Odds shown as:

Premier League Top Goalscorer Tips: Three selections to consider for the Golden Boot

Raheem Sterling has now scored 55 league goals in the last three seasons
Raheem Sterling has now scored 55 league goals in the last three seasons

Jamie Vardy scooped the 2019/20 Golden Boot award with 23 goals, one ahead of Arsenal’s Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and with the new Premier League season nearly upon us, I’ve had a look into the top goalscorer market to see who will potentially come out on top. 

It’s also worth noting here that most bookmakers are paying four each-way places on this market, meaning if your player finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th you will be paid out at a quarter of the original price. There’s been some big price places in recent years, such as Danny Ings at 200/1 finishing third last season and Sadio Mane finishing third in 2018/19 at 50/1. Picking an each-way selection at a bigger price can often be a nice way into the market and I’ve picked out three here who I think should do well this season.

Football Tips

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 6/1 (bet365)

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the third-favourite in this market, priced at 6/1 with Stoke-based bookmaker bet365 - behind Mohammed Salah and Harry Kane - and in my opinion he should be favourite. 

No Premier League player has scored more goals than Aubameyang has since he joined the club in January 2018. In his first full season at the Gunners he was the joint winner of the Golden Boot with 22 goals, alongside Mohammed Salah and Sadio Mane before going on to finish just one behind Vardy in the most recent campaign, again with a total of 22.

He’s proved that he’s a man for the big occasions, with goals in the FA Cup final helping his side lift the trophy for the 14th time in 2019/20. Mikel Arteta seems to be getting the best out of him and with so much focus coming down the left for Arsenal through Kieran Tierney or Bukayo Saka, we are seeing that ‘Henry-likeness’ from Aubameyang as he cuts inside onto his favoured right foot.

He is also the penalty-taker for the club which Is a key angle here. I’d be optimistic that he would score a good five for Arsenal in the coming season with VAR. The Gabon international is as clinical as they come and if he remains in a positive headspace like he is at the moment, I see no reason why he cannot go on and break his own record of 22 in the last two seasons. If I was to have any of the front three in the market it would be Aubameyang at 6/1.

Raheem Sterling 14/1 each-way (BetVictor)

As I mentioned earlier picking an each-way selection can often be a profitable strategy to employ in the Premier League top-scorer betting market, with four places available from the bookmakers at 1/4 of the odds. The first of two that have caught my eye at double-figure prices this season is Manchester City’s Raheem Sterling.

Sterling finished last season with 20 goals and as the fourth-top scorer and gave punters each-way profit priced at 14/1. He’s that same price again this year and my key angle with the England star is his improvement. Every season he seems to get better and better and he has now scored over 100 goals in all competitions for Manchester City. The 25-year-old has become a clever forward who can score goals from 25 yards, or from a tap-in via a clever run he has made.

Yes we know that Pep likes to share the goals around his team but I think that unlike some players when it comes to goalscoring, Raheem has no ceiling on how high he can go. A good example of this ceiling is how Sterling actually now has four Premier League hat-tricks, more than Didier Drogba. His workrate, desire and maturity is clear to see and at age of 25 I believe he can get even better. 

In the last three seasons Sterling has scored 18, 17, and 20 goals and if he hits 20 again this time out I’m confident he will be in the top four scorers in the league. There’s doubts over the fitness of Harry Kane and Sergio Aguero, who both picked up serious injuries this calendar year and with Jamie Vardy not getting any younger I think it paves the way for Sterling to step up and finish in the top four scorers come the end of the season.

Calvert-Lewin 80/1

Rounding off my trio of suggested selections is Everton’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin. The Toffees front man scored an impressive 13 league goals last season for an Everton side who struggled to a 12th place finish. Carlo Ancelotti has now had time to bring in recruitments, such as James Rodriguez and Abdoulaye Doucoure, and I see them finishing much higher this time round.

I put a lot of DLC’s improvement down to the guidance of Duncan Ferguson and I’m pleased he's been given his run in the side following some harsh criticism of the young man in recent years. Calvert-Lewin very much came of age last season and if he can carry on that steady improvement then I believe he can over-perform his odds of 80/1.

During last season the Englishman formed a good partnership with Richarlison, however it is Calvert-Lewin who plays predominantly through the middle and who the majority of chances fall at his feet (or head). He’s got plenty of players to provide him with service, such as Lucas Digne - who had more assists than any other player at Everton last season - and with Calvert-Lewin being particularly strong in the air, this suits him to a tee with so much of Everton’s attacking play coming via an aerial route. 

It’s always worth throwing a couple of darts in this market, with the 200/1 each-way selection of Danny Ings which placed last year showing just that. It’s a big ask for Dominic to raise his game to the next level by breaking into that 20 goals a season bracket, although it would not surprise me to see him push on and surpass last season’s tally of 13. I’ve seen a lot worse 80/1 shots...

Live scores
Free bets
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Money Back As CASH Up To £20 (APP Only)
#AD New customers only. Deposit £20 using card or Trustly. Up to your first £20 of losses will be refunded as CASH within 24 hours of qualifying bet having been settled. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after  settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after  the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Welcome Offer
#AD Open Account Offer. Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code ‘100BET365’ can be used during registration, but does not change the offer amount in any way. 18+ begambleaware.org.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £10 On Football & Get £40 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD £/€10 deposit using promo code "10FREE" - Minimum stake £/€10 at odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager the bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Casino Bonus expires after 60 days - Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & full T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 + 30 Free Spins
#AD New UK & NI customers only. Promo code SPORTS60. Deposit and place first sports bet of £10+ in one transaction, at odds of Evens (2.0)+, settled within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS validation may be required. Max 30 Free Spins on Blue Wizard at £0.10 per spin. 7-day expiry. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Get Up To £100 In Free Bets
#AD New customer offer. Place 5 x £10 or more bets to receive £20 in free bets. Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum £100 bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange bets excluded. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD. New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from acceptance (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. 18+
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply

Bet £10 On Football & Get £50 In Free Bets

#Ad. 18+ Playsafe. Place a pre-match £10 bet on any Football market between 2nd December and 24th December, at min. odds 1/2 (1.5) — get a total of £50 in free bets, £30 on bet settlement and an additional £20 the following day. Your qualifying bet must settle by Friday 23:59, 24th December. Only deposits via Cards will qualify (Apple Pay deposit excluded). T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org

Bet £10 Get £30 + 30 Free Spins

BLACK FRIDAY OFFER #AD New UK & NI customers only. Promo code SPORTS60. Deposit and place first sports bet of £10+ in one transaction, at odds of Evens (2.0)+, settled within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS validation may be required. Max 30 Free Spins on Blue Wizard at £0.10 per spin. 7-day expiry. Full T&Cs apply.

£40 Money Back Acca

#Ad. 18+ Playsafe. New customers only. Opt in, place your first bet on a football 4-fold or higher within 7 days of registration. League restrictions apply. We’ll refund in cash if your 1st bet loses. Valid from 09:00BST 17.09.21. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, 18+ begambleaware.org