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Euro 2021 Betting: England's most likely line-up vs. Croatia according to the odds

Euro 2021 Betting: Jordan Pickford is the most likely player to start v Croatia according to the odds
Euro 2021 Betting: Jordan Pickford is the most likely player to start v Croatia according to the odds

Bookmaker Coral have released odds on who they think will start for England in their tournament curtain raiser at Euro 2021 next June. The Three Lions face the team who knocked them out of the World Cup semi-finals back in 2018, Croatia, looking for revenge for that defeat two-and-a-half years ago. 

While things like form and injuries will obviously determine who starts for the Three Lions in seven months time, currently the most probable line-up - according to the odds - starts with Everton’s Jordan Pickford in goal.

The Toffees stopper is odds-on at 1/2 to line up against Croatia, with Harry Maguire (1/6), Eric Dier (4/6), Trent Alexander-Arnold (1/6) and Ben Chilwell (1/2) in front of him in defence (the latter two operating as wing-backs). 

Group D Winner Odds

England
WIN PROB: 71%
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Croatia
WIN PROB: 25%
1
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Czech Republic
WIN PROB: 8%
1
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Scotland
WIN PROB: 5%
1
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We’re used to seeing football odds displayed in either fractions (2/1) or decimal (3.0), but what the Win Percentage Probability score does is show you exactly what percentage chance the bookmaker gives that selection of winning based on their odds.
Odds correct as of 2021-01-27 22:58 Odds subject to change.
England Euro 2021 Squad Betting

Coral think that Southgate will opt for Jordan Henderson (1/6) and Declan Rice (1/4) in midfield, with Harry Kane (1/10), Marcus Rashford (1/10) and Raheem Sterling (1/10) making up a three-man attack.

“Gareth Southgate has been criticised for being too negative with his starting XI, however, our odds project the England boss will start with an attacking line-up for his opening game of Euro 2020, with places for Raheem Sterling and Jadon Sancho,” said Coral spokesperson John Hill.
 
“Jordan Pickford is likely to be favoured over Nick Pope in goal, while we think Trent Alexander-Arnold and Ben Chilwell will feature in the two full-back positions,” added Hill.
 
"At this stage, we don't think there will be a place for Jack Grealish in the starting XI, however, if the Aston Villa man continues to impress, that could all change before June." 

Indeed, the value could lie in Jack Grealish, who is a 4/5 shot to start against Croatia in June. The 25-year-old was terrific against Belgium last weekend and has started really brightly for Villa in the Premier League. Chelsea's Reece James has also impressed in recent internationals, the young right-back is enjoying a better campaign that Trent Alexander-Arnold right now and at 4/1 looks a huge price to start England's first match at Wembley. 

Tyrone Mings has been preferred by Southgate in the heart of defence on numerous occasions and has done well when called upon. The Villa centre-half is odds-against to start against Croatia at 5/4, so that could also be a worthwhile selection at this early stage, while Manchester City's Phil Foden is an even-money shot and could also be worth considering if he starts to pick up some more minutes at club level this season.

England are the 5/1 joint-favourites with Belgium to win Euro 2021. They are odds-on at 2/5 to top Group D at the end of the group stages.

Eng
To make England's Euro 2021 squad

Raheem Sterling
WIN PROB: 93%
1
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Harry Kane
WIN PROB: 92%
1
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Marcus Rashford
WIN PROB: 91%
1
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Jadon Sancho
WIN PROB: 91%
1
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Harry Maguire
WIN PROB: 91%
1
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Jordan Henderson
WIN PROB: 89%
1
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Ben Chilwell
WIN PROB: 89%
1
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Jordan Pickford
WIN PROB: 86%
1
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Trent Alexander Arnold
WIN PROB: 88%
1
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Dean Henderson
WIN PROB: 83%
1
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Declan Rice
WIN PROB: 80%
1
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Nick Pope
WIN PROB: 83%
1
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Mason Mount
WIN PROB: 80%
1
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Jack Grealish
WIN PROB: 78%
1
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John Stones
WIN PROB: 75%
1
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Phil Foden
WIN PROB: 71%
1
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Eric Dier
WIN PROB: 69%
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Dominic Calvert Lewin
WIN PROB: 67%
1
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James Maddison
WIN PROB: 64%
1
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Reece James
WIN PROB: 56%
1
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Conor Coady
WIN PROB: 48%
1
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Kyle Walker
WIN PROB: 50%
1
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Bukayo Saka
WIN PROB: 44%
1
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Kieran Trippier
WIN PROB: 50%
1
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Joe Gomez
WIN PROB: 42%
1
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Kalvin Phillips
WIN PROB: 48%
1
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Tyrone Mings
WIN PROB: 44%
1
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Michael Keane
WIN PROB: 36%
1
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Danny Ings
WIN PROB: 38%
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Luke Shaw
WIN PROB: 36%
1
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Mason Greenwood
WIN PROB: 33%
1
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James Ward Prowse
WIN PROB: 33%
1
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Harry Winks
WIN PROB: 25%
1
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Tammy Abraham
WIN PROB: 17%
1
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Curtis Jones
WIN PROB: 22%
1
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Jude Bellingham
WIN PROB: 20%
1
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James Justin
WIN PROB: 17%
1
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Tom Heaton
WIN PROB: 17%
Harvey Barnes
WIN PROB: 13%
1
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Alex Oxlade Chamberlain
WIN PROB: 11%
1
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Aaron Ramsdale
WIN PROB: 14%
1
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Ross Barkley
WIN PROB: 14%
1
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Ben White
WIN PROB: 11%
1
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Ollie Watkins
WIN PROB: 14%
1
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Aaron Wan Bissaka
WIN PROB: 11%
1
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Alex McCarthy
WIN PROB: 8%
1
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Ainsley Maitland Niles
WIN PROB: 11%
1
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Callum Wilson
WIN PROB: 9%
1
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Dele Alli
WIN PROB: 8%
1
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Fikayo Tomori
WIN PROB: 8%
1
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Tariq Lamptey
WIN PROB: 9%
1
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Jamie Vardy
WIN PROB: 7%
1
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Callum Hudson Odoi
WIN PROB: 7%
1
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Rob Holding
WIN PROB: 7%
1
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Emile Smith Rowe
WIN PROB: 6%
1
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Sam Johnstone
WIN PROB: 6%
1
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