six weeks. This is a huge blow to Lampard's side, with Rondon also suspended they will have to fill the centre forward role from an unlikely source.
Chelsea head into this game with the only potential doubt being Timo Werner. Pre season hasn’t been the best for Chelsea, losing 4-0 at the hands of Arsenal only two weeks ago, starting the game with almost their strongest XI. Havertz is likely to step back into the centre forward role, with Sterling looking to make his Premier League debut for Chelsea under Tuchel. Chilwell looks like he could potentially be fit to face Everton on Sunday which would see Chelsea fans very happy to see his return, together with Sterling down that left hand side will cause Everton some real problems.
Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Godfrey, Mina, Tarkowski; Patterson, Doucoure, Allan, Mykolenko; Gordon, Gray, McNeil
Chelsea possible starting lineup:
Mendy; Azpilicueta, T Silva, Koulibaly; James, Kante, Kovacic, Chilwell; Mount, Havertz, Sterling
Everton vs Chelsea Tips
- Chelsea to win half time / full time – Bet365/Betfair/SBK – 8/5 (1unit)
- Reece James assist – Betfair/PaddyPower – 4/1 (0.5units)
@DeanWoodward93 – BettingOdds Profit/Loss 2022 = +9.94u 23% ROI.
The last six head to heads between these sides in the Premier League has seen Chelsea only pick up seven points, with only two wins, one draw and three defeats, a poor return for a side of Chelsea's calibre. I am expecting this to change Saturday evening and will be backing Chelsea to win at halftime/fulltime.
Priced at 8/5 is implying that Chelsea to be leading at both half time and full time is a 38% chance which I find rather generous. With Dominic Calvert-Lewin being ruled out through injury, he will be a huge loss to the Everton front line and Chelsea will definitely be more comfortable with him sidelined. It's hard to see this Everton side causing a back three of Koulibaly, Silva and Azpilcueta too many problems, if Chelsea net in the first half, it's hard to see this bet not landing.
A player that I have recently tipped as an ante-post selection, Reece James, in the most assists market. Towards the back end of last season he really found his feet, registering an assist in all of his last three Premier League games (Watford, Leicester and Leeds).
Across the whole of last season he registered an expected assist per 90 minutes (xA90) value of 0.34 which means in theory he should register an assist once in three games across his last season performances. This would imply odds of around the 2/1 mark going by the data, but Betfair are offering a generous 4/1 which would imply only a 20% chance. Most other books have been priced according to his data (around the 5/2 mark) so I believe this assist price against a team that could well be in the relegation fight holds some good value.
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