Odds shown as:

European Football Tips: Gnabry to find the notepad against Leverkusen

European Football Tips: Serge Gnabry a player to follow this weekend
European Football Tips: Serge Gnabry a player to follow this weekend

My favourite fancies for this weekend's footballing action on the continent come courtesy of Bayer Leverkusen's game with Bayern Munich at the helm of the Bundesliga and I've also had a look at Lazio's clash with Napoli in the Serie A on Sunday which you can find here - Lazio v Napoli tips

The final match-day before the winter break pits first versus second in Germany. Peter Bosz's irrepressible Leverkusen side have their fate come Christmas in their own hands as they welcome Bayern. The unbeaten Werkself will be bolstered as Kerem Demirbay is back in contention for a start, however, our hosts will be without long term absentee 's Aranguiz, Paulinho and Palacios. 

Bayern have suffered the consequences of a busy schedule with Kimmich and Goretzka unlikely to feature here. Hans Dieter Flick could inject his backline with some much needed pace in the form of Alphonso Davies. The Canadian full back recently recovered from an ankle injury and could be trusted back into action in the nick of time; the perfect match to opponent Leon Bailey's pace. 

In Italy, a depleted Napoli side head to the capital without their first choice attacking trio. Insigne is suspended following a red card for foul language while their expensive import from France Osimhen and Dries Mertens are ruled out with injury. 

The bookies have the visitors as favourites but the odds are in-fact staked against Gattuso's side as they have lost three out of the last three games against sides in the top five. In contrast, Le Aquile are a side to relish the big occasion. This season, they got a result against Brugge in the UCL when it mattered most and took four points off BVB. At the Stadio Olimpico last season, they won 17 of the 23 games they played!

  • Leon Bailey 3 Shots at odds of 6/5 with Betfair
  • Serge Gnabry Booking at odds of 9/1 with William Hill
  • Leon Bailey 3 Shots and Serge Gnabry Booking at odds of 17/1 with Betfair
Today's Football Tips
Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich
Sat, 17:30
JimmyThePunt: Leon Bailey 3+ shots
  • Averaged 3 SpG in his Bundesliga starts this season
  • This bet has landed in 5 of his last 8 league games. 
  • His pace should cause Bayern's high line plenty of issues.
Odds correct as of 2020-12-18 16:15 Odds subject to change.

When these sides met at the Allianz Arena last November, Leon Bailey's first half brace stunned the German champions. His lightning pace combined with Bayern's high line spelt trouble for The Bavarians comparably sluggish defence. This season, Bailey has clocked in at 36.35km an hour. Therefore, he'd easily gain at least two metres on any member of Bayern's back four in a flat-out foot race over 20m!

During his last two campaign's in Germany, Bailey has finished the season on five goals but he already has four to his name this term and is showing no signs of letting up. All of his goals have come in his last six starts, he bagged a brace in his penultimate league appearance and is averaging three shots per game! 

The Jamaican speed-merchant has accumulated at least three shots in his last eight appearances with this bet landing in two of his last three games and he could've made that three if he wasn't subbed with half an hour to play vs Koln. 

Ladbrokes are the only other bookie to currently have priced this market and have the same bet at odds against (10/11). Therefore, with Bayern's tactics playing directly into Bailey's strengths I expect him to give us a run for our money! 

Serge Gnabry to be carded
  • Gnabry has been booked in 2/2 of his last apps.
  • Only 19/4 with Betway.
  • Will be opposing Leverkusen's best and most fouled player; Leon Bailey.
Odds correct as of 2020-12-18 16:15 Odds subject to change.

It is usually difficult to tip a booking without knowing who the referee is but Serge Gnabry's price of 9/1 with William Hill has tempted me. 

With Kimmich injured, the ex-Arsenal man will be the joint most booked player on the pitch tomorrow evening with three to his name this season (league). Gnabry has had his name taken in both of his most recent Bundesliga appearances and has surprisingly averaged over a foul a game in those he has started.

Usually, revered for his attacking prowess, he'll have to prove himself as more of an all rounder tomorrow as he opposes the likes of Leon Bailey, Flroian Witz and Lars Bender. Bailey tops Die Werkself's charts as the most fouled player drawing an average of 1.4 per game and Bender takes third spot with 1.2. 

With Bayern's lightning quick left back Davies unlikely to start here, Gnabry will have to use his pace to run both ways and help out Hernandez with containing Bailey. Therefore, his generous price with Sky makes some appeal.

Leon Bailey 3+ shots & Serge Gnabry to be carded
  • Averaged 3 SpG in his Bundesliga starts this season, with this bet has landing in 5 of his last 8 league games
  • Gnabry has been booked in 2/2 of his last apps.
Odds correct as of 2020-12-18 16:20 Odds subject to change.

As a long-shot I have combined the two bets via Betfair's same game multi at odds of 17.25/1. 

Bet £10 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses

#Ad. Place your FIRST bet on any Sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £10. Only deposits made using Cards or Paypal will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply. Paddy's Rewards Club: Get a £10 free bet when you place 5x bets of £10+. T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
Free Betting Offers
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after  settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after  the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Welcome Offer
#AD Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £10 Get £60 in Bonuses
#AD New UK customers only. Register using the promo code BETFRED60, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £20 in Free Bets to be used on Sports, £10 in Free Bets to be used on Lotto and 50 Free Spins (20p per spin) credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. Further £20 in Free Bets credited 5 days after settlement. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 On Football & Get £40 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD £/€10 deposit using promo code "10FREE" - Minimum stake £/€10 at odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager the bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Casino Bonus expires after 60 days - Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & full T&Cs apply
Get Up To £100 In Free Bets
#AD New customer offer. Place 5 x £10 or more bets to receive £20 in free bets. Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum £100 bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange bets excluded. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
Money Back As CASH Up To £20 (APP Only)
#AD New customers only. Deposit £20 using card or Trustly. Up to your first £20 of losses will be refunded as CASH within 24 hours of qualifying bet having been settled. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD. New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from acceptance (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. 18+

Football Up To £50 Money Back In Cash

#Ad. 18+ Playsafe. Place 5x£10 Single Sportsbook bets on any Football market at minimum odds of 2.0 (Evs) between the 18th and 31st January, and get money back as Cash if it loses. Max refund per qualifying bet is £10 (up to £50 in total). Only deposits made via Cards will be eligible for the promotion. T&Cs apply  

Bet £10 Get £60 in Bonuses

BLACK FRIDAY OFFER #AD New UK customers only. Register using the promo code BETFRED60, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £20 in Free Bets to be used on Sports, £10 in Free Bets to be used on Lotto and 50 Free Spins (20p per spin) credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. Further £20 in Free Bets credited 5 days after settlement. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins

#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.