Liverpool vs. Wolves Predictions: Two stats-based bets for final game

Liverpool take on a Wolves side with very little to play for needing all three points to have any hope of clinching the title from Manchester City. Klopp chose to rest a lot of his players for the midweek trip to Southampton, so his players should be well rested here.

Wolves enjoyed a good start to the season, but they have fell away in recent weeks and I expect Liverpool to pile on the misery here. Bruno Lage’s men are six games without a win and they should be dominated from start to finish here. Wolves have a torrid record against Liverpool, losing the last six meetings between the teams. However, they were only narrowly beaten when the teams met earlier in the season, so they will harbour slim hopes here.

Virgil Van Dijk, Mohamed Salah, Joe Gomez and Fabinho are all likely to miss out due to injury. Liverpool have the Champions League final on the horizon, so Klopp is unlikely to risk their fitness here. Wolves will be without Max Kilman and Nelson Semedo.

Liverpool like to put their opponents under relentless pressure and this has meant I’ve taken a similar angle on all of my recent previews for the team. Combining the Liverpool shots and opponent goal kicks provides us with some good value.

Klopp’s second team had 24 shots against Southampton, and they have a huge number of shots when they play in front of their home fans. Liverpool are averaging over 20 shots per game in their last 20 matches at home; they also had 17 shots when they visited Wolves earlier this season. In the last 5 matches where they have been similarly priced to win, their opponents are averaging 18 shots per game.

At Anfield, Liverpool opponents are averaging 9.8 goal kicks per game in their last 10 matches and the home support should encourage the players to shoot from range here with the celebratory atmosphere around the club in recent months fuelling the atmosphere. Klopp’s weakened team against Southampton managed to force 14 goal kicks from their opponents and I wouldn’t be surprised to see Wolves have a similar number here.

I’m going to back to Liverpool domination in my longshot bet for this one as well. The shots and goal kicks angles from the first bet can be carried over here and increased to create a bigger price. The angles have been explained in the best bet, and the occasion should help us achieve the higher lines here.

I’m also adding Wolves offsides to this one. They had 7 offsides when these teams met earlier in the season and Liverpool opponents are averaging 3.3 offsides per game in their last 10 matches at Anfield. This bet has also landed in Wolves’ last two trips to Anfield, where they had 5 and 3 offsides.