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Projection: Which three teams will win the play-offs in the Football League?

New projection has determined that Swansea will be promoted to the Premier League via the play-offs
New projection has determined that Swansea will be promoted to the Premier League via the play-offs

We at BettingOdds.com have analysed the head-to-head records of all sides competing in the Championship, League One and League Two play-offs this season to determine which three sides from the 12 teams involved will be promoted from their individual leagues.

The projection determines that Swansea, Sunderland and Forest Green Rovers will all be promoted from the Championship, League One and League Two respectively. 

The method we used to project the play-off winners was as follows:

  • For all first and second legs of the play-off semi-finals we analysed the all-time head-to-head league records between each competing side at the home team’s stadium for each respective leg. 
  • We then added together each side's points-per-game record as both the home and away side to reveal the aggregate score, with the victor advancing to the play-off final.
  • To determine the winner of the final, we analysed the two competing sides' all time head-to-head record in the league and play-offs against one another and the promoted side was the team with the best points-per-game record.

The results are as follows...

Today's football tips

Championship

Bournemouth vs Brentford

Championship Play-off Semi-Final First Leg:

Bournemouth 1.75 - 1.04 Brentford

Championship Play-off Semi-Final Second Leg:

Brentford 1.73 - 0.9 Bournemouth

Final Aggregate PPG:

Bournemouth 2.65 - 2.77 Brentford 

Barnsley vs Swansea

Championship Play-off Semi-Final First Leg:

Barnsley 1.8 - 0.94 Swansea

Championship Play-off Semi-Final Second Leg:

Swansea 2.26 - 0.63 Barnsley

Final Aggregate PPG:

Barnsley 2.43 - 3.2 Swansea 

Championship Play-off Final

Brentford 1.33  - 1.4 Swansea

 

League One

Oxford United vs Blackpool

League One Play-off Semi-Final First Leg:

Oxford United 1.59 - 1.24 Blackpool

League One Play-off Semi-Final Second Leg:

Blackpool 1.88 - 1 Oxford United

Final Aggregate PPG:

Oxford United 2.59 - 3.12 Blackpool

Lincoln City vs Sunderland

League One Play-off Semi-Final First Leg:

Lincoln City 1.4 - 1.4 Sunderland

League One Play-off Semi-Final Second Leg:

Sunderland 1.6 - 1 Lincoln City

Final Aggregate PPG:

Lincoln City 2.4 - 3 Sunderland

League One Play-off Final

Blackpool 1.23 - 1.48 Sunderland

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League Two

Newport County vs Forest Green

League Two Play-off Semi-Final First Leg:

Newport County 0.33 - 2.33 Forest Green

League Two Play-off Semi-Final Second Leg:

Forest Green 0.5 - 2 Newport County

Final Aggregate PPG:

Newport County 2.33 - 2.83 Forest Green 

Tranmere vs Morecambe

League Two Play-off Semi-Final First Leg:

Tranmere 2 - 1 Morecambe

League Two Play-off Semi-Final Second Leg:

Morecambe 0.33 - 2.33 Tranmere 

Final Aggregate PPG:

Tranmere 4.33 - 1.33 Morecambe

League Two Play-off Final

Forest Green 1.67  - 1.17 Tranmere

 

Championship betting
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