Crystal Palace vs. Wolves Betting Tips: Kilman to rack up the passes at Selhurst Park

Two Premier League fixtures take place on Tuesday evening with Brighton taking on Nottingham Forest on the South Coast and Crystal Palace entertaining Wolves in the Capital. We’ve previewed the action from Selhurst Park and have provided you with two data-driven bets which we like the look of.

After a goalless draw with Leicester City in the lunch-time kick-off on Saturday, Crystal Palace find themselves 13th in the Premier League table, just two points above the relegation zone. Patrick Viera’s side have conceded in each of their home matches so far this campaign and after five consecutive clean sheets on home soil to close out last season, the Palace boss will be looking to improve their defensive record and take three points against a Wolves side struggling for goals.

The Old Gold are still without a permanent manager, with Steve Davis set to continue as interim boss for this fixture. Wolves managed a 1-0 home win over Nottingham Forest on Saturday despite the visitors missing a penalty after Ruben Neves had already converted from the spot. The boys from the Black country have failed to score in their last four away matches in the top-flight and will be hoping Diego Costa can find his shooting boosts as they look to climb the table.

Moving on to team news and for Palace, James McArthur, Nathaniel Clyne and Jack Butland are all confirmed absentees, while Will Hughes remains a doubt. Jean-Philippe Mateta and Michael Olise are both pushing for returns to the starting XI which could look likely considering the extensive fixture list during October.

For Wolves, Nathan Collins returns after his ban due to suspension and should partner Max Kilman at the heart of defence. Raul Jimenez and Pedro Neto remain on the treatment table, while after a rare start at the weekend, Adama Traore should keep his place in the side.

Both our selections for this game come via the bet365 Bet Builder feature and first up we are backing Over 5.5 goal-kicks for Wolves and Over 37.5 throws in the match for both teams combined. This is available at 5/6 and thinking a little about the game script, we envision Palace getting on the front-foot from the off here with a lively crowd down at Selhurst Park for this evening kick-off. Patrick Viera’s men have scored in their last four matches in front of their own fans and when looking at the opposition goal-kick figures in that period they read, 9, 6, 7, 11. That sample includes the game against Chelsea where the Blues managed six goal-kicks. With Palace very much after the points here, we expect plenty of chances and Over 5.5 goal-kicks for Wolves looks a wise play. 

The second half of our main bet for the evening is for there to be Over 37.5 throw-ins during the game. In Palace’s most recent home outing there were a total of 61 throws in the game against Leeds United and looking back at the four fixtures prior to that at Selhurst Park, the totals read 42, 37, 41, 39. The line of Over 37.5 has been cleared in four of Palace’s five home league matches this term and we think it should land again on Tuesday against Wolves.

We’ll also be touting a 5/1 Bet Builder for this game which consists of Max Kilman to attempt Over 63.5 passes and Diego Costa to record Over 1.5 shots in the match. Let’s start with Kilman and looking back at his data from this season we can see that he has cleared this line of Over 63.5 passes in four of his five top-flight away matches so far this season. Kilman is averaging 72.5 passes per game away from Molineux in 2022/2023 hitting totals of 83,54,90,70 and 64. 

Diego Costa has only made two starts so far for his new employers after making the switch from Spain back to the Premier League and we think he looks a little overpriced in the shots market for this one. The former Chelsea-man may have only taken two shots in 170 minutes of league football but we feel it’s only a matter of time before he starts firing. Wolves currently rank 2nd for shots per game taken in away matches this season (15pg) and with bet365 having Costa priced at 6/4 to hit Over 1.5 shots against Palace this looks good value considering the same selection is just 4/9 with Betfair, BetVictor and Paddy Power. Combining the Kilman passes with shots for Costa pays 5/1. 

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