Brentford vs Man United Prediction and Betting Tips: Two data driven picks from the Gtech Stadium

Brentford host Manchester United at the end of a busy Saturday of Premier League action.  The Bees have struggled this season, and they take on a Manchester United side with their sights set on clawing their way into the Champions League. Scott Thornton is on hand with his best bets. 

Thomas Frank’s side finished in the top half last season, but this campaign hasn’t gone to plan. The team have won just two of their 12 league matches this calendar year. The return of Ivan Toney after a lengthy suspension had been cause for optimism but his goals have failed to bring about an upturn in form. 

Manchester United are attempting to salvage a place in the Champions League. Their hopes could be boosted by an additional spot being awarded the Premier League. The Red Devils have won five of their last seven league matches but still face an uphill battle to catch up with both Tottenham and Aston Villa. 

Brentford have a long list of absentees for this match. Josh DaSilva, Rico Henry, Ben Mee, Aaron Hickey and Chris Norgaard are all set to miss out. Sergio Reguilon, who spent the first half of the season on loan at Manchester United is suspended after picking up a red card. 

Erik ten Hag has had several players return from injury in recent weeks. Mason Mount and Rasmus Hojlund rejoined the squad for the win over Liverpool. Lisandro Martinez has been training once again and could be in line to feature here. 

Our first betting angle for this match is for both teams to score in the match. Brentford have struggled this season, but they have been finding the net regularly. Frank’s team are averaging 1.6 goals per home game in the Premier League this season.  

The Bees have played 12 matches across all competitions in 2024 and have scored in 11 of those. The 1-0 defeat at the Etihad was the only time they failed to find the net.  They are averaging 1.5 goals per game over that period. 

Both teams have scored in Manchester United’s last five away matches. During that time, Erik ten Hag’s side are scoring and conceding two goals per game. This betting angle also won when the sides met at Old Trafford earlier in the season.  

Next up, we are backing over 28.5 shots in the match. Manchester United’s last five league matches have seen an average of 37.8 shots. This betting angle has won in all those matches. 

Ten Hag’s side have been easy for the opposition to get at. Only Sheffield United and Luton have conceded more than United’s average of 16.68 shots per Premier League game this season. Brentford should have some success going forward on Saturday. 

Brentford’s last three home matches have all seen 30 shots or more with an average of 31.67. There were 32 shots when they took on Manchester United earlier in the season.  

For our longer odds bet builder, we are backing the same angles as the main bet as well as the visitors to win the match. 

Manchester United have won three of their four Premier League matches on the road in 2024. They took the lead in the only defeat, which came against Manchester City.