Odds shown as:

Spain v Germany Tips: Kroos to find the ref's notepad in Seville

Spain v Germany Tips: We're backing Toni Kroos to pick up a card in Seville
Spain v Germany Tips: We're backing Toni Kroos to pick up a card in Seville

On Tuesday night we’re being treated to a winner-takes-all match in the Nations League between two former world champions - Spain vs Germany. The two European footballing powerhouses are not at the peak of their powers after going through transitional periods, leaving the last generation’s successful sides behind to blood a new crop of potential world beaters. This has shown in both sides’ recent results with Spain failing to win in their last three and Germany, in slightly better form, winning three of their last seven. When these two met in September, a last-minute Jose Luis Gaya goal made it a 1-1 stalemate. 

Spain will be without Barcelona starlet Ansu Fati and stalwart Sergio Busquets through long and short-term injuries respectively, meanwhile the Germans will be without big names in Joshua Kimmich, Kai Havertz and Julian Draxler. 

To my surprise, Spain are the favourites for this one priced at 13/10 with bet365, while Germany are a generous 15/8, given a 35% chance of winning. For me the Germans are looking in a lot better shape, winning their last three and with a more established squad, they could be worth a bet either as a single or added to your midweek acca. 

However I’m going to attempt to find you a bit more value and have delved into the scorers, shots on target and card markets to find you three value selections to back and enjoy the game. The Group A4 match will be in Seville and can be watched on Sky Sports from 7.45pm UK time. 

 

Nations League Winner Odds
Leroy Sane to score anytime
Odds correct as of 2020-11-16 17:00 Odds subject to change.

Leroy Sane has managed to recover from a big injury and settle well in Germany after his £41m move from Man City. The electric winger has been in fine form this season despite not completing a full 90 minutes yet. He’s been involved in 7 goals in 423 minutes of football, a goal involvement every 60 minutes. 

Sane has scored in his last three matches for club and country and when looking at the anytime scorer market he looks the value pick with Betfair at 10/3, a bigger price than Morata, Werner or Gnabry.  

Timo Werner to score & Sergio Reguilon to be carded
Odds correct as of 2020-11-16 17:00 Odds subject to change.

Moving to my go-to type of bet, the ‘to score and be carded’ double and I’m backing Timo Werner and Sergio Reguilon to give me two green ticks for this one. Starting with Werner, the red-hot Chelsea striker, after a slow start he has gone into fifth gear after scoring seven goals in his last five games for club and country, currently the most in-form player in the Premier League. 

After a great season-long loan at Sevilla, Sergio Reguilon has continued his fine year by making the move to Tottenham and cementing himself as Spain’s left-back. The Spainards’ charming smile is not to be confused with a nasty streak which he has in the locker. He was booked nine times last season, has two yellows in his last four and my main angle for this one is the pace he’ll be coming up against in a Germany frontline which consists of Werner, Gnabry and Sane. He’s a modern-day attacking full-back, and despite his pace is often found running towards his own goal making tactical or rash fouls. At a backable 7/2 he’s getting doubled up with a Werner goal to create a tasty 14/1 double. 

I was originally looking at Hector Bellerin for this one but am unsure whether he makes the starting 11, but if you fancy the 17/1 double you can get it here. 

Ferran Torres & Leon Goretzka to both 1+ SoT; Sergio Ramos & Toni Kroos both to be booked
Odds correct as of 2020-11-16 17:05 Odds subject to change.

Who fancies a long shot to spice up the international break? I know I need to to get into these games so I’ve conjured up a 125/1 punt for your pleasure and hopefully financial reward. 

Starting with two shots on target selections from two emerging talents from each side, first Spain and Manchester City’s Ferran Torres who has impressed and has had 10 shots on target in 13 games for club and country this season and looks great value at 10/11. 

The second selection is also 10/11 to have a shot on target and a player I love to back in the SoT market: Germany midfielder Leon Goretzka. He’s already scored five this season and has added shots and goals to his game, arriving into the box late like a hench Frank Lampard. 

Now to the cards and to two team-mates who I think will get stuck in to fight for their country’s chance to win the Nations League. Starting with Span captain Sergio Ramos, who will be desperate to make amends after Saturday’s horror show where he missed two penalties against Switzerland. The shrewd operator will have to stop any pacey German counter-attack and I fancy him to collect his 25th international yellow. To boost the odds up even more I’m finishing this one with his Real Madrid team-mate Toni Kroos. With Kimmich out, I think Kroos’ experience will be relied on in midfield and when I saw he was booked in his previous two Nations League games and was 5/1 to be booked, I couldn’t resist. 

As always only bet what you can afford and gamble responsibly. 

Free betting offers
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
£20 Risk Free Bet - Refunded In CASH On Losing Bets (APP Only)
#AD New customers only. Deposit £20 using card or Trustly. Up to your first £20 of losses will be refunded as CASH within 24 hours of qualifying bet having been settled. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £40 in Free Bets
#Ad. 18+ Playsafe. New customers using promo code M40 only. 1x per customer. Min £/€10 bet. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Free bets of 2 x £/€15 issued after first qualifying bet settles. Max £/€10 Bonus. 35x wagering requirement. Max redeemable bonus: £25. Casino bonus expires after 72 hours. UK & Eire only. Additional T&Cs, including free-bet, game, location, payment method and stake contributions apply. See full terms below 18+ begambleaware.org
Welcome Offer
#AD Open Account Offer. Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code ‘100BET365’ can be used during registration, but does not change the offer amount in any way. 18+ begambleaware.org.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £10 Get £30 + 30 Free Spins
#AD New UK & NI customers only. Promo code SPORTS60. Deposit and place first sports bet of £10+ in one transaction, at odds of Evens (2.0)+, settled within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS validation may be required. Max 30 Free Spins on Blue Wizard at £0.10 per spin. 7-day expiry. Full T&Cs apply.
£20 Risk Free First Bet Money Back In Cash
#Ad. New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £/£20. T&Cs apply.
Get Up To £100 In Free Bets
#AD New customer offer. Place 5 x £10 or more bets to receive £20 in free bets. Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum £100 bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange bets excluded. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD. New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from acceptance (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. 18+
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus
#AD Minimum deposit of £10 using deposit code 30F - A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 placed on any sports market - Minimum odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager bonus amount x40 within 14 days • Wagering req. vary by game • Withdrawal restrictions and Full T&C’s apply. 18+ begambleaware.org

£20 Risk Free Bet - Refunded In CASH On Losing Bets (APP Only)

#AD New customers only. Deposit £20 using card or Trustly. Up to your first £20 of losses will be refunded as CASH within 24 hours of qualifying bet having been settled. T&Cs apply

Money Back As Cash Up To £50 If Any Of Your First 5 Bets Lose

#Ad. 18+ Playsafe. Place 5 x £10 Sportsbook bets on Football and get money back as cash if any lose. Maximum refund per qualifying bet is £10, x5 refunds available. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins

#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.