
Portugal vs Spain Prediction: Nations League Final Tips, Lineups & Where To Watch

Portugal and Spain clash at the Allianz Arena tonight in the Nations League Final, which kicks off shortly at 8pm.
Read on for the best bets from Oli Nixon, plus information on the starting lineups and where to watch the final on TV.
Portugal vs Spain Prediction
Portugal vs Spain Preview
Having landed the Euro 2024 crown, Nations League holders Spain are looking to win their third consecutive international competition on Sunday and further cement their status as one of the favourites for the 2026 World Cup.
Standing in their way are a Portugal side who have tasted victory in this tournament themselves back in 2019 and are desperate to prove that their new generation of young stars are ready to step up and replace the likes of Cristiano Ronaldo in what should be a fascinating watch.
Portugal vs Spain Tips
After this bet won for us in Portugal’s semi-final, it would be rude not to go in again at a backable price.
Roberto Martinez’s men have been leaning into their attacking strengths in this Nations League campaign, averaging 16.33 shots per game.
This has led to their opposition taking 9.11 goal kicks per game with at least six in seven of their last eight matches. Goalkeepers against them have also been kept busy, needing to make 4 saves per game and eight of their nine games in the competition have seen this leg of the double land.
Where Spain are concerned, they’re also a side that look to dominate the ball, however, they’re far from defensively solid giving up 11.45 shots per game.
They take an average of 6.55 goal kicks per game and in their chaotic semi-final on Thursday, France forced 11. Unai Simon has made 19 saves across Spain’s last five matches with at least two in each of those and given what’s at stake, we can expect him to be made to work by a strong Portuguese front line.
Ever since Euro 2024, Nico Williams has set about making the left wing position his own and has consequently become one of their most dangerous attacking outlets.
The Athletic Club winger has been shooting on sight throughout the Nations League with 4.39 per 90 and across his last four starts for his country he has hit the target 11 times, landing this bet in every game. He was at his menacing best in the semi-final, scoring the opener from one of his five efforts at goal, of which three hit the target and so will be full of confidence and needing no invitation to pull the trigger.
For all their attacking exploits throughout this competition, Portugal have only kept two clean sheets and are undoubtedly vulnerable to strong attacking setups.They’ve conceded an average of 4.89 shots on target per game and against a Spain side who manage 6.82 per game themselves, they’re going to be forced to defend well.
Florian Wirtz played on the left side of Germany’s attack against them in the semi-final and had two shots on target and considering Williams’ form, he looks well placed to produce a similar attacking output.
Portugal vs Spain Starting Lineups
The starting lineups for Portugal vs Spain can be viewed in the graphic below, with the likes of Ronaldo, Yamal, and Bruno Fernandes all starting tonight's game.
# | Starting XI |
---|---|
1 | Diogo Costa |
15 | Joao Neves |
3 | Ruben Dias |
14 | Goncalo Inacio |
25 | Nuno Mendes |
23 | Vitinha |
10 | Bernardo Silva |
26 | Chico Conceicao |
8 | Bruno Fernandes |
20 | Pedro Neto |
7 | Cristiano Ronaldo |
# | Substitutes |
---|---|
17 | Rafael Leao |
22 | Rui Silva |
19 | Pedro Goncalves |
2 | Nelson Semedo |
4 | Antonio Silva |
24 | Rodrigo Mora |
5 | Diogo Dalot |
6 | Joao Palhinha |
9 | Goncalo Ramos |
12 | Jose Sa |
21 | Diogo Jota |
11 | Joao Felix |
16 | Trincao |
18 | Ruben Neves |
13 | Renato Veiga |
# | Starting XI |
---|---|
23 | Unai Simon |
14 | Oscar Mingueza |
3 | Robin Le Normand |
12 | Dean Huijsen |
24 | Marc Cucurella |
18 | Martin Zubimendi |
20 | Pedri |
8 | Fabian Ruiz |
19 | Lamine Yamal |
21 | Mikel Oyarzabal |
11 | Nico Williams |
# | Substitutes |
---|---|
2 | Pedro Porro |
4 | Pau Cubarsi |
22 | Isco |
5 | Daniel Vivian |
6 | Mikel Merino |
26 | Samuel Aghehowa |
7 | Alvaro Morata |
9 | Gavi |
10 | Dani Olmo |
1 | David Raya |
25 | Fermin Lopez |
15 | Yeremi Pino |
17 | Alejandro Grimaldo |
13 | Alex Remiro |
16 | Alejandro Baena |
Where To Watch Portugal vs Spain
Viewers from the United Kingdom can tune into ITV1 to watch tonight's Nations League final between Portugal and Spain, which is also available to live stream on ITVX.
Coverage starts at 7.30pm on Sunday night with the game kicking-off 30 minutes later at 8pm.
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Portugal vs Spain Odds

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