Borussia Dortmund vs PSG Prediction and Betting Tips: Sabitzer a massive price in the assist market
Posted: 16:54 Tuesday 30th April 2024
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The second Champions League semi-final commences on Wednesday as Borussia Dortmund welcome Paris Saint-Germain to Germany. We’ve got two data-driven tips for the game that you can read about below.
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Dortmund came through the final eight of the competition by beating Atletico Madrid 5-4 on aggregate in the quarter-finals. Edin Terzic’s side overcame a one-goal deficit from the first leg with a 4-2 victory in the return match in front of their own fans. The hosts are priced as the outsiders to win this first leg clash, available at 17/10, while the draw can be backed at 11/4.
Paris Saint-Germain defied the odds by knocking out Barcelona 6-4 on aggregate in the previous round.. The Parisiens also turned around a one-goal first-leg deficit with a 4-1 win in the second at the Olympic Stadium. PSG are the favourites with BetMGM to take an advantage back to the French capital, chalked up at a stand-out top price of 6/4.
Dortmund vs PSG Tips
Kylian Mbappe to Score
Our first bet may seem like an obvious one, but we think it’s one certainly worth taking. Kylian Mbappe is the top scorer in the competition this season having bagged eight goals and at 10/11, and we like the look of another against Dortmund.
Mbappe’s tally of eight goals in this season's UEFA Champions League equals his personal best from a single campaign, matching his record set in the 2020-21 season. Additionally, he is only two goals shy of joining the elite group of players who have scored 50 goals in the Champions League. Impressively, he has scored twice in each of his last two away games in the competition. Four of Mbappe’s eight goals in Europe this season have also been the first of the game, so he is worth some consideration in the First Goalscorer market.
Marcel Sabitzer Anytime Assist
We think this could be a high scoring affair with the market also predicting so, with the Over 2.5 goal line being set at just 4/6. With PSG expected to score on home soil in the return fixture, Dortmund will be itching to find the net here and the player we are backing to provide an assist for Terzic’s men is Marcel Sabitzer.
The Austrian has contributed five assists in this season's renewal of the Champions League, two of which were crucial in their second-leg triumph against Atletico Madrid. The only Dortmund player to better this tally in a single campaign was Ousmane Dembele, with six assists in 2016-17. BetMGM go 7/1 that he provides another on Wednesday looks way too big for a player who has four of his six starts where he has featured for over 45 minutes this term. Other firms such as Sky Bet have him priced considerably shorter at just 4/1.
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