Odds shown as:
Bet Slip 0

Spain v Germany Tips: Kroos to find the ref's notepad in Seville

Spain v Germany Tips: We're backing Toni Kroos to pick up a card in Seville
Spain v Germany Tips: We're backing Toni Kroos to pick up a card in Seville

On Tuesday night we’re being treated to a winner-takes-all match in the Nations League between two former world champions - Spain vs Germany. The two European footballing powerhouses are not at the peak of their powers after going through transitional periods, leaving the last generation’s successful sides behind to blood a new crop of potential world beaters. This has shown in both sides’ recent results with Spain failing to win in their last three and Germany, in slightly better form, winning three of their last seven. When these two met in September, a last-minute Jose Luis Gaya goal made it a 1-1 stalemate. 

Spain will be without Barcelona starlet Ansu Fati and stalwart Sergio Busquets through long and short-term injuries respectively, meanwhile the Germans will be without big names in Joshua Kimmich, Kai Havertz and Julian Draxler. 

To my surprise, Spain are the favourites for this one priced at 13/10 with bet365, while Germany are a generous 15/8, given a 35% chance of winning. For me the Germans are looking in a lot better shape, winning their last three and with a more established squad, they could be worth a bet either as a single or added to your midweek acca. 

However I’m going to attempt to find you a bit more value and have delved into the scorers, shots on target and card markets to find you three value selections to back and enjoy the game. The Group A4 match will be in Seville and can be watched on Sky Sports from 7.45pm UK time. 

 

Nations League betting
Spain v Germany
Tue, 19:45
Leroy Sane to score anytime
WIN PROB: 23.26%
10/3
Calculate your returns:
£79.00
Why this Tip?
  • 3 goals in his last 3 games for club and country
  • Been involved in a goal every 60 minutes he's played this season
  • A bigger price to score than Morata, Werner or Gnabry
We’re used to seeing football odds displayed in either fractions (2/1) or decimal (3.0), but what the Win Percentage Probability score does is show you exactly what percentage chance the bookmaker gives that selection of winning based on their odds.
Odds correct as of 2020-11-16 17:00 Odds subject to change.

Leroy Sane has managed to recover from a big injury and settle well in Germany after his £41m move from Man City. The electric winger has been in fine form this season despite not completing a full 90 minutes yet. He’s been involved in 7 goals in 423 minutes of football, a goal involvement every 60 minutes. 

Sane has scored in his last three matches for club and country and when looking at the anytime scorer market he looks the value pick with Betfair at 10/3, a bigger price than Morata, Werner or Gnabry.  

Nations League outright betting
Timo Werner to score & Sergio Reguilon to be carded
WIN PROB: 6.67%
14/1
Calculate your returns:
£79.00
Why this Tip?
  • Timo Werner has 7 goals in his last 5 games for club and country
  • Sergio Reguilon has been booked 12 times since the start of last season
We’re used to seeing football odds displayed in either fractions (2/1) or decimal (3.0), but what the Win Percentage Probability score does is show you exactly what percentage chance the bookmaker gives that selection of winning based on their odds.
Odds correct as of 2020-11-16 17:00 Odds subject to change.

Moving to my go-to type of bet, the ‘to score and be carded’ double and I’m backing Timo Werner and Sergio Reguilon to give me two green ticks for this one. Starting with Werner, the red-hot Chelsea striker, after a slow start he has gone into fifth gear after scoring seven goals in his last five games for club and country, currently the most in-form player in the Premier League. 

After a great season-long loan at Sevilla, Sergio Reguilon has continued his fine year by making the move to Tottenham and cementing himself as Spain’s left-back. The Spainards’ charming smile is not to be confused with a nasty streak which he has in the locker. He was booked nine times last season, has two yellows in his last four and my main angle for this one is the pace he’ll be coming up against in a Germany frontline which consists of Werner, Gnabry and Sane. He’s a modern-day attacking full-back, and despite his pace is often found running towards his own goal making tactical or rash fouls. At a backable 7/2 he’s getting doubled up with a Werner goal to create a tasty 14/1 double. 

I was originally looking at Hector Bellerin for this one but am unsure whether he makes the starting 11, but if you fancy the 17/1 double you can get it here. 

Ferran Torres & Leon Goretzka to both 1+ SoT; Sergio Ramos & Toni Kroos both to be booked
WIN PROB: 0.79%
125/1
Calculate your returns:
£79.00
Why this Tip?
  • Ferran Torres and Leon Goreztka big value at 10/11 to have one or more shots on target
  • Sergio Ramos has been booked 24th times for Spain
  • Toni Kroos was booked in his last two Nations League games
We’re used to seeing football odds displayed in either fractions (2/1) or decimal (3.0), but what the Win Percentage Probability score does is show you exactly what percentage chance the bookmaker gives that selection of winning based on their odds.
Odds correct as of 2020-11-16 17:05 Odds subject to change.

Who fancies a long shot to spice up the international break? I know I need to to get into these games so I’ve conjured up a 125/1 punt for your pleasure and hopefully financial reward. 

Starting with two shots on target selections from two emerging talents from each side, first Spain and Manchester City’s Ferran Torres who has impressed and has had 10 shots on target in 13 games for club and country this season and looks great value at 10/11. 

The second selection is also 10/11 to have a shot on target and a player I love to back in the SoT market: Germany midfielder Leon Goretzka. He’s already scored five this season and has added shots and goals to his game, arriving into the box late like a hench Frank Lampard. 

Now to the cards and to two team-mates who I think will get stuck in to fight for their country’s chance to win the Nations League. Starting with Span captain Sergio Ramos, who will be desperate to make amends after Saturday’s horror show where he missed two penalties against Switzerland. The shrewd operator will have to stop any pacey German counter-attack and I fancy him to collect his 25th international yellow. To boost the odds up even more I’m finishing this one with his Real Madrid team-mate Toni Kroos. With Kimmich out, I think Kroos’ experience will be relied on in midfield and when I saw he was booked in his previous two Nations League games and was 5/1 to be booked, I couldn’t resist. 

As always only bet what you can afford and gamble responsibly. 

Football £20 Risk Free First Bet Money Back In Cash

New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using Cards or Apple Pay will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply. Paddy's Rewards Club: Get a £10 free bet when you place 5x bets of £10+. T&Cs apply.
Free betting offers
Bet £10 On Race 1 At Sandown & Get A £10 Free Bet For All Remaining Races
New customer offer, Min single £10 Sportsbook bet on the 12:05 Sandown, 05th December ('Win or E/W' market only). £10 free bet for the remaining Sat Sandown races. Deposits using cards or Apple Pay only. T&C applies, 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 Get £40 in Free Bets
New customers using promo code C40 only. 1x per customer. Min £10/€10 bet. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Free bets paid as 2x £15/€15 (expires after 30 days). Max £10 Bonus. 35x wagering requirement. Max redeemable amount £25. Casino bonus expires 72 hours from issue. Eligibility rules, free-bet rules, game, location, payment-method, currency restrictions, stake contributions and terms and conditions apply. 18+ begambleaware.org.
£20 Risk Free First Bet Money Back In Cash
New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is €/£20. T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
Welcome Offer
Open Account Offer. Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code ‘100BET365’ can be used during registration, but does not change the offer amount in any way. 18+ begambleaware.org.
Bet £10 Get £20
18+ New Customers only. Deposit, opt in and place a £10 qualifying bet at odds of 2.00 or greater within 7 days of opening a new account; excludes cashed out bets. Receive a £10 Free Sports Bets, valid on set events only at odds 2.00 or greater, expires in 7 days.  Plus a £10 Game Show Bonus, selected games, wager 40x to withdraw a max of £250. PayPal and Card Payments only. Geographical Restrictions and T&Cs Apply. Please Gamble Responsibly.
Bet £10 Get £30 + 60 Free Spins
New UK & NI customers only. Promo code SPORTS60. Deposit and place first sports bet of £10+ in one transaction, at odds of Evens (2.0)+, settled within 60 days. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS validation may be required. Max 60 Free Spins on Justice League Comics. 7-day expiry.  Full T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 & Get £30 Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus
Minimum deposit of £10 using deposit code 30F - A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 placed on any sports market - Minimum odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager bonus amount x40 within 14 days • Wagering req. vary by game • Withdrawal restrictions and Full T&C’s apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
£25 Bet Bundle
18+. UK Customers (Excluding NI) only. Cash stakes only. Min £10 stake required for initial £5 free bet. Min odds ½. Max £25 in free bets. Subsequent free bets equal 50% average of each 3 qualifying bets. 13 bets required to receive full £25 free bet. Qualifying bet must be placed within 30 days of opening account. Cashed out bets will not qualify towards your average stake. One free bet offer per customer, household or IP address only. Free bet expires after 7 days. Payment method restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
Money back As A Bonus Up To £40 If Your First Racing Bet Loses + £10 Casino
New customers only. 18+, BeGambleAware.org. Min deposit £10. Money back as bonus. Wagering requirements: Racing 3x at min. odds of 1.40 (2/5), Casino 35x. Only one bonus can be used at a time, Racing bonus must be wagered before using the Casino, unless the bonus has been forfeited. Bonus will expire after 7 days of opt-in. #ad
Bet Slip
Log In
Free Bets
Change
Bet Slip 0
Click on any of the odds selections on Betting Odds website to add them to the betslip.
Betting Odds is an officially endorsed Paddy Power betting partner. All bets are placed securely via our API link-up with Paddy Power and no data or transactional information is sahred with or accessible by Betting Odds. Bets are accepted in accordance with the operator's Rules and Terms and Conditions.
Open
Settled
Deposit
Quick Deposit
Deposit
CV2
Deposit Funds
Change Payment Method
Bet Placed
Retain Selections
Clear Slip
Free Bets
Change
Bet Slip 0
| Join Now
Balance: £0.00
Refresh
Log Out
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Go to Bet365 website Remove All
Singles
Click a price to add a selection
Multiples
To view multiples
Multiple options are restricted for the highlighted selections
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Accept Changes
Total Stake:
£ 0.00

Estimated Returns:
£ 0.00
£ Place Bet

Up to £100 in bet credits

Open Account Offer. Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code ‘100BET365’ can be used during registration, but does not change the offer amount in any way. 18+ begambleaware.org.
PPB Counterparty Services Limited, having its registered address at Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA, is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority under Licence Number MGA/CRP/131/2006 (issued on 01 August 2018).
For customers in the UK, PPB Counterparty Services Limited is licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission.
Betting Odds is an officially endorsed Paddy Power betting partner. All bets are placed securely via our API link-up with Paddy Power and no data or transactional information is sahred with or accessible by Betting Odds. Bets are accepted in accordance with the operator's Rules and Terms and Conditions.
Open
Settled
Bet Placed
Retain Selections
Clear Slip
Free Bets
Change
Bet Slip 0
| Join Now
Balance: £0.00
Refresh
Log Out
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Go to Betfair website Remove All
Singles
Click a price to add a selection
Multiples
To view multiples
Multiple options are restricted for the highlighted selections
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Accept Changes
Total Stake:
£ 0.00

Estimated Returns:
£ 0.00
£ Place Bet

Bet £10 On Race 1 At Sandown & Get A £10 Free Bet For All Remaining Races

New customer offer, Min single £10 Sportsbook bet on the 12:05 Sandown, 05th December ('Win or E/W' market only). £10 free bet for the remaining Sat Sandown races. Deposits using cards or Apple Pay only. T&C applies, 18+ begambleaware.org
PPB Counterparty Services Limited, having its registered address at Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA, is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority under Licence Number MGA/CRP/131/2006 (issued on 01 August 2018).
For customers in the UK, PPB Counterparty Services Limited is licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission.
Betting Odds is an officially endorsed Paddy Power betting partner. All bets are placed securely via our API link-up with Paddy Power and no data or transactional information is sahred with or accessible by Betting Odds. Bets are accepted in accordance with the operator's Rules and Terms and Conditions.
Open
Settled
Bet Placed
Retain Selections
Clear Slip
Free Bets
Change
Bet Slip 0
| Join Now
Balance: £0.00
Refresh
Log Out
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Go to Paddypower website Remove All
Singles
Click a price to add a selection
Multiples
To view multiples
Multiple options are restricted for the highlighted selections
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Accept Changes
Total Stake:
£ 0.00

Estimated Returns:
£ 0.00
£ Place Bet

£20 Risk Free First Bet Money Back In Cash

New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is €/£20. T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
PPB Counterparty Services Limited, having its registered address at Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA, is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority under Licence Number MGA/CRP/131/2006 (issued on 01 August 2018).
For customers in the UK, PPB Counterparty Services Limited is licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission.
Betting Odds is an officially endorsed Paddy Power betting partner. All bets are placed securely via our API link-up with Paddy Power and no data or transactional information is sahred with or accessible by Betting Odds. Bets are accepted in accordance with the operator's Rules and Terms and Conditions.
Open
Settled
Bet Placed
Retain Selections
Clear Slip
Free Bets
Change
Bet Slip 0
Balance: £0.00
Refresh
Log Out
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Go to Williamhill website Remove All
Singles
Click a price to add a selection
Multiples
To view multiples
Multiple options are restricted for the highlighted selections
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Accept Changes
Total Stake:
£ 0.00

Estimated Returns:
£ 0.00
£ Place Bet

Bet £10 Get £40 in Free Bets

New customers using promo code C40 only. 1x per customer. Min £10/€10 bet. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Free bets paid as 2x £15/€15 (expires after 30 days). Max £10 Bonus. 35x wagering requirement. Max redeemable amount £25. Casino bonus expires 72 hours from issue. Eligibility rules, free-bet rules, game, location, payment-method, currency restrictions, stake contributions and terms and conditions apply. 18+ begambleaware.org.
PPB Counterparty Services Limited, having its registered address at Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA, is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority under Licence Number MGA/CRP/131/2006 (issued on 01 August 2018).
For customers in the UK, PPB Counterparty Services Limited is licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission.
Betting Odds is an officially endorsed Paddy Power betting partner. All bets are placed securely via our API link-up with Paddy Power and no data or transactional information is sahred with or accessible by Betting Odds. Bets are accepted in accordance with the operator's Rules and Terms and Conditions.
Open
Settled
Bet Placed
Retain Selections
Clear Slip
Free Bets
Change
Bet Slip 0
Balance: £0.00
Refresh
Log Out
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Go to Betfred website Remove All
Singles
Click a price to add a selection
Multiples
To view multiples
Multiple options are restricted for the highlighted selections
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Accept Changes
Total Stake:
£ 0.00

Estimated Returns:
£ 0.00
£ Place Bet

Bet £10 Get £30 + 60 Free Spins

New UK & NI customers only. Promo code SPORTS60. Deposit and place first sports bet of £10+ in one transaction, at odds of Evens (2.0)+, settled within 60 days. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS validation may be required. Max 60 Free Spins on Justice League Comics. 7-day expiry.  Full T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
PPB Counterparty Services Limited, having its registered address at Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA, is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority under Licence Number MGA/CRP/131/2006 (issued on 01 August 2018).
For customers in the UK, PPB Counterparty Services Limited is licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission.
Betting Odds is an officially endorsed Paddy Power betting partner. All bets are placed securely via our API link-up with Paddy Power and no data or transactional information is sahred with or accessible by Betting Odds. Bets are accepted in accordance with the operator's Rules and Terms and Conditions.
Open
Settled
Bet Placed
Retain Selections
Clear Slip
Free Bets
Change
Bet Slip 0
Balance: £0.00
Refresh
Log Out
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Go to 888sport website Remove All
Singles
Click a price to add a selection
Multiples
To view multiples
Multiple options are restricted for the highlighted selections
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Accept Changes
Total Stake:
£ 0.00

Estimated Returns:
£ 0.00
£ Place Bet

Bet £10 & Get £30 Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus

Minimum deposit of £10 using deposit code 30F - A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 placed on any sports market - Minimum odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager bonus amount x40 within 14 days • Wagering req. vary by game • Withdrawal restrictions and Full T&C’s apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
PPB Counterparty Services Limited, having its registered address at Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA, is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority under Licence Number MGA/CRP/131/2006 (issued on 01 August 2018).
For customers in the UK, PPB Counterparty Services Limited is licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission.
Betting Odds is an officially endorsed Paddy Power betting partner. All bets are placed securely via our API link-up with Paddy Power and no data or transactional information is sahred with or accessible by Betting Odds. Bets are accepted in accordance with the operator's Rules and Terms and Conditions.
Open
Settled
Bet Placed
Retain Selections
Clear Slip
Free Bets
Change
Bet Slip 0
Balance: £0.00
Refresh
Log Out
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Go to Betvictor website Remove All
Singles
Click a price to add a selection
Multiples
To view multiples
Multiple options are restricted for the highlighted selections
The line, odds or availability of your selections has changed.
Accept Changes
Total Stake:
£ 0.00

Estimated Returns:
£ 0.00
£ Place Bet

Bet £10 Get £20

18+ New Customers only. Deposit, opt in and place a £10 qualifying bet at odds of 2.00 or greater within 7 days of opening a new account; excludes cashed out bets. Receive a £10 Free Sports Bets, valid on set events only at odds 2.00 or greater, expires in 7 days.  Plus a £10 Game Show Bonus, selected games, wager 40x to withdraw a max of £250. PayPal and Card Payments only. Geographical Restrictions and T&Cs Apply. Please Gamble Responsibly.
PPB Counterparty Services Limited, having its registered address at Triq il-Kappillan Mifsud, St. Venera, SVR 1851, MALTA, is licensed and regulated by the Malta Gaming Authority under Licence Number MGA/CRP/131/2006 (issued on 01 August 2018).
For customers in the UK, PPB Counterparty Services Limited is licensed and regulated by the Gambling Commission.