Wolves v Southampton Tips: Long range specialist to strike once again

It’s been another action packed weekend of Premier League football but gameweek nine is not over yet with another two games to wet your whistle on Monday evening. Wolves v Southampton kicks off at 8pm live on Sky Sports and @AnthonyEadson is on hand with three tips for the game. 

Conor Coady withdrew from the England squad over the International break and is a doubt for Monday’s game with Romain Saiss ready to step in if called upon. Jonny and Marcal will both miss out through injury, while Leander Dendoncker will be assessed after picking up a knock playing for Belgium last week.

Danny Ings still has around four weeks left before he returns from injury for Southampton, so Che Adams and Theo Walcott should continue in attack. James Ward-Prowse pulled out of the England squad last week but should be fine to start for Ralph Hassenhuttl’s side.

Wolves are the bookmakers favourites to take three points at Molineux, priced at 11/8, with the draw being offered at 11/5.  After winning five of their last six matches Southampton do look an inviting price at 23/10 for the victory, an implied probability of 30%.

Che Adams 2+ shots on target - 1.5pts @ 5/2 Paddy Power

James Ward-Prowse to score from outside the area - 0.5pts @ 14/1 Paddy Power / Betfair

Jimenez 1+ shot on target, Moutinho & Walker-Peters to be carded 0.25pts @ 40/1 Paddy Power

The first of three selections I’ve picked out on Monday evening comes in the form of Southampton’s Che Adams to have two or more shots on target priced at 5/2 with Paddy Power. After failing to find the back of the net in his first four league games, the 24-year-old has scored three goals in his last four matches and looks to be a man in-form.

When it comes to shots on target over recent weeks Che has been dialled in, registering at least two on target in three of his last four games. The rise in output from the former Birmingham City and Sheffield United man could be due to the absence of Danny Ings through injury. This added emphasis on Adams to supply the goals makes the striker my main bet of the evening with two or more shots to be registered being offered at 5/2 with Paddy Power.

Next up I’m fancying James Ward-Prowse to score from outside the area, priced at 14/1 with both Betfair and Paddy Power. Since the start of the 2018/2019 season, no player in the Premier League has scored more goals from outside the area than Southampton’s James Ward-Prowse with eight to his name. 

Highly accurate when shooting from range, the 26-year-old has been pushing his way into Gareth Southgate’s England plans, however he had to withdraw from the squad over the most recent International break. Ward-Prowse should be back in the starting line-up against Wolves and when considering 78% of his shots have come from outside the box this season, the 14/1 looks a reasonable play for Monday. Against Aston Villa, the central midfielder slotted home two free-kicks and with players such as Kevin De Bruyne and Bruno Fernandes often priced at around 7/1 in this market, Ward-Prowse makes some appeal here at 14’s.

My longshot was let down by one leg in needing a James Milner card to land a 55/1 shot on Sunday, but I’m back on the horse with a 40/1 play for Monday. This time it’s Raul Jimenez to have one or more shots on target, with both Joao Moutinho and Kyle Walker-Peters to be carded. 

Masked Mexican Raul Jimenez has scored four goals in eight appearances in the Premier League for Wolves this term. He’s averaging over a shot on target per game this season (1.1) and is also on penalty duty for Nuno Santo’s side. The 29-year-old has landed a shot on target in seven of his eight league games this season and I have full confidence in him registering at least one this evening.

The first of two bookings I’ve opted for is for Joao Moutinho to find his way into the referee’s notebook. Last season in the League the veteran Portuguese midfielder was booked on no less than seven occasions, picking up a further two in the Europa League. He’s already had one this season in the league and I fancy him to pick up another against Southampton.

For the visitors, I’ve opted for Kyle Walker-Peters to be carded. The young English right-back has been booked three times in just eight league games in the 2020/21 season. He’s averaging over one foul per game and considering the prices he looks the right candidate to add into this 40/1 shot. 

I managed to land 5/1 & 10/3 winners for BettingOdds.com over the weekend so let’s hope Monday can get the new week off to a flyer. Best of luck to those following, and please always gamble responsibly.