Real Madrid vs. Osasuna Betting Tips: Vinicius to score and be carded in Copa del Rey final

Real Madrid face Osasuna in the Copa del Rey final on Saturday evening. The game can be seen live on BT Sport kicking off at 9pm GMT, and we’ve once again called on Anthony Eadson to provide us with his best bets for the occasion.

With 14 points separating Real Madrid and Barcelona in the domestic table, Los Blancos will not be claiming another La Liga title this season. Their focus now turns to the Copa del Rey final, a competition they have not won since back in 2014, before the first leg of their Champions League semi-final with Manchester City at the Bernabeu on Tuesday.

Osasuna have only made the final of the Copa del Rey once in their history which came back in 2005 when they were beaten by Real Betis in the final. Jagoba Arrasate’s side sit ninth in La Liga, and still have hopes of qualifying for some form of European football next season, with five points between themselves and Betis in sixth.

The first selection I’m siding with on Saturday evening is Real Madrid -1 on the match handicap, meaning this bet will land if Carlo Ancelotti’s win the game by two goals or more in 90 minutes.
Paddy Power and Betfair are the current best-priced betting sites on this selection at even money (1/1).

Real Madrid have seen off Villarreal and Atletico Madrid in this tournament before they faced Barcelona in the semi-finals. After the first leg, Real were 1-0 down, but produced an outstanding 4-0 win over The Catalans to reach the final. If they do lift the trophy on Saturday, it will be the 20th time they have done so in their illustrious history. 

You have to go all the way back to 2011 for the last time that Osasuna managed to get the better of Real Madrid, a period including 18 matches! Moreover, all of Madrid’s 13 victories in that timeframe have been by a two goal or bigger margin and I’m backing a repeat here.

Ancelotti rested several players including Karim Benzema on Tuesday evening in the 2-0 defeat to Real Sociedad, and I expect them to be back to their efficient best for this final, despite their patchy league form of late.

13/2 may not sound the most eye-catching of prices for Vinicius Junior to score and be carded in the same match, but hear me out, I think there is a strong case to be made. 

Since January 19th, the Brazilian has made 22 appearances for Real and has scored and been carded in the same match in six of those. No player has collected more cards for his side this season than Vinicius with a whopping 15 across all competitions.

This bet has landed in six of his last 22 matches and it’s worth noting that two of those came in this competition, against Villarreal in the Round of 16 and Atletico Madrid in the quarter finals. He was also carded in both legs of the semi-final against Barcelona and with 19 goals in all formats this season he looks a nice prospect here for the double.

At the time of writing, only a few firms have priced up the ‘to be carded’ market for this clash, so it could be well worth having a shop around closer to kick-off as more markets are released.