Man United vs Liverpool Prediction and Betting Tips: Side with the visitors in the shots market
Posted: 14:12 Friday 5th April 2024
Manchester United welcome Liverpool to Old Trafford as they look to secure a second win over Jurgen Klopp’s men in two months. The odds are against the home side so it will take another exceptional performance.
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The Red Devils threw away a lead at Stamford Bridge in the dying moments of their last match and last 4-3. Erik Ten Hag’s side have been woeful this season and the underlying data suggests they are fortunate to be 6th in the table. The Manchester United shape is a recipe for disaster, and they continue to invite pressure. It could be a long afternoon for the home side on Sunday.
Liverpool were chasing a quadruple before being knocked out of the FA Cup by Manchester United last month. Despite the setback, they have rallied and find themselves in pole position in the Premier League title race. They are also the favourites to win the Europa League.
A growing injury list has worsened United’s erratic approach to defending. Raphael Varane, Lisandro Martinez, Luke Shaw, Tyrell Malacia and Jonny Evans are all set to miss this one. The barebones United defence will be up against it on Saturday.
Man United vs Liverpool Tips
For our main bet, we are backing over 17.5 shots for Liverpool along with both teams to score in the match.
Manchester United have conceded a laughable amount of shots this season. Only Sheffield United, a side that are four points adrift at the bottom of the table have conceded more shots than Ten Hag’s side this season. The Red Devils allow their opponents an average of 17.17 per game.
This problem has worsened in 2024. The 28 shots they conceded at Stamford bridge means they have not allowed their opponents to have a total of 225 shots across 10 Premier League matches in 2024. No side in Europe’s top five leagues can best United in terms of allowing shots in this calendar year.
Liverpool have one of the most formidable attacks in the division. They are scoring an average of 2.33 goals per game but most importantly for our bet, they are averaging 19.72 shots per game, more than any other side.
Klopp’s side managed 23 shots in normal time when the sides went head-to-head at Old Trafford last month. They’ve had 20 shots or more in six of their last seven matches. The only game where this lost was against Manchester City and they still managed 19 attempts.
The United set up isn’t conducive to solid defensive play but they have managed to score a glut of goals so I’m happy to back both teams to score. They have found the net in their last 10 Premier League matches, scoring an average of 2.1 goals per game in the process.
Liverpool have scored in all 14 of their away matches in the league this season. They are averaging 1.93 goals in those games.
Our longer odds bet for this one uses the same angles as the first but we are increasing the Liverpool shots bet to over 23.5. Manchester United have conceded 24 shots or more in their last four Premier League games.
We are also backing Liverpool to win. They will be keen to exact revenge here and it’s hard to see this United defence keeping them at bay for long.
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