Odds shown as:

Manchester City v Arsenal Tips: Back Arteta to pile more pressure on Pep at the Etihad

Manchester City v Arsenal Tips: Old friends reunite at the Etihad this weekend, but who will prevail?
Manchester City v Arsenal Tips: Old friends reunite at the Etihad this weekend, but who will prevail?

Mikel Arteta returns to the Etihad with his Arsenal side looking to pick up where they left off before the international break. The Gunners have started well this term, losing just one of their opening four league games against reigning champions Liverpool, with their last outing coming in the shape of a 2-1 win over Sheffield United.

By contrast, Manchester City have been poor by their usually high standards. Wins over Wolves and Burnley have been clouded by a 5-2 defeat to Leicester in September, and last time out they were held by Leeds United in a thrilling contest at Elland Road, despite taking the lead in that game. 

The Cityzens’ inconsistent start has seen them slip behind Liverpool in the Premier League winner betting market, after beginning the campaign as odds-on favourites (now 6/4).

Indeed, they are still firm favourites to win this clash, priced at 2/5 with most firms - an implied probability of 71% offered by the bookmakers. Arsenal, meanwhile, are an 11/2 fancy, giving them an implied 15% chance of victory according to the odds.

Today's football tips

City will be hoping that their influential midfielder Kevin De Bruyne is fit for this one, after the playmaker limped off in Belgium’s 2-1 defeat to England last weekend and subsequently withdrew from international duty earlier this week. Reports in the media suggest that the issue is fitness-based rather than muscular which is good news for the hosts, though KDB does still remain a doubt for this one at this stage.

Alongside De Bruyne, Gabriel Jesus still remains sidelined through injury so will not feature, while long-term absentee Sergio Aguero is unlikely to start as he continues to regain fitness following a lengthy lay-off. The Argentine has resumed training, though, so his reintroduction to the matchday squad is expected to come this weekend.

Raheem Sterling missed England’s recent triple-header with a minor hamstring injury and is expected to return for this one, though it is not a guarantee that he will play. 

Arsenal’s Kieran Tierney is unlikely to feature after he came into contact with Covid-positive Stuart Armstrong whilst away on international duty. The Scottish full-back is currently self-isolating which means he’ll most likely miss this game. Elsewhere, Shkodran Mustafi, Pablo Mari, Calum Chambers and Gabriel Martinelli are all ruled out through injury, while Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is a slight doubt after he picked up an ankle knock against Sheffield United.

The Gabon international has returned to training, however, so it’s likely that we will see him in action this weekend.

My three football tips for the game can be found listed below, but please always remember to gamble responsibly.

 

Man City v Arsenal Tip #1
17:30
Arsenal or draw, double chance
  • City have looked shaky so far this season and could be without talisman Kevin de Bruyne for this clash
  • Arsenal have started brightly and I expect the addition of Thomas Partey to massively strengthen them in midfield 
Odds correct as of 2020-10-14 15:55 Odds subject to change.

My first tip is a simple one: Arsenal to win or draw the match in the double chance market at 9/5. 

The Gunners have enjoyed a tremendous start to their campaign with three wins in four and Mikel Arteta looks to have his side playing some really eye-pleasing football, dubbed 'Arteta-ball' by the Arsenal faithful. The Spaniard looks to have really changed the dynamic at the Emirates, and the feel-good factor seems well and truly reinstated. 

The task in hand this weekend will be far from easy, however. City are one of the best, well-rounded teams in world football but they haven't started the campaign as strongly as they would have liked, showing signs of defensive frailties having conceded in each of their first three games - including five in one game against Leicester last month.

Pep's title-hopefuls are still the firm bookmaker favourites heading into this one at 2/5 which to me offers very little value given their recent results. Arteta could provide his former colleague with some more headaches on Saturday evening - especially if star men Kevin De Bruyne and Raheem Sterling do miss this clash through injury - and while a win may be a stretch away from home, there is every chance of a draw here.

Man City v Arsenal Tip #2
17:30
Benjamin Mendy to be booked & over 2.5 match goals
  • Mendy has been cautioned twice already this season - the most of all City players this season
  • Is always prone to a late challenge and up against the speed of Arsenal's front-line could fall victim to another late tackle
  • Two incredibly attack-minded sides, there has been more than one goal scored in 11 of the 13 last meetings between City & Arsenal (all comps)
Odds correct as of 2020-10-15 12:40 Odds subject to change.

With two incredibly attack-minded sides in action, I can foresee goals in this one. The history book suggests that over 2.5 will be the play at the Etihad - with 11 of the last 13 games between these two sides resulting in more than two goals being scored overall.

City are yet to keep a clean sheet in the league while Arsenal have only managed one in their opening day win over rock-bottom Fulham. Fresh and recharged from an international break, both sides will be going hammer and tong in the hope of kicking things back off with a win, which should result in plenty of goals.

Doubling this 5/1 fancy up I'm backing Benjamin Mendy to be booked. No City player has been cautioned more than the Frenchman this season (two in three games) and having watched him on countless occasions it continues to amaze me how rash he is in the challenge.

Up against the likes of Nicolas Pepe or Willian, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette, there are going to be so many opportunities for Mendy to make another stupid tackle here which will hopefully see him pick up his third yellow of the season.

Man City v Arsenal Tip #3
17:30
Hector Bellerin to be booked and Willian to have 2+ shots on target
  • Bellerin is Arsenal's most-booked player this season with 2 yellows and has often been exposed by quick attackers
  • Willian's price of 4/1 for two shots on target is too good to turn down given what an attacking threat he is and the fact he's on free-kick duty
Odds correct as of 2020-10-15 12:40 Odds subject to change.

Rounding off my trio of bets is the longshot, priced at a juicy 26/1 by Paddy Power.

I'll start with Willian to register two or more shots on target, priced at 4/1 just as a single which I think represents tremendous value given the fact he is on free-kick duty for the Gunners and rarely misses the target from dead ball situations within shooting range.

I'm anticipating plenty of firm challenges in this one which will hopefully see plenty of free-kicks given around the penalty area, so if the Brazilian can get one one/two of those then that will give this leg of the selection a real boost. The former Chelsea man is such a threat in the final third and is never afraid to wind up a shot from distance - hopefully he'll fire plenty away on Saturday.

Doubling this up I'm going with Arsenal right-back Hector Bellerin to be booked. The ex-Barcelona defender is his club's most-booked player this season with two yellows to his name so far, and up against the speed and intensity of City's forward line - especially if Sterling features here - I think he could fall victim to a late challenge and subsequent booking. 

The man in the middle for this one is Chris Kavanagh, who is the Premier League's most card-happy ref this season with 13 yellows awarded, so fingers crossed he continues with his strictness and takes no prisoners when it comes to petulant fouls. 

Premier League Odds
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Money Back As CASH Up To £20 (APP Only)
#AD New customers only. Deposit £20 using card or Trustly. Up to your first £20 of losses will be refunded as CASH within 24 hours of qualifying bet having been settled. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after  settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after  the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Welcome Offer
#AD Open Account Offer. Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code ‘100BET365’ can be used during registration, but does not change the offer amount in any way. 18+ begambleaware.org.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £10 On Football & Get £40 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD £/€10 deposit using promo code "10FREE" - Minimum stake £/€10 at odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager the bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Casino Bonus expires after 60 days - Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & full T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 + 30 Free Spins
#AD New UK & NI customers only. Promo code SPORTS60. Deposit and place first sports bet of £10+ in one transaction, at odds of Evens (2.0)+, settled within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS validation may be required. Max 30 Free Spins on Blue Wizard at £0.10 per spin. 7-day expiry. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Get Up To £100 In Free Bets
#AD New customer offer. Place 5 x £10 or more bets to receive £20 in free bets. Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum £100 bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange bets excluded. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD. New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from acceptance (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. 18+
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply

Bet £10 On Football & Get £50 In Free Bets

#Ad. 18+ Playsafe. Place a pre-match £10 bet on any Football market between 2nd December and 24th December, at min. odds 1/2 (1.5) — get a total of £50 in free bets, £30 on bet settlement and an additional £20 the following day. Your qualifying bet must settle by Friday 23:59, 24th December. Only deposits via Cards will qualify (Apple Pay deposit excluded). T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org

Bet £10 Get £30 + 30 Free Spins

BLACK FRIDAY OFFER #AD New UK & NI customers only. Promo code SPORTS60. Deposit and place first sports bet of £10+ in one transaction, at odds of Evens (2.0)+, settled within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS validation may be required. Max 30 Free Spins on Blue Wizard at £0.10 per spin. 7-day expiry. Full T&Cs apply.

£40 Money Back Acca

#Ad. 18+ Playsafe. New customers only. Opt in, place your first bet on a football 4-fold or higher within 7 days of registration. League restrictions apply. We’ll refund in cash if your 1st bet loses. Valid from 09:00BST 17.09.21. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, 18+ begambleaware.org