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Tottenham vs. Newcastle Betting Tips: Back Kane to score his fifth header of the season

By Dean Woodward
Updated: 17:35 Friday 21st October 2022
Football_v4
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Sunday evening live on Sky Sports Main Event, Tottenham return to North London where they host Newcastle United with a 16:30 kick off.

It was a disappointing performance for Antonio Conte's side in midweek where they were dominated for the majority of the game by an improving Manchester United side. Spurs remain in 3rd place in the Premier League, but with a game in hand over the clubs that are situated around them in the table. Chelsea and Manchester United sit just three and four points behind them whilst playing a game less, but go head to head this weekend.

Kulusevksi and Richarlison both remain side-lined through injury so it is likely Conte sticks with the 3-5-2 system packing the midfield with Hojbjerg, Bentancur and Bissouma, deploying son as a central striker again with the in-form Harry Kane. 

Another three points on the board for Newcastle keeps Eddie Howe's side in the top six with eighteen points, just five points behind Spurs in third. In eleven games in the Premier League, Newcastle have only tasted defeat on one occasion, when going down 2-1 to Liverpool due to a 98th minute winner from Fabio Carvalho. The transformation in this Newcastle side since Eddie Howe took the reins is exceptional, deservedly high up the table, with an expected points of 18.84 which would see them sitting pretty in fourth place.

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Joelinton being replaced at half time against Everton in midweek due to injury will be a huge loss in midfield for the Magpies. Joe Willock is likely to step back in after recovering from illness recently. The injury list still remains long for Eddie Howe as danger man Allan Saint-Maximin remains side-lined, with summer signing Alexander Isak also side-lined also due to a thigh Injury.

Tottenham Hotspur possible starting lineup:
Lloris; Romero, Dier, Lenglet; Emerson, Hojbjerg, Bentancur, Sessegnon; Son, Kane, Perisic

Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Pope; Trippier, Schar, Botman, Burn; Guimaraes, Longstaff, Willock; Almiron, Wilson, Murphy

Tottenham vs Newcastle Tips

  • Kane to score anytime – 11/8 (1unit) Bet365/Sky
  • Kane to score a header – 10/1 (0.5unit) Bet365

 

@DeanWoodward93 BettingOddsUK 2022 Profit/Loss  +22.97units / 40.65% ROI

World Cup Odds
Harry Kane to Score
11/8
Odds correct as of 2022-10-21 17:20 Odds subject to change.

The England captain will be looking to find the net yet again to take his tally into double figures in the Premier League and get Spurs back to winning ways. Harry Kane has now scored nine goals in just eleven Premier League matches, only bettered by the Norwegian, Erling Haaland, who looks to be running away with the Golden Boot.

Only Haaland has a better expected goals (xG) this season than Harry Kane (8.61) and he will be looking to carry his prolific goalscoring into the World Cup just next month. Priced at 11/8 to score anytime implies just a 42% chance of finding the net here, which gives us some great value considering his record in-front of goal this season. Kane has netted against both Arsenal and Chelsea already this season, 11/8 is a price that looks extremely generous.

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Tottenham vs Newcastle Odds
Harry Kane to score a header
10/1
Odds correct as of 2022-10-21 17:25 Odds subject to change.

A selection that I keep tipping each week continues to provide great value week in week out. 10/1 looks incredibly overpriced, with Betfair/Paddy Power also offering a huge 9/1.

Eleven matches in the Premier League this season, nine goals, four of which have come with his head (44%), an incredible return when we are getting prices like this every game. Across his forty-one shots in the Premier League this season, twelve have been with his head (29%) and unlucky to not have been recorded as a headed goal against Brighton when it came off of his shoulder. At 10/1 (9% chance) this bet only needs to land four times across an entire thirty-eight game Premier League season to see a profitable return. 

 

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