Odds shown as:

Liverpool v RB Leipzig Tips: Get on the cards in Champions League clash

Liverpool v RB Leipzig Tips: Thiago features
Liverpool v RB Leipzig Tips: Thiago features

Liverpool and RB Leizpig head back to the Puskás Aréna with the former playing the hosts on this occasion as they lockhorns for the second leg of their last-16 Champions League tie.

These sides have endured polar opposite fates, in terms of results, since Liverpool emerged 0-2 victors in the first leg. Jurgen Klopp’s men have lost all four of their Premier League fixtures, conceding six goals without reply. Liverpool’s supremo may even be relieved that he does not have to play this clash at Anfield as Liverpool haven’t won their since the turn of the year, their defeat to Fulham on Sunday was their sixth on the spin at their ‘fortress’.

In stark contrast, RB Leipzig have won all four of their games since the first leg, besting the likes of Borussia M’Gladbach, in a hot streak that has seen them average 2.5 goals a game and keep three clean sheets. During which time they have closed the gap on Bayern Munich to just two points. 

Today's football tips

The bookies prefer Liverpool ever so slightly pricing them at odds around 29/20 and Leipzig at 9/5. However, the visitors LWB Angelino has said the pressure is on The Reds in this one and he could be right. Liverpool are slipping down the EPL proceedings and with each loss a top four finish becomes more and more unlikely, therefore, winning this competition could be their only hope of qualifying for it next season. With the German side 2-0 down they are effectively playing with nothing to lose which could provide them with a psychological edge in this bout.

Marcel Sabitzer to be carded
4/1
Odds correct as of 2021-03-09 21:50 Odds subject to change.

This campaign, Marcel Sabitzer has accumulated eight yellow cards in 32 appearances for club and country. He has averaged one every 270 minutes played meaning he has received one caution per every three games this campaign! The Austrian playmaker has received cards on a slightly more regular basis in the UCL as well- averaging one every 240 minutes played- as he has picked up two in six apps, both of which game against Manchester United.

Despite being deployed for his ability on the ball, his work off it has been quite impressive this campaign with him averaging 1.2 tackles, 1.4 interceptions and one foul per game for club and country. Once again though, when he steps foot on the European stage, these averages increase, Sabitzer averages 1.8 tackles, 1.7 interceptions and 1.8 fouls per game in the Champions League.

All of this data points to the fact that RBL’s lynchpin should be a lot shorter for a card tomorrow evening and this is the case, he is just 2/1 for a card elsewhere.

Champions League betting
Thiago to be carded
7/2
Odds correct as of 2021-03-09 22:00 Odds subject to change.

Thiago’s stint in the Liverpool side has not been a successful one, with some suggesting his style of play is too slow and consequently disrupts Liverpool’s high line and energetic counter press.

When the Spaniard broke into the starting XI, he was conceding a lot of fouls- an average of around three per game- and picked up three cards in a seven game period in the EPL. In terms of his fouls average, we have seen a gradual decline, however, Thiago’s defensive output is staggering. Since Liverpool’s victory at Spurs, Thiago has completed 26 tackles in eight games, as he has done no fewer than two in a game and racked up seven vs Brighton!

Given the game state, Leipzig surely have to get at Liverpool tomorrow, setting us up for an enthralling clash. In the first leg we saw Julian Nagelsmann deploy a high press as he attempted to restrict Liverpool gaining control of the game by dominating midfield with their numerical superiority. With Liverpool also pressing high this meant we saw lots of transitions, particularly in the middle of the park. 

In possession, Thiago drops into a double pivot alongside Wijnaldum with Curtis Jones given more attacking freedom. If RBL can dispossess Liverpool high up the pitch it would expose Thiago in transition leaving him exposed to the likes of Olmo and Nkunku 1v1, the pair have drawn an average of 3.15 fouls per game this season. 

Sabitzer and Thiago to be carded
22/1
Odds correct as of 2021-03-09 22:05 Odds subject to change.

Given the fact that we have a favourable refereeing appointment, I am happy to have a punt on the double at 22/1.

Frenchman, Clément Turpin, has overseen four games in the UCL and UEL this season during which he has brandished a total of 18 yellow cards. Throughout his career, he has awarded an average of 3.8Y cards per the 102 UCL games he has taken charge of. However, his average per season has seen a gradual increase over the last few. He has had the whistle for exactly five UCL games over the last three campaigns, in the 17/18 season he averaged 3.4Y per game, in 18/19 he averaged 3.6Y and in 19/20 he averaged 4.2Y. Given the importance of this clash and how nicely poised it is at a neural venue, you’d expect cards to flow.

Best of luck if you are joining me with any of these selections and please remember to gamble responsibly! 

Free betting offers
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets (APP Only)
#AD New UK, IE & Malta users only. Min. £10/€10 first deposit only using Debit Card or Trustly. Free bets expire in 90 days. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after  settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after  the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply
Welcome Offer
#AD Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins on Big Bass Bonanza, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £10 Get £60 in Bonuses
#AD New UK customers only. Register using the promo code BETFRED60, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £20 in Free Bets to be used on Sports, £10 in Free Bets to be used on Lotto and 50 Free Spins (20p per spin) credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. Further £20 in Free Bets credited 5 days after settlement. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Get Up To £100 In Free Bets
#AD New customer offer. Place 5 x £10 or more bets to receive £20 in free bets. Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum £100 bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange bets excluded. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 On Football & Get £40 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD £/€10 deposit using promo code "10FREE" - Minimum stake £/€10 at odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager the bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Casino Bonus expires after 60 days - Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & full T&Cs apply
Get £35 In Free Bets
#AD Place a qualifying £25 fixed odds bet at odds of 1/2 or greater. Qualifying bet cannot be placed in-play or cashed out early. A first free £5 fixed odds bet will be credited upon settlement of the qualifying bet. 4 x following £5 free fixed odds bets will be added to your account on consecutive days. T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org