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Which managers will win Europe's top-5 leagues?

By Jack Kitson
Posted: 16:17 Tuesday 27th July 2021
Julian Nagelsmann kick starts a new era at Bayern Munich
Julian Nagelsmann kick starts a new era at Bayern Munich

We’ve scanned the outright betting markets in Europe’s top-five major leagues to bring you the early managerial favourites to win the respective titles on offer next season.

We start with the Premier League, then take a look at La Liga, Serie A, the Bundesliga, and finally Ligue 1.

Premier League

Pep Guardiola’s Man City have been installed as the odds-on favourites to win the Premier League title, which would be the Spaniard’s fourth success in six seasons.

After a rocky start, City waltzed to the title last term, and with England stars Harry Kane and Jack Grealish rumoured to be on their way to the Etihad it could be all over by Christmas…

Elsewhere, Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool are available at 5/1 to wrestle back the crown, Thomas Tuchel (Chelsea) is a tempting price at 11/2 given the club’s transformation since his appointment, while Ole Gunnar Solskjaer will quietly have hopes that he can lead 9/1-Man Utd to glory after making a couple of high-profile summer signings in key areas.

- Favourite: Pep Guardiola, 8/11 (Bet Victor)

- Value Bet: Thomas Tuchel, 11/2 (Bet Victor)

Premier League Title Odds

  • PROB
    %
Best Odds
Manchester City
WIN PROB: 60%
  • 4/7
  • 8/15
  • 8/15
  • 4/6
  • 8/15
  • 60%
Show More Odds
1
REVEAL OFFER
4/6
A £10 bet would return £16.66
£20 FREE BET
4/7
A £10 bet would return £15.71
£10 FREE BET
8/15
A £10 bet would return £15.33
£20 FREE BET
8/15
A £10 bet would return £15.33
£40 FREE BET
8/15
A £10 bet would return £15.30
Liverpool
WIN PROB: 10%
  • 8/1
  • 9/1
  • 9/1
  • 8/1
  • 9/1
  • 10%
Show More Odds
1
£20 FREE BET
9/1
A £10 bet would return £100
£10 FREE BET
9/1
A £10 bet would return £100
£40 FREE BET
9/1
A £10 bet would return £100
£20 FREE BET
8/1
A £10 bet would return £90
REVEAL OFFER
8/1
A £10 bet would return £90
Manchester United
WIN PROB: 9%
  • 8/1
  • 10/1
  • 10/1
  • 8/1
  • 10/1
  • 9.1%
Show More Odds
1
£20 FREE BET
10/1
A £10 bet would return £110
£10 FREE BET
10/1
A £10 bet would return £110
£40 FREE BET
10/1
A £10 bet would return £110
£20 FREE BET
8/1
A £10 bet would return £90
REVEAL OFFER
8/1
A £10 bet would return £90
Chelsea
WIN PROB: 6%
  • 14/1
  • 16/1
  • 16/1
  • 12/1
  • 14/1
  • 5.9%
Show More Odds
1
£20 FREE BET
16/1
A £10 bet would return £170
£10 FREE BET
16/1
A £10 bet would return £170
£20 FREE BET
14/1
A £10 bet would return £150
£40 FREE BET
14/1
A £10 bet would return £150
REVEAL OFFER
12/1
A £10 bet would return £130
Each Way Terms
  • 2
    1/3


  • 2
    1/3
  • 2
    1/3
Odds correct as of 2023-05-30 21:16 Odds subject to change.

La Liga

The bookies’ are having trouble separating Ronald Koeman (Barcelona) and Carlo Ancelotti (Real Madrid) in the outright La Liga market.

Koeman came under pressure at various points last season but it’s since been confirmed that he’ll remain in the dugout. Lionel Messi is staying too, while Memphis Depay and Sergio Aguero have been added to the ranks. If the Catalan club fail to win the title again it will be the first time they’ve had a three season drought since the start of the century.

Over at a Sergio Ramos-less Real Madrid, Ancelotti has returned following the exit of Zinedine Zidane. He was unable to win the title in his first spell at Los Blancos, while he’s only won one league title in the last seven years.

With Barcelona and Real Madrid still undergoing transitional periods the best bet could prove to be defending champion Diego Simeone whose Atletico Madrid can be backed at 4/1 to retain the title they won on the final day of last season.

- Favourite: Ronald Koeman, 29/20 (888Sport)

- Value Bet: Diego Simeone, 4/1 (UniBet)

La Liga Title Odds

  • PROB
    %
Best Odds
Barcelona
WIN PROB: 100%
  • 1/200
  • 1/1000
  • 99.5%
Show More Odds
1
£20 FREE BET
1/200
A £10 bet would return £10.05
REVEAL OFFER
1/1000
A £10 bet would return £10
Real Madrid
WIN PROB: 1%
  • 20/1
  • 150/1
  • 0.7%
Show More Odds
1
REVEAL OFFER
150/1
A £10 bet would return £1,510
£20 FREE BET
20/1
A £10 bet would return £210
Atletico Madrid
WIN PROB: 1%
  • -
  • 150/1
  • 0.7%
Odds correct as of 2023-05-03 22:41 Odds subject to change.

Serie A

Since the season came to a close a whopping 12 Serie clubs have changed managers, including champions Inter Milan, Juventus, Napoli, Lazio, and Roma.

With so much change it’s difficult to predict how each team will operate under a new boss, but bookmakers have selected Juventus as favourites to regain the Scudetto. After a two-year absence, the Old Lady have serial-winner Max Allegri back at the helm, with the Italian winning the league in each of his last five attempts. Cristiano Ronaldo looks to be staying too.

Inter, now led by Simone Inzaghi, certainly appeal at 5/2 given their dominant performance last season, while Gian Piero Gasperini’s Atalanta would be an incredibly popular victor at 9/1.

- Favourite: Max Allegri, 5/4 (Bet Victor)

- Value Bet:  Simone Inzaghi, 5/2 (Sky)

Bundesliga

Similarly to Italy, there’s been a raft of managerial comings-and-goings in Germany with each of last season’s top-six making a change in the dugout!

The best club in the Bundesliga now have the country’s hottest managerial property at the helm in Julian Nagelsmann, who has jetted over from RB Leipzig. It’s widely viewed as the perfect fit with Bayern Munich priced at just 1/5 to hit the perfect 10: a record-breaking tenth successive title.

The FCB didn’t have it all their own way during parts of last season and neutrals will hope that the likes of 7/1 priced Borussia Dortmund (Marco Rose) and 16/1 shots RB Leipzig (Jesse Marsch) can launch a stern challenge.

-Favourite: Julian Nagelsmann, 1/5 (Bet Victor)

-Value Bet: Marco Rose, 7/1 (Paddy Power)

Ligue 1

Another league, another title-winning manager on the move.

Christophe Galtier conjured up an incredible success story at Lille last season, fending off Mauricio Pochettino’s PSG to claim gold. However, the Frenchman has since switched clubs to Nice, who finished 9th last season.

Pochettino, who was hotly linked with Spurs, will have a second stab at winning his first ever league title. PSG are unsurprisingly the 1/4 frontrunners and it would be an absolute disaster if Kylian Mbappe, Neymar, and co failed to bring the trophy back to Paris, again.

Every other club is priced at double-figures, including Lyon and their new boss Peter Bosz (12/1), Niko Kovač’s Monaco (20/1), and Lille (also 20/1) who are now managed by Jocelyn Gourvennec. Meanwhile, Galtier’s Nice are as long as 100/1.

- Favourite: Mauricio Pochettino, 1/5 (Bet365)

- Value Bet: Niko Kovač, 20/1 (UniBet)

FIVE FOLD: Inter, Atletico Madrid, Man City, Bayern Munich, PSG to all win the title at 40/1 with UniBet

Ligue 1 Title Odds

  • PROB
    %
Best Odds
Paris Saint Germain
WIN PROB: 100%
  • 1/1000
  • 100%
Odds correct as of 2023-05-21 22:20 Odds subject to change.

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