Odds shown as:

Southampton vs. Manchester City Predictions: Two bets for Sunday's FA Cup tie

Southampton vs. Manchester City: Pep Guardiola's side travel to the south coast
Southampton vs. Manchester City: Pep Guardiola's side travel to the south coast

Southampton vs. Manchester City Odds

It’s no surprise that the City juggernaut enters the fray as 1.30 favourites. Pep’s winning machine seeks their second FA Cup lift with the Spaniard at the controls, as Southampton is tasked as being the unfortunate entity between Manchester City and even more silverware.

Southampton vs. Manchester City Tips

Swindon, Fulham, and Peterborough provided the FA Cup route so far for Manchester City. An aggregate scoreline of 10-2 against the lower division sides suggests that City are by no means impenetrable, but that there would be no magic of the cup rearing its head under Guardiola’s stewardship this year.

Three poor Premier League results on the spin paint a forlorn backdrop to Southampton’s quarter-final. Before their stuttering start to March, The Saints had lost just once in 13 fixtures. It was a run that included a 1-1 draw against the Champions at St Mary’s, with Ralph Hasenhuttl’s squad leading for just under an hour.

Whilst certainly not a bogey-side of Manchester City’s, Southampton have etched out impressive results against the Sky Blues in recent times. Both Premier League fixtures ended as a draw this season. An impressive feat for Southampton in a dominant era at the Etihad Stadium. 

In the last six meetings, Southampton’s record stands as two draws, one victory to the tune of 1-0 on home soil, and three defeats against City. That’s an impressive haul for a team outside of the top-flight’s chasing pack.

Although often imperious and swatting aside teams in their stride, City comes into this game having not scored in two consecutive fixtures. Nevertheless, I imagine there will be no hangover for Pep and company.

Southampton vs. Manchester City Odds
10 Asian Corner Total
Odds correct as of 2022-03-20 11:08 Odds subject to change.

Given your standard 1x2 and goals markets look a bit thin in the ground in terms of value, we’ll have to look elsewhere for an angle in. 

In the two matches between the pair this campaign, Manchester City registered 20 shots on the South coast and 16 at home. A by-product of the relentless waves of Manchester City attacks were corners, with Pep’s men recording 11 and 8 flags, respectively. 

Given the importance of the tie and the previous meetings between the two sides, there’s every chance that City take their time in breaking the deadlock. If that is the case, shots should be on the menu, and in abundance. 

The 10 Asian Total Corners at bet365 provides an appealing passage into the quarters. Not only has this line avoided defeat in the last eight head-to-heads (13, 13, 10, 12, 15, 17, 11, and 11), but Southampton rank fourth in corners taken in the Premier League.

Today's Football Tips
Over 6 City Corners, Over 1.5 Cancelo Shots, Over 74.5 Ruben Dias Passes
Odds correct as of 2022-03-20 11:11 Odds subject to change.

Southampton's 6.60 per90 at St Mary's this season is accompanied by City's tall corner average whilst on their travels. At a total of 8.07 corners forced per90, City boasts the highest away corner total, as well as the loftiest home figure (9.07) in the top tier. 

In an attempt to carve a longer-priced play out of the quarter-final fixture, there are two player prop angles in blue that have witnessed some joy against The Saints.

Focusing on one selection that has banked in the last two head-to-heads, and in 16 of 27 Premier League fixtures, brings us to City’s marauding full-back, Joao Cancelo. The 2.00 price at bet365 for City’s number 27 to have over 1.5 shots is one to consider.

With a 2.2 shots per90 average spanning the season, the want to have a pop at goal is there. If Southampton proves as stubborn opponents as they have done in previous meetings, expect both full-backs to pin The Saints into their defensive third and work goalscoring positions for themselves or teammates. 

Cancelo’s central defensive partner, Ruben Dias makes up the final selection for the 4.00 bet builder. Utilising the 74.5 passing line, perhaps we can increase the odds with a straightforward pick. Hitting 75 or more passes is something Dias has covered in 7 of 8 most recent fixtures and 3 out of 4 against Southampton. Dias has a 79.5 per90 passing average from his 24 appearances in the Premier League this term.

At 4.00, we have three selections with plenty of positive numbers behind them. If the game state remains a close affair, the magic of the FA Cup may announce itself in our favour.

Sign up for market leading stats and exclusive expert picks delivered to your inbox from next season
Click to sign up to receive tips
By clicking opt-in you agree to our privacy policy and terms and conditions below
Your Details
Complete your details below to enter:
Full Name
Please fill in both your name and email
Thank you for your submission.

You'll now receive our expert tips and predictions from next season.

FA Cup Odds
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As Cash If It Loses
#AD 18+ New Customer Offer. Place your FIRST bet at odds of min 2.0 (EVS) and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using debit cards will qualify for this promotion (Apple Pay deposits excluded). T&C's apply, BeGambleAware.Org
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus
#AD New UK customers (Excluding NI) mobile only. £30 in FREE Bets (FB) as £20 in sports bets & a £10 casino bonus (CB). Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. FB applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. FB 7 day expiry. 1 FB offer per customer, household & IP address only. Payment restrictions. 14 days to accept £10 CB, then active for 3 days. CB 5x wagering & max redeemable £100. Game restrictions apply. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. 30 days to qualify. 18+. T&C's Apply. **18+. Prices subject to fluctuation and availability.  T&Cs apply
Welcome Offer
#AD Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 & Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+ New Customers Only - Place a £10 Sportsbook bet on at min. odds 1.5 (1/2) — get £30 in free bets. Only deposits via cards will qualify, Apple pay not valid on this promotion. T&Cs apply, BeGambleaware.org
Money Back As A Bonus Up To £40 If Your First Bet Loses + £10 casino
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org. New customers only. Min deposit £10. Money back as bonus if first sports bet loses. Wagering requirements: sportsbook 3x at min. odds of 1.40 (2/5), casino 50x. Unless forfeited the sportsbook bonus must be wagered before using the casino bonus. Bonus expires 7 days after opt-in. Visit Unibet.co.uk for full T&C's.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code R30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 3 x £10/€10, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins on Big Bass Bonanza, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply. Please gamble responsibly.
Double the odds, any sport, any bet, any odds!
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org Only valid for new registrations to Grosvenor Existing members do not qualify, Bet must be placed using real money in combination with the Odds Boost Token, Offer applies to Sport bets only. Max stake is £10. Each way bets are a maximum of £5 each way (£10 total). Customers have 60 days after registration to use the Odds Boost token. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10, Get £20 in Free Bets
#AD 18+, New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 on any sports (odds 2.00+) in 7 days. No cash out. Get 4x£5 sports free bets for set markets (odds 2.00+), which expire in 7 days. Offer is valid from 10:00 UK time on 16/01/2023. Card payments only. T&Cs Apply. begambleaware.org | Please Gamble Responsibly
£30 Matched Free Bet if Your First Acca Loses + 50 Bonus Spins
#AD 18+ New UK customers only. Min Deposit: £5. Maximum Free Bet: £30. First bet on a Football or Horse Racing multiple with 3+ selections. Overall odds: 3.00 (2/1) or higher. Free Bets available upon settlement of the qualifying bet. This is offer is valid for 7 days from your new account being registered. 50 Bonus Spins credited on placement of qualifying Acca bet.50x bonus wagering applies as do weighting requirements, bonus Spins only available on selected games and expires 7 days after being awarded. Debit card deposits only (exclusions apply). 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Bet The Responsible Way. Full terms apply
Bet £25 get £50 In Bonuses
#AD Place a qualifying £25 fixed odds bet at odds of 1/2 or greater and get £50 in bonuses 5 x £5 free fixed odds bets, 4 x free £5 spread bets + 50 free spins on Starburst. Qualifying bet cannot be placed in-play or cashed out early. T&Cs Apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 Get £40 in Bonuses
New 18+ UK customers only. Register using the promo code WELCOME40, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets and £10 in Free Spins (50x20p) credited within 10 hours of bet settlement. Free Bet stakes are not included in any returns. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 get £30 in Free Bets
#AD New customers only - Significant terms: opt-in and deposit within 7 days, and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 1/2 (1.5) or greater, to be credited with 3x £10 free bets. Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with odds of 3/10 (1.3) or greater, stake not returned. T&Cs apply, BeGambleAware.org
Bet £10 Get £10 In Free Bets (APP Only)
#AD New UK, IE & Malta customers only. Min £10/€10 first deposit using Debit Card. Place a bet of £10 at min odds of 1.5 and get a £10 free bet. Full T&Cs apply.18+. BeGambleAware.org.
100% Profit Boost up to £100 (Mobile Only)
#AD New UK customers only. Claim by placing a min deposit £10 via "My Offers" page within 30 days. Skrill/Neteller deposits excluded. 7 days to stake max £10 in-play. Max. extra winnings £100.T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 get £15
#AD New customers only. 18+ begambleaware.org 1st Deposit, Min Deposit: £10, max £15 bonus, valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at a min. odds of 1/1 (2.00) or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement.T&C's apply.
Bet £10 get £10
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org, Welcome Bonus: This offer is for new customers only and is available once per household. Max. FreeBet amount: £10 Minimum Deposit and wagering on sport to activate the Free Bet is: £10 void/cancelled or cashed out bets do not count towards wagering to activate the free bet. Offer valid only to customers making a first deposit of £10 or more. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 get £20
#AD New customers only, welcome bonus: 1st deposit, min deposit: £10, max £20 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. system bets are not eligible. Neteller, Skrill, and PayPal are not eligible. , 18+ begambleaware.org
50% Up To £50 Welcome Bonus
#AD 18+ begambleaware.org; New bettors get 50% of deposit up to £50; Once per household; Min deposit £15 (no Skrill/Neteller); Wager a total of 8 times deposit + bonus, with max qualifying bet stake equal to your initial bonus amount; Bonus expires after 60 days; Min odds of 4/5 on singles, or 2/5 per leg for acca; Some bet types excluded; See full terms.
£35 Free Bet + 10 Free Spins
#AD If your account has Sportsbook losses at the end of your first day's betting, QuinnBet will refund 50% of your losses as a Free Bet up to £35 (min 3 bets) Plus 10 Free Spins. Even if your account is up, you're guaranteed a £5 Free Bet Plus 10 Free Spins provided you place at least 1 bet of £10 or greater at the minimum odds. T&Cs apply | 18+ New UK Customers Only | BeGambleAware.org