Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction and Betting Tips: 13/1 double available for Champions League quarter-final first leg

12/1 and 25/1 Champions League outright outsiders Atletico Madrid and Borussia Dortmund vie for a quarter-final first leg advantage at the Metropolitan Stadium on Wednesday evening. Luke Hamilton is in the tipping hot-seat to preview the action and provide us with his best bets. 

Atletico were unfancied in their last-32 clash with last season's runners-up Inter, however, the Spaniards prevailed in a tense penalty shootout after Memphis Depay's 87th minute leveller helped take them into extra time.

Dortmund navigated a tricky round of 16 two-parter with PSV last month, holding their Dutch counterparts to a score draw away from home before getting the job done at Signal Iduna Park.

Atletico's Brazilian wide man has provided his side with 11 goals and assists in his debut campaign for the club, proving a valuable asset after returning from a successful loan with Valencia last campaign.

In specific terms for this bet, the 24-year-old has had a shot on target in half of his 26 La Liga games with the Spanish capital club, further bolstered by registering at least one in four of his six Champions League matches as well.

Since the beginning of February, Lino has provided a winning return for this selection in seven of his nine outings. More widely, Atletico's home advantage in this first leg should give the winger more licence for getting forward, with less emphasis on his positional play.

That, coupled with the fact that this same bet is as short as 4/9 elsewhere, has us happy to side with the home side's No.12 on Wednesday.

The midfield battle should be a difference maker between these two. For Madrid it's about stopping those wide balls in the away side's bid to launch counter attacks, while for Dortmund it's about containing the hosts, who are expected to control proceedings on home soil.

We don't anticipate a high-scoring affair in this one, however, there may be a few cards being dished out in a reasonably equal contest.

Rodrigo De Paul is expected to get the nod alongside Koke in central midfield for the home team. He is their second most booked player in La Liga, with five cautions in 26 appearances. Two of these have come in his last three league fixtures, with both cards brandished on home turf.

Likewise, Emre Can has four yellows in 23 Bundesliga games this campaign - racking up the most fouls of any Dortmund player in the league with 23. He has been shown an additional three yellows in the 2023/24 Champions League, with two thirds of these coming on the road.

This double is under 8/1 with other bookmakers, so we recommend using BetMGM to ensure you get the 13/1 while still available.