Brighton vs. Aston Villa Predictions: Maupay shots and cards on the menu

There are six Premier League games being played on Saturday and we will have new, previews and tips for all of them on BettingOdds.com. We have asked our in-house writer Adam Roberts to look at the match between Brighton and Aston Villa and he's given us his best two bets. 

The American Express Community Stadium sees a 3pm kick odd between two sides who have won just one of their last six matches. Brighton were on a very good run of seven unbeaten before back-to-back losses to Man Utd and more surprisingly, Burnley, in a dreadful 3-0 loss at home. 

Villa are on a dreadful run under Steven Gerrard. After an initial reaction to his appointment, picking up four wins from six, they have collapsed, picking up just five points from a possible 21. 

Both teams will be desperate for a reaction here to avoid losing three straight games. 

Team news:

Brighton should get some much needed reinforcements in central defence, due to the returning Lewis Dunk(suspension) and Adam Webster(injury) while Pascal Gross is expected to slot back into central midfield alongside Yves Bissouma, who faces the team who bid for him in January. 

Ezri Konza returns from suspension for Villa and should slot back into his centre back role. They are still without the injured Bertrand Traoré and Marvelous Nakamba but otherwise have a full squad to select from. 

My two picks centre around the Brighton striker Neal Maupay. The 25-year-old Frenchman comfortably leads the Seagulls with eight goals this season and has racked up 43 shots in just 20 starts with 13 of those hitting the target. He's had nine shots in the last five games with three on target. Whilst Maupay's not been as clinical with his shots as last year - 26 SoT from 71 shots in 29 starts- his shot output is almost the same so you would surmise he's likely to start hitting the target sooner than later. 

The price of 17/20 is value compared to the 13 SoT in 20 starts but especially when you compare it to other bookmakers. The same bet is 1/6 at Paddy Power! 

Our 2nd bet is a doubling down on the inflated William Hill odds. 2+ shots on target is 4/1 compared to 11/10 at Paddy Power. I have combined that with a yellow card for the same player in a double that pays 20/1.

Maupay leads Brighton in fouls (23) and is joint second in yellow cards with four for the season. 

I will be having a very small 0.25pt stake on this longshot.

Good luck if you are following and remember to gamble responsibly.