Tottenham vs. Wolves Betting Tips: Two data-driven plays for the early kick-off
Posted: 10:46 Friday 19th August 2022
In their last 10 league away matches, Wolves’ opponents are averaging 16 shots per game
Tottenham come into this one on the back of an encouraging draw at Stamford Bridge. Conte’s men were fortunate to secure a point against Chelsea, but the last gasp nature of the equaliser will give the team confidence heading into this one.
Spurs lost at home to Wolves last season, and they will be looking to set the record straight in this one. Wolves have won just the single point form their opening two games, but they are more than capable of causing problems for the home side here.
Kulusevski has hit the ground, and he looks a real threat along with Kane and Son in Conte’s side. They also have the added option of RIcharlison, so they will be confident of causing Wolves problems defensively. Cristian Romero will miss this match, and Clement Lenglet is unlikely to feature, so Ben Davies and Davison Sanchez should start for the home side.
Raul Jimenez is out for the visitors, Joao Moutinho also has a slight knock, and is expected to miss this one.
Tottenham vs Wolves Tips
Over 13.5 Shots For Tottenham & Over 32.5 Throws In The Match
Spurs looked extremely good going forward in their home match against Southampton. They found the net four times after going behind, and they managed 18 shots on goal, despite leading for two thirds of the match. Tottenham have managed 16 shots in 6 of their last 10 home games in the Premier League, and I think Wolves will struggle to contain them here.
In their last 10 league away matches, Wolves’ opponents are averaging 16 shots per game, and I expect Tottenham to reach a similar number here. When these two teams met in London last season, Conte’s team had 17 shots overall.
The recent meetings between these sides have also seen a lot more throw-ins than expected. These teams met three times last season, and there were 46, 44 and 48 throws in the matches. The bookmakers line is a lot lower here, and it does reflect the data coming into this match, but I’m happy to combine the throw-in and shot angles to create a bet here.
Wolves’ matches so far this season have seen 46 and 39 throws awarded. Tottenham’s have seen 34 and 45. We can get odds of 1.90 for 33 or more throws in the match and Spurs to have 14 or more shots here with Bet 365.
Over 41.5 Throws & Over 19.5 Tottenham Tackles
For our longshot, I’ll be taking the throws angle from our main bet. The line set by Bet 365 is reasonable when considering all of the data, but the recent meetings between these sides show there is potential for them to reach the required mark for this bet. This line landed comfortably in all three meetings between the sides last season.
Spurs have made 25 and 24 tackles in their opening two league matches, so I’m happy to back them to hit a high number again here. Wolves opponents so far have hit 21 and 19 tackles, right on either side of the wire for this one.
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