Odds shown as:

Liverpool v Arsenal Tips: Back the dramatic rise in penalties to continue at Anfield

Liverpool scored two penalties on gameweek 1 and we fancy the Reds to score another as part of our football tips for the evening
Liverpool scored two penalties on gameweek 1 and we fancy the Reds to score another as part of our football tips for the evening

Bob Geldof clearly didn’t have a Sky Sports subscription when he wrote Tell me why I don’t like Mondays, or he’d have flicked the box on, seen Monday Night Football was on, and let a pleasant smile brush across his face. 

Liverpool v Arsenal is the main serving on Monday evening with both teams having won their opening two league matches. There’s some questions surrounding team news for the hosts with both Thiago Alcantara & Alisson major doubts for the game. Jordan Henderson, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and Joel Matip are also sidelined for the Reds. 

Mikel Arteta should have his strongest eleven available if Kieran Tierney passes a late fitness test. Pabo Mari, Gabriel Martinelli, Callum Chambers and Shkodran Mustafi will not feature in any part due to ongoing injuries. 

Liverpool are currently the 4/7 favourites to win the game, although that price has been on the drift due to the team news surrounding Thiago and Alisson. The draw can be backed at 10/3 with a win for the Gunners available at 4/1 - an implied probability of 20%.

The match can be seen live on Sky Sports kicking off at the now earlier time of 20:00 instead of 20:15 thanks to Boris’ providing us all with a new bed time. I’ve picked out three football tips to hopefully ensure we can all switch over to the ten o’clock news off the back of a nice winner or two.

Liverpool -1 handicap - 1.5pts @ 9/5 Betfair Exchange

Liverpool to score a penalty - 1pts @ 4/1 bet365

Mane & Aubameyang 1+ shot on target, Xhaka & Alexander-Arnold to be carded - 0.5pts @ 40/1 Paddy Power

Liverpool v Arsenal Tip #1
20:00
Liverpool -1 match handicap
Liverpool are unbeaten in 1256 days in the league at Anfield They have won 26 of their last 27 home league games, scoring twice in 25 of those. They are undefeated in their last eight against arsenal, scoring at least three goals on in their last six at Anfield against the Gunners in all competitions
Odds correct as of 2020-09-28 12:50 Odds subject to change.

The first, in this trident of selections for Monday is Liverpool -1 on the match handicap, priced at 9/5 on the Betfair Exchange - meaning if Klopp’s side win by two goals or more, this bet will land. It’s been 1256 days since Liverpool last lost a Premier League game at Anfield back in April 2017, a truly remarkable stat which I don’t see coming to an end against Arsenal.

The hosts have been quick out of the traps this season with wins over Leeds and Chelsea in their opening fixtures. They have won 26 of their last 27 home games and further to that have scored two or more goals in 25 of those 27.

Arsenal are an opponent Liverpool have fared well against in recent years with The Premier League Champions having gone undefeated in their last eight against the Gunners at Anfield in all competitions. Their front-three is one of the best in world football and the Reds have scored at least three goals in their last six matches against Arsenal at Anfield!

Liverpool’s odds to win the game have been lengthening all morning due to the team news concerns, however I’m more than happy to get involved with the Liverpool -1 handicap at the price of 9/5 (2.8), out from 13/10 (2.3) on Sunday night. Jurgen Klopp’s side have not lost here in three and a half years and with all the stats pointing to goals at Anfield, I want Liverpool onside for a win by two or more.

Liverpool v Arsenal Tip #2
20:00
Liverpool to score a penalty
In the first three weeks of the 19/20 PL season there was eight penalties awarded in 30 games In the first three weeks of the 20/21 season there have been 20 penalties awarded in 26 games Arsenal conceded eight penalties in 19/20 - the third highest in the league
Odds correct as of 2020-09-28 13:00 Odds subject to change.

Next up I’m backing Liverpool to score a penalty, priced at 4/1 with Stoke-based bookmaker bet365. It’s been well documented that there has been a significant rise in penalties awarded over the first few weeks of the new Premier League season. 

Over the first three weeks in the 19/20 campaign, there were eight penalties awarded in 30 games. Compare that to the first three weeks of the 20/21 season and there have been 20 penalties awarded in just 26 games. A figure that has risen three-fold, mainly down to the way that the handball rule is now being implemented by the Premier League officials.

We’ve seen some outrageous decisions and to be honest, it’s quite fitting with how 2020 seems to be panning out in terms of just when you think you’ve seen it all. However back to the matter in hand and Arsenal actually gave away eight penalties last season, the third highest in the league. With David Luiz at the back I always feel there is a chance of a calamitous error which could potentially lead to a penalty for Liverpool. 

Mo Salah scored two penalties in their opening day win against Leeds and I’m hoping he can repeat that with just one against Arsenal. Craig Pawson will be officiating the game, a man who awarded five penalties in 23 outings last season. 4/1 is the top price available on this selection from bet365, with Paddy Power and betfair taking no chances at the shorter price of 11/4.

Premier League Top 4 Odds
Liverpool v Arsenal Tip #3
20:00
Mane & Aubameyang 1+ shot on target, Xhaka & Alexander-Arnold to be carded
Sadio Mane registered at least one shot on target in 15 of the 17 PL home games he played last season Aubameyang registered 42 shots on target in 19/20, scoring with 22 of those Only two players were booked more times in the PL last season than Granit Xhaka with ten Trent was booked five times in the PL last season and will be marking Aubameyang tonight
Odds correct as of 2020-09-28 13:00 Odds subject to change.

The third and final selection for Liverpool v Arsenal is a longshot, priced at 40/1 with Paddy Power - Sadio Mane & Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang to have one or more shots on target with both Granit Xhaka and Trent Alexander-Arnold to be carded.

Kicking off proceedings in this Same Game Multi is Sadio Mane to have a shot on target, The Senegalese forward landed one or more shots on target in 15 of his 17 home league games in 19/20. He scored two goals against Chelsea last weekend and I’m backing him to have another good game on Monday.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang just seems to get better and better for Arsenal and he’s another player who I’m including to have a shot on target. He managed 42 shots on target in 19/20, with 22 of those resulting in goals. The 31-year-old is also the penalty taker for the Gunners and he’s their most likely threat in front of goal.

Moving onto the cards and for Arsenal I’m going for usual suspect Granit Xhaka. Only two players in the whole of the Premier League in Jefferson Lerma and Luke Milivojevic were booked more times than Granit Xhaka with ten last season. The Swiss International only played 30 games of the 38 least season giving him a perfect one in three ratio of picking up a yellow. He’ll be without the ball for long periods of time against Liverpool and I can see him making cynical fouls to break up play.

The final leg of this 40/1 longshot is Liverpool’s Trent Alexander-Arnold to be carded. He’s going to be up against Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang who has pace in abundance and has already drawn three fouls in the two games he’s played this season. Trent was booked on five occasions in the league last term and I believe he has a bit of nastiness about him that can see him pick up a card from Craig Pawson.

Best of luck to those following the selections on Monday evening. Please, always gamble responsibly.

Free Betting Offers
Advert Disclaimer
Bettingodds.com is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Bettingodds.com accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after  settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after  the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Welcome Offer
#AD Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.
Bet £10 Get £60 in Bonuses
#AD New UK customers only. Register using the promo code BETFRED60, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £20 in Free Bets to be used on Sports, £10 in Free Bets to be used on Lotto and 50 Free Spins (20p per spin) credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. Further £20 in Free Bets credited 5 days after settlement. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 On Football & Get £40 In Free Bets + £10 Bonus
#AD £/€10 deposit using promo code "10FREE" - Minimum stake £/€10 at odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager the bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Casino Bonus expires after 60 days - Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & full T&Cs apply
Get Up To £100 In Free Bets
#AD New customer offer. Place 5 x £10 or more bets to receive £20 in free bets. Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum £100 bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange bets excluded. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
Money Back As CASH Up To £20 (APP Only)
#AD New customers only. Deposit £20 using card or Trustly. Up to your first £20 of losses will be refunded as CASH within 24 hours of qualifying bet having been settled. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD. New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from acceptance (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. 18+

Football Up To £50 Money Back In Cash

#Ad. 18+ Playsafe. Place 5x£10 Single Sportsbook bets on any Football market at minimum odds of 2.0 (Evs) between the 18th and 31st January, and get money back as Cash if it loses. Max refund per qualifying bet is £10 (up to £50 in total). Only deposits made via Cards will be eligible for the promotion. T&Cs apply  

Bet £10 Get £60 in Bonuses

BLACK FRIDAY OFFER #AD New UK customers only. Register using the promo code BETFRED60, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £20 in Free Bets to be used on Sports, £10 in Free Bets to be used on Lotto and 50 Free Spins (20p per spin) credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. Further £20 in Free Bets credited 5 days after settlement. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets + 100 Free Spins

#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus 100 Free Spins, no wagering. Free Bets and Spins expire in 7 days. Card payments only. T&Cs apply, see below. Please gamble responsibly.