Odds shown as:

Man City v West Brom Tips: Gallagher to find the target at the Etihad

Man City v West Brom Tips: Slaven Bilic's side travel north sat in the relegation zone
Man City v West Brom Tips: Slaven Bilic's side travel north sat in the relegation zone

The Etihad is the destination for Slaven Bilic's West Brom side in the final Premier League action on offer on Tuesday evening. I've picked out three football predictions of interest from the shots on target and cards market at odds of; 7/2, 13/2 and 19/4. You can combine the three for a long-shot at odds of 165/1.

Man City will look to make ground on Liverpool and Tottenham as they welcome a Baggies side currently dwelling in the relegation zone. Pep Guardiola's side are painfully short at 9/100 as the hosts are expected to bounce back from a drab 0-0 draw vs neighbours Manchester United at the weekend. Eric Garcia is City's only confirmed absentee but Sergio Aguero is also a doubt.

West Brom will be without the injured Conor Townsend and Hal Robson-Kanu. Matheus Pereira also misses out as he is suspended. Following defeat to Newcastle, Bilic could reinstate Jake Livermore to centre midfield. 

Premier League betting
Jimmy the Punt: Man City v West Brom
Tue, 20:00
Conor Gallagher 1+ SoT
  • With a shots per game average of two, nobody in the West Brom side has averaged more then Conor Gallagher this season
Odds correct as of 2020-12-15 09:20 Odds subject to change.

With a shots per game average of two, nobody in the West Brom side has averaged more then Conor Gallagher this season nor has anyone found the back of the net more than his total of two.

The Chelsea loanee is expected to start in centre midfield with Sawyers and Livermore this evening which should give him more attacking freedom. Not that he has needed a second invitation to get forward as of late, in his last three games he has being responsible for 33.3% of West Brom's shots (12), seven of which have been goal-bound!

As he has demonstrated already this season, he isn't one to shy away from a challenge and has being the Baggies stand out performer. He tops their charts in most departments; shots (2), goals (2), yellows (3) and tackles (3.5) and I don't think he will let tonight's game bypass him either. He'll be keen to prove himself against the best in an effort to get a result for his current employers and to prove a point to his parent club. 

Free betting offers
Semi Ajayi to be booked
  • In a back three he has averaged two tackles and committed 1.5 fouls per game
Odds correct as of 2020-12-15 09:20 Odds subject to change.

As eluded to above, West Brom have switched between a back four and a back five this season and Semi Ajayi's statistics differ massively depending on which system he plays in. 

As part of a back four he is far less exposed, averaging 0.75 tackles and 0.25 fouls per game (excluding the Everton game where West Brom had a man sent off and switched formation). In a back three he has averaged two tackles and committed 1.5 fouls per game. Interestingly, but unsurprisingly, vs teams with greater attacking output he has committed more fouls averaging 2.33 vs Man Utd, Spurs and Leicester. 

Tonight, he is 13/2 to be carded with Betfair, Paddy Power and BetVictor whereas he is as short as 3/1 with Boylesports. Both of his cards this season has come when playing in a back five and, staggeringly, he has conceded just one foul as part of a back four! This evening he faces perhaps his toughest test to date as his direct opponent will likely be Raheem Sterling, Man City's third-most fouled player (1.5 pG).

Romain Sawyers to be booked
  • Has picked up two cards in his last five games
Odds correct as of 2020-12-15 09:25 Odds subject to change.

This bet is only 7/4 with Boylesports and 2/1 with bet365. That said, this price should hold as it is only fractionally shorter with Sky Bet, William Hill, Betfair and Paddy Power at 9/2. 

Romaine Sawyers averaged ten cards per season in his last two in the Championship, receiving 19 yellows and a red playing for West Brom and Brentford. That is a card every 0.24 games played so at odds of 19/4, and an implied probability of 17.4%, his price represents some value as it is. 

After a sluggish start, he's beginning to find his feet - or rather find the opponents feet - amongst the English elite, picking up two cards in his last five games. 

The influx of cards, I think, is due to Slavan Bilic's tactical tweak. Playing in a pairing in centre midfield (in a 5-4-1 or 4-2-3-1 formation) Sawyers received zero cards. Both of his EPL bookings have come when he is anchoring a midfield five on his own. This is due to the fact that the Baggies have become so vulnerable in transition after any sustained period of pressure. 

However, this angle isn't without its flaws. Bilic opts for the 5-4-1 we saw in the Baggies first three games of the campaign vs the more threatening sides - he reverted back to it vs Manchester United - and he could do this at the Etihad tomorrow.

This makes this angle less appealing because the low blocks compactness and deep defensive line makes the likelihood of Sawyers becoming exposed far less. It is even less then when he is in a midfield three - despite the fact that they still deploy a low block - because in a flat four the Baggies use a double pivot as a pose to the single pivot they use in a midfield three. 

Gallagher SoT, Ajayi and Sawyers to be booked
  • With a shots per game average of two, nobody in the West Brom side has averaged more then Conor Gallagher this season
  • In a back three, Ajayi has averaged two tackles and committed 1.5 fouls per game
  • Sawyers has picked up two yellows in his last five games
Odds correct as of 2020-12-15 09:25 Odds subject to change.

You can combine all three of these selections at odds of 165/1 with Betfair but please stake responsibly!

Football Bet £20 & Get Money Back As Cash If It Loses

#Ad. New customers only, bet up to £20 on the Exchange and if your first bet loses, we’ll refund you £20 in Cash. Bet must be placed in first 7 days of account opening. T&Cs apply. Payment restrictions apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
Premier League outright betting
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after  settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after  the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Welcome Offer
#AD Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £10 Get £60 in Bonuses
#AD New UK customers only. Register using the promo code BETFRED60, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £20 in Free Bets to be used on Sports, £10 in Free Bets to be used on Lotto and 50 Free Spins (20p per spin) credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. Further £20 in Free Bets credited 5 days after settlement. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 On Football & Get £40 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD £/€10 deposit using promo code "10FREE" - Minimum stake £/€10 at odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager the bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Casino Bonus expires after 60 days - Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & full T&Cs apply
Get Up To £100 In Free Bets
#AD New customer offer. Place 5 x £10 or more bets to receive £20 in free bets. Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum £100 bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange bets excluded. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
Money Back As CASH Up To £20 (APP Only)
#AD New customers only. Deposit £20 using card or Trustly. Up to your first £20 of losses will be refunded as CASH within 24 hours of qualifying bet having been settled. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD. New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from acceptance (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. 18+

Football Up To £50 Money Back In Cash

#Ad. 18+ Playsafe. Place 5x£10 Single Sportsbook bets on any Football market at minimum odds of 2.0 (Evs) between the 18th and 31st January, and get money back as Cash if it loses. Max refund per qualifying bet is £10 (up to £50 in total). Only deposits made via Cards will be eligible for the promotion. T&Cs apply  

Bet £10 Get £60 in Bonuses

BLACK FRIDAY OFFER #AD New UK customers only. Register using the promo code BETFRED60, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £20 in Free Bets to be used on Sports, £10 in Free Bets to be used on Lotto and 50 Free Spins (20p per spin) credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. Further £20 in Free Bets credited 5 days after settlement. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins

#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.